Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 10

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 10

Updated May. 10, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets are facing off in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 up next. Friday's game between the Timberwolves and the Nuggets features the Timberwolves as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under for the matchup is 205.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

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  • When: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: ESPN
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Timberwolves -3.5 -110 -110 205 -110 -110 -161 +136

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Over (205)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 114 - Nuggets 108

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Timberwolves games have finished over 205 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 69 (out of 82) times.
  • This season, 72 of the Nuggets' 82 games have had a combined total higher than 205 points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 22.9 more points per game, 227.9, than this matchup's over/under of 205 points.
  • The Timberwolves and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 11.1 more points per game than the point total of 205 set for this outing.
  • Minnesota has been the favorite in 61 games this season and has come away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those contests.
  • Denver has been victorious in four of the 10 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • In the last six head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has a 4-2 record against Denver.
  • The Timberwolves also have a 5-1 advantage against the spread when playing the Nuggets.
  • Versus the point spread, the Timberwolves have failed to cover in four straight games, and they were favored in three of those contests.
FINAL
DEN 117 ยท MIN 90
NBA
SPREAD
TO WIN
TOTAL
Denver Nuggets
DEN
Minnesota Timberwolves
MIN

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 9.2 points fewer than the 205 over/under given for this matchup.
  • The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has an against the spread record of 22-25 in its 47 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
  • Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals.
  • The Timberwolves score 113 points per game, just 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets give up.
  • Minnesota is 35-18 against the spread and 43-10 overall when scoring more than 109.6 points.
  • This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.3% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
  • When playing at home, the Timberwolves have a worse record against the spread (18-22-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (22-18-1).
  • When playing at home, Minnesota exceeds the total 43.9% of the time (18 of 41 games). It hits the over more consistently on the road, topping the total in 56.1% of games (23 of 41).
  • The Timberwolves have performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 27-10, compared to going 19-5 on the road.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 113 18
Points Allowed 106.5 1
Rebounds 43.6 15
Assists 26.6 15
Steals 7.9 6
Blocks 6.1 4

Timberwolves Leaders

  • Anthony Edwards posts 25.9 points, 5.1 assists and 5.4 boards per contest.
  • Rudy Gobert posts 14 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 boards per game.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns puts up 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3 assists per game, shooting 50.4% from the floor and 41.6% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Naz Reid puts up 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
  • Mike Conley posts 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Anthony Edwards 27.5 -118 25.9
Karl-Anthony Towns 19.5 -110 21.8
Rudy Gobert 12.5 +100 14.0
Naz Reid 10.5 +105 13.5
Mike Conley 10.5 -120 11.4

Nuggets Recent Trends

  • The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 12.7 points greater than the 205 total given for this matchup.
  • In the Nuggets' 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
  • Denver has been underdogs by 3.5 points or more four times this season and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
  • The Nuggets have gone over the point total 41.5% of the time this year (34 of 82 games with a set point total).
  • The Nuggets put up an average of 114.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves give up to opponents.
  • Denver is 35-26-1 against the spread and 53-10 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • The Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the field, 4.6% higher than the 45% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
  • The Nuggets have been better against the spread at home (21-19-0) than away (17-23-1) this year.
  • Denver's games have finished above the over/under 43.9% of the time at home (18 of 41), and 39% of the time on the road (16 of 41).
  • This season the Nuggets are 32-8 at home when moneyline favorites (.800 winning percentage). On the road they are 21-11 (.656).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 114.9 14
Points Allowed 109.6 6
Rebounds 44.4 7
Assists 29.5 3
Steals 7.1 21
Blocks 5.6 9

Nuggets Leaders

  • Nikola Jokic provides 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9 assists per game for the Nuggets.
  • On a per-game basis, Michael Porter Jr. gives the Nuggets 16.7 points, 7 rebounds and 1.5 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • Jamal Murray is averaging 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game. He is draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 42.5% from 3-point range (10th in league), with 2.5 triples per game.
  • Aaron Gordon gives the Nuggets 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
  • Reggie Jackson is putting up 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He is making 43.1% of his shots from the field and 35.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per game.

Nuggets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Nikola Jokic 28.5 -125 26.4
Jamal Murray 20.5 -102 21.2
Michael Porter Jr. 16.5 -135 16.7
Aaron Gordon 12.5 -102 13.9
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 7.5 -125 10.1

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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