Warriors vs. Rockets Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 26

The Golden State Warriors will take on the Houston Rockets in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. Saturday's matchup between the Warriors and the Rockets features the Warriors as 3.5-point favorites. A 204.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know about the Warriors-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC

Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (+ 3.5)
O/U Pick: Over (204.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 113 - Rockets 110

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this season, the Warriors have had 67 with more than 204.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• The Rockets have played in 63 games this year (76.8% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 204.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined 23.6 more points per game, 228.1, than this game's total of 204.5 points.
• The Warriors and the Rockets have seen their opponents average a combined 15.8 more points per game than the point total of 204.5 set for this outing.
• Golden State has come away with 35 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Houston has been victorious in 11, or 39.3%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• In the last seven head-to-head matchups, Golden State has a 4-3 record against Houston.
• The Warriors also have a 5-2 record against the spread when facing the Rockets.
• The Rockets have failed to cover in three games in a row against the spread, and were favored in zero of those contests.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
• Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 227.1 points in its last 10 games, 22.6 more than the 204.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Warriors' 82 games this season, they have 41 wins against the spread.
• This season, Golden State has an against the spread record of 20-25 in its 45 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 42 times in 82 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Warriors record only four more points per game (113.8) than the Rockets give up (109.8).
• Golden State is 33-18 against the spread and 39-12 overall when scoring more than 109.8 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points lower than the 45.9% the Rockets allow to opponents.
• The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread in away games (23-17-1) than they have in home games (18-23-0).
• Golden State has exceeded the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in 20 of 41 home matchups (48.8%). On the road, it has hit the over in 22 of 41 games (53.7%).
• The Warriors have performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 18-11, compared to going 17-8 in road games.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry puts up 24.5 points, 4.4 boards and 6 assists per game, shooting 44.8% from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc with 4.4 made treys per game (first in league).
• Jimmy Butler puts up 17.5 points, 5.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game.
• Draymond Green puts up 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (ninth in league) and 1 block.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 11.7 points, 3.4 assists and 5.1 rebounds.
• Buddy Hield averages 11.1 points, 1.6 assists and 3.2 boards.

Warriors Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 18.0 points greater than the 204.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Rockets have 42 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Houston is 10-8 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
• Rockets games this season have gone over the point total 56.1% of the time (46 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Rockets put up just 3.8 more points per game (114.3) than the Warriors allow (110.5).
• Houston has put together a 32-17 ATS record and a 37-12 overall record in games it scores more than 110.5 points.
• The Rockets are shooting 45.5% from the field, one% lower than the 46.5% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Rockets have had better results on the road (22-19-0) than at home (20-20-1) .
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of Houston's games have finished above the over/under at home (51.2%, 21 of 41) than away (61%, 25 of 41).
• The Rockets' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .758 (25-8), and on the road it is .800 (16-4).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. He's also sinking 49.6% of his shots from the floor.
• On a per-game basis, Jalen Green gets the Rockets 21 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Amen Thompson gives the Rockets 14.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game while averaging 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Fred VanVleet is averaging 14.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. He is draining 37.8% of his shots from the field and 34.5% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per game.
• Dillon Brooks is averaging 14 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. He is sinking 42.9% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 triples per contest.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Golden State Warriors

Houston Rockets