Pacers vs. Bucks Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 3:23 p.m. ET

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In Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Indiana Pacers will face the Milwaukee Bucks. Sunday's matchup between the Pacers and the Bucks sees the Pacers as a strong, 9.5-point favorite. The over/under is 217 points for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Pacers-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pacers vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: TNT, BSIN, and BSWI

Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Bucks (+ 9.5)
O/U Pick: Over (217)
Score Prediction: Pacers 122 - Bucks 117

Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• The Pacers and their opponent have combined to score over 217 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 75 of 82 games this year.
• The Bucks have played in 66 games this year (80.5% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 217 points.
• These two teams average 242.3 points per game combined, 25.3 more than the total of 217.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 236.6 points per game, 19.6 more than the over/under in this game.
• Indiana has been the favorite in 43 games this season and has come away with the win 26 times (60.5%) in those contests.
• Milwaukee has been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (21.4%) in those games.
• In the last eight head-to-head matchups, Indiana has a 6-2 record against Milwaukee.
• The Pacers also have a 5-3 record against the spread when facing the Bucks.

FINAL

MIL 113 · IND 126

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Milwaukee Bucks

MIL

+9.5

+338

o215.5

Indiana Pacers

IND

-9.5

-439

u215.5

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Indiana has averaged a total of 231.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 14.1 greater than this matchup's total of 217.
• In the Pacers' 82 games this season, they have 44 wins against the spread.
• Indiana has been favored by 9.5 points or more nine times this season and are 7-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Pacers games this year have gone over the total in 43 out of 82 opportunities (52.4%).
• The 123.3 points per game the Pacers score are 6.9 more points than the Bucks allow (116.4).
• When Indiana totals more than 116.4 points, it is 40-15 against the spread and 42-13 overall.
• This season, the Pacers have a 50.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.7% higher than the 47% of shots the Bucks' opponents have hit.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in the same percentage of games at home as road games (53.7%). They have covered 22 times in 41 games at home and 22 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• In terms of point totals, Indiana hits the over more often in home games, as it has gone over the total 25 times in 41 opportunities this season (61%). On the road, it has hit the over 18 times in 41 opportunities (43.9%).
• In home games, the Pacers have won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 18-11 (.621). In away games, they are 8-6 (.571) as a moneyline favorite.

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• Pascal Siakam posts 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Tyrese Haliburton posts 20.1 points, 10.9 assists and 3.9 rebounds per game.
• Myles Turner puts up 17.1 points, 1.3 assists and 6.9 boards per game.
• T.J. McConnell averages 10.2 points, 5.5 assists and 2.7 rebounds.
• Aaron Nesmith posts 12.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.

Pacers Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks have gone 3-7 in their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Milwaukee has averaged a total of 222.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 5.8 greater than this game's over/under of 217.
• The Bucks have 33 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• This season, Milwaukee has one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 9.5 points or more.
• Bucks games this season have gone over the point total 40 times in 82 opportunities (48.8%).
• The Bucks' 119 points per game are only 1.2 fewer points than the 120.2 the Pacers allow to opponents.
• Milwaukee is 20-14-1 against the spread and 30-5 overall when it scores more than 120.2 points.
• The Bucks' 48.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Pacers have allowed to their opponents.
• The Bucks have been better against the spread at home (19-22-1) than away (14-24-2) this year.
• Milwaukee's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (23 times out of 42) than on the road (17 of 40) this year.
• The Bucks, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (29-10) than away (16-12) this year.

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Bobby Portis generates 13.8 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game for the Bucks.
• On a per-game basis, Brook Lopez gets the Bucks 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 2.4 blocked shots (second in league).
• Khris Middleton gives the Bucks 15.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game while putting up 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Bucks are getting 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Malik Beasley this season.
• The Bucks are receiving 6.2 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Patrick Beverley this year.

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - 04/28/2024