Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 10

Updated May. 10, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets are facing off in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 up next. Friday's game between the Timberwolves and the Nuggets features the Timberwolves as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under for the matchup is 205.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: ESPN

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Over (205)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 114 - Nuggets 108

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• This season, the Timberwolves games have finished over 205 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 69 (out of 82) times.
• This season, 72 of the Nuggets' 82 games have had a combined total higher than 205 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 22.9 more points per game, 227.9, than this matchup's over/under of 205 points.
• The Timberwolves and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 11.1 more points per game than the point total of 205 set for this outing.
• Minnesota has been the favorite in 61 games this season and has come away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those contests.
• Denver has been victorious in four of the 10 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• In the last six head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has a 4-2 record against Denver.
• The Timberwolves also have a 5-1 advantage against the spread when playing the Nuggets.
• Versus the point spread, the Timberwolves have failed to cover in four straight games, and they were favored in three of those contests.

FINAL

DEN 117 · MIN 90

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Denver Nuggets

DEN

+3.5

+128

o205.5

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

-3.5

-155

u205.5

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 9.2 points fewer than the 205 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this season.
• This season, Minnesota has an against the spread record of 22-25 in its 47 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals.
• The Timberwolves score 113 points per game, just 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets give up.
• Minnesota is 35-18 against the spread and 43-10 overall when scoring more than 109.6 points.
• This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.3% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• When playing at home, the Timberwolves have a worse record against the spread (18-22-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (22-18-1).
• When playing at home, Minnesota exceeds the total 43.9% of the time (18 of 41 games). It hits the over more consistently on the road, topping the total in 56.1% of games (23 of 41).
• The Timberwolves have performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 27-10, compared to going 19-5 on the road.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards posts 25.9 points, 5.1 assists and 5.4 boards per contest.
• Rudy Gobert posts 14 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 boards per game.
• Karl-Anthony Towns puts up 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3 assists per game, shooting 50.4% from the floor and 41.6% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game.
• Naz Reid puts up 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Mike Conley posts 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
• Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 12.7 points greater than the 205 total given for this matchup.
• In the Nuggets' 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• Denver has been underdogs by 3.5 points or more four times this season and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 41.5% of the time this year (34 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets put up an average of 114.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves give up to opponents.
• Denver is 35-26-1 against the spread and 53-10 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.
• The Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the field, 4.6% higher than the 45% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
• The Nuggets have been better against the spread at home (21-19-0) than away (17-23-1) this year.
• Denver's games have finished above the over/under 43.9% of the time at home (18 of 41), and 39% of the time on the road (16 of 41).
• This season the Nuggets are 32-8 at home when moneyline favorites (.800 winning percentage). On the road they are 21-11 (.656).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic provides 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9 assists per game for the Nuggets.
• On a per-game basis, Michael Porter Jr. gives the Nuggets 16.7 points, 7 rebounds and 1.5 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game. He is draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 42.5% from 3-point range (10th in league), with 2.5 triples per game.
• Aaron Gordon gives the Nuggets 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Reggie Jackson is putting up 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He is making 43.1% of his shots from the field and 35.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 triples per game.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 05/11/2024