Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 28

Updated May. 28, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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In Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, the Dallas Mavericks will play the Minnesota Timberwolves. Tuesday's matchup between the Mavericks and the Timberwolves features the Mavericks as tight 1.5-point favorites. The over/under is 212 points for the game.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: TNT and truTV

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Over (212)
Score Prediction: - Timberwolves 113 - Mavericks 112

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• The Mavericks and their opponent have combined to score over 212 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 70 of 82 games this year.
• A total of 58 Timberwolves games this season (out of 82) have had more than 212 total points scored.
• The Mavericks and the Timberwolves combine to average 18.9 more points per game than the over/under of 212 set for this matchup.
• The Mavericks and the Timberwolves have seen their opponents average a combined 10.1 more points per game than the point total of 212 set for this game.
• Dallas has been victorious in 37, or 74%, of the 50 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Minnesota has won in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Dallas has come out on top in four of its last seven head-to-head matchups against Minnesota.
• The Mavericks have an advantage against the spread as well (5-2) when taking the court against the Timberwolves.
• Versus the point spread, the Timberwolves have failed to cover in four games in a row, and were favored in three of those contests.

FINAL

MIN 105 · DAL 100

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

+1.5

-102

O 212

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

-1.5

-118

U 212

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 0.3 points more than the 212 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Mavericks' 82 games this season, they have 48 wins against the spread.
• Dallas has an against the spread record of 28-17 in its 45 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under in 43.9% of their opportunities this year (36 times in 82 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks score 117.9 points per game, 11.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves allow.
• Dallas is 47-23 against the spread and 49-21 overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
• The Mavericks make 48.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.1 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (45%).
• When playing at home, the Mavericks have a worse record against the spread (21-20-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (27-14-0).
• Dallas has eclipsed the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in 16 of 41 home matchups (39%). On the road, it has hit the over in 20 of 41 games (48.8%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.667) compared to road games (.826).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic puts up 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.5 blocks.
• Kyrie Irving posts 25.6 points, 5.2 assists and 5 boards per game.
• Daniel Gafford averages 11 points, 1.6 assists and 7.6 boards per contest.
• P.J. Washington puts up 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.8 blocks.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14.4 points, 1.8 assists and 3.2 boards.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 206.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.4 less than the 212 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
• Minnesota has an against the spread record of 10-7 in its 17 games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Timberwolves games this season have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals (50%).
• The Timberwolves average just 2.6 fewer points per game (113) than the Mavericks give up (115.6).
• Minnesota is 23-10 against the spread and 29-4 overall when it scores more than 115.6 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.5% clip from the field this season, one percentage point higher than the 47.5% shooting opponents of the Mavericks have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have had better results away (22-18-1) than at home (18-22-1) .
• Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under 43.9% of the time at home (18 of 41), and 56.1% of the time away (23 of 41).
• When moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of games at home (27-10) than on the road (19-5).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Timberwolves are getting 14 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this year.
• Karl-Anthony Towns gives the Timberwolves 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Naz Reid gives the Timberwolves 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Mike Conley gives the Timberwolves 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game while delivering 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks - 05/29/2024

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