Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 22

Updated May. 22, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Timberwolves will play the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Minnesota is a modest 4-point favorite against Dallas when the Timberwolves face off against the Mavericks on Wednesday. The point total for the matchup is set at 207.

Here's everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: TNT and truTV

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 4)
O/U Pick: Over (207)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 116 - Mavericks 108

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Timberwolves games have gone over 207 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 67 times (out of 82) this year.
• The Mavericks have played in 75 games this season (91.5% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 207 points.
• These two teams average 230.9 points per game combined, 23.9 more than the total of 207.
• The Timberwolves and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 15.1 more points per game than the over/under of 207 set in this game.
• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 61 games this year and has walked away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those games.
• Dallas has been an underdog in 30 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (36.7%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has come out on top in three of its last four head-to-head matchups against Dallas.
• Both the Timberwolves and the Mavericks are 2-2 against the spread in those contests.
• The Timberwolves have been the favorites in three of their previous four contests, and failed to cover the spread in all four.

FINAL

DAL 108 · MIN 105

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

+4.5

+158

O 206.5

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

-4.5

-189

U 206.5

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 18.2 points fewer than the 207 over/under given for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-40-2 this year.
• Minnesota is 22-25 ATS when favored by 4 points or more this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals.
• The Timberwolves put up 113 points per game, just 2.6 fewer points than the 115.6 the Mavericks allow.
• Minnesota is 23-10 against the spread and 29-4 overall when scoring more than 115.6 points.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 48.5% from the field this season, one percentage point higher than the 47.5% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have fared worse at home, covering 18 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
• Looking at point totals, Minnesota hits the over less consistently when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total 18 times in 41 opportunities this season (43.9%). In away games, it has hit the over 23 times in 41 opportunities (56.1%).
• The Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 27-10 (.730). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 19-5 (.792).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards posts 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.
• Rudy Gobert posts 14 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 66.1% from the floor (second in NBA).
• Karl-Anthony Towns puts up 21.8 points, 3 assists and 8.3 boards per game.
• Naz Reid averages 13.5 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards.
• Mike Conley averages 11.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 boards.

Timberwolves Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 213.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.4 more than the 207 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks are 48-34-0 this season.
• Dallas has been underdogs by 4 points or more 15 times this year and are 7-8 ATS in those games.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over on 36 of 82 set point totals (43.9%).
• The Mavericks put up 11.4 more points per game (117.9) than the Timberwolves allow their opponents to score (106.5).
• Dallas has put together a 47-23 ATS record and a 49-21 overall record in games it scores more than 106.5 points.
• The Mavericks have shot at a 48.1% rate from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points higher than the 45% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
• The Mavericks have performed better against the spread on the road (27-14-0) than at home (21-20-0) this year.
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over less often at home (16 of 41, 39%) than away (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• The Mavericks, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-9) than away (19-4) this year.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game. He's also sinking 48.7% of his shots from the floor and 38.2% from 3-point range, with 4.1 triples per contest (second in league).
• The Mavericks are getting 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game from Kyrie Irving this season.
• Daniel Gafford is averaging 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is sinking 72.5% of his shots from the floor (first in league).
• P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest while delivering 1 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He is making 40.2% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range, with 2.7 treys per game.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 05/23/2024

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