Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 7

Updated May. 7, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Tuesday's game between the Thunder and the Mavericks sees the Thunder as 4.5-point favorites. A 219.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: TNT and truTV

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (219.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Mavericks 112

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this year, the Thunder have had 58 with over 219.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• A total of 62 Mavericks games this season (out of 82) have had more than 219.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 18.5 more points per game (238) than this game's total of 219.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.8 more points per game (228.3) than this matchup's over/under of 219.5 points.
• Oklahoma City has been victorious in 47, or 77%, of the 61 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Dallas has been victorious in 11, or 36.7%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Oklahoma City has a 3-1 record in the last four head-to-head meetings with Dallas.
• The squads are both 2-2 against the spread in those contests.
• The Thunder covered the spread in their past four games, and were favored in all of those contests.

FINAL

DAL 95 · OKC 117

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

+4.5

+151

O 219.5

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC

-4.5

-183

U 219.5

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 0.7 points more than the 219.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 82 games this season, they have 46 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 41 times and are 25-16 ATS in those matchups.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The 120.1 points per game the Thunder score are only 4.5 more points than the Mavericks give up (115.6).
• Oklahoma City has a 39-16 record against the spread and a 46-9 record overall when putting up more than 115.6 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 49.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.4% higher than the 47.5% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 27 times in 41 opportunities at home, and they've covered 19 times in 41 opportunities on the road.
• In terms of point totals, Oklahoma City hits the over less consistently at home, as it has gone over the total 21 times in 41 opportunities this season (51.2%). In road games, it has hit the over 24 times in 41 opportunities (58.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have taken 30 of 35 games when playing at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. They have won 17 of 26 games on the road (.654) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 2 steals (first in NBA) and 0.9 blocks.
• Chet Holmgren averages 16.5 points, 7.9 boards and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.3 blocks (fourth in NBA).
• Jalen Williams puts up 19.1 points, 4 boards and 4.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Josh Giddey averages 12.3 points, 4.8 assists and 6.4 boards.
• Luguentz Dort posts 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 43.8% from the floor and 39.4% from downtown with 2 made treys per contest.

Thunder Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 22.4 points fewer than the 219.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 48 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Dallas has an against the spread record of 4-7 in its 11 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more this year.
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 36 of 82 set point totals (43.9%).
• The Mavericks score an average of 117.9 points per game, 5.2 more points than the 112.7 the Thunder allow to opponents.
• Dallas is 40-13 against the spread and 42-11 overall when it scores more than 112.7 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 48.1% from the field, 2.6% higher than the 45.5% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• This season, the Mavericks are 21-20-0 at home against the spread (.512 winning percentage). On the road, they are 27-14-0 ATS (.659).
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over 16 of 41 times at home (39%), and 20 of 41 away (48.8%).
• The Mavericks' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .667 (18-9), and away it is .826 (19-4).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic generates 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks are receiving 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game from Kyrie Irving this season.
• Daniel Gafford is averaging 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He is making 72.5% of his shots from the field (first in league).
• P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game while delivering 1 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He is making 40.2% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per game.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

share

in this topic

National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Dallas Mavericks

NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 05/08/2024

Gambling