Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 30

Updated May. 30, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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In Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Dallas Mavericks. Thursday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Mavericks features the Timberwolves as 4.5-point favorites. The matchup's point total is 209.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 30, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: TNT and truTV

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (209.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 115 - Mavericks 108

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Timberwolves games have gone over 209.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 61 times (out of 82) this season.
• This year, 72 of the Mavericks' 82 games have had a combined total higher than 209.5 points scored.
• The Timberwolves and Mavericks average 21.4 more points between them than the total of 209.5 for this game.
• The Timberwolves and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 12.6 more points per game than the over/under of 209.5 set in this outing.
• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 61 games this year and has walked away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those games.
• Dallas has come away with 11 wins in the 30 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Minnesota and Dallas have each won four of their last eight head-to-head matchups.
• The Mavericks have an advantage against the spread (5-3) when taking on the Timberwolves.
• In their past four contests the Timberwolves have failed to cover the point spread, and they were favored in three of them.

FINAL

DAL 124 · MIN 103

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

+4.5

+160

O 209.5

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

-4.5

-193

U 209.5

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 206.9 points over its last 10 games, 2.6 less than the 209.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 40 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Minnesota has an against the spread record of 20-21 in its 41 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Timberwolves have hit the over in 50% of their opportunities this year (41 times in 82 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves score 113 points per game, only 2.6 fewer points than the 115.6 the Mavericks give up.
• Minnesota is 23-10 against the spread and 29-4 overall when scoring more than 115.6 points.
• This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is one% higher than the 47.5% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have hit.
• The Timberwolves sport a worse record against the spread when playing at home (18-22-1) than they do in road games (22-18-1).
• Minnesota has hit the over on the total in 18 of 41 home games (43.9%). It has done better on the road, going over the total in 23 of 41 matchups (56.1%).
• The Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 27-10 (.730). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 19-5 (.792).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the field and 35.7% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Rudy Gobert puts up 14 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per game.
• Karl-Anthony Towns posts 21.8 points, 3 assists and 8.3 boards per game.
• Naz Reid averages 13.5 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 rebounds.
• Mike Conley averages 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest, shooting 45.7% from the field and 44.2% from beyond the arc (third in NBA) with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 3.2 points greater than the 209.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 48 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• So far this season, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 4-7 ATS in those matchups.
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over 36 times in 82 opportunities (43.9%).
• The Mavericks score an average of 117.9 points per game, 11.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves allow.
• Dallas has put together a 47-23 ATS record and a 49-21 overall record in games it scores more than 106.5 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 48.1% from the field, 3.1% higher than the 45% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
• The Mavericks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-20-0). On the road, it is .659 (27-14-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over less frequently at home (16 of 41, 39%) than away (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• The Mavericks, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-9) than on the road (19-4) this year.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic generates 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• Kyrie Irving is putting up 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. He's making 49.7% of his shots from the field and 41.1% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per game (ninth in NBA).
• Daniel Gafford is putting up 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is making 72.5% of his shots from the floor (first in NBA).
• P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is draining 43.6% of his shots from the floor and 32% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per game.
• The Mavericks are getting 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Tim Hardaway Jr. this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 05/31/2024

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