Atlanta Falcons Win Total Over/Under Odds and 2023 Schedule Insights

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 9:32 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Falcons sport an over/under of 9.5 wins in 2023, which would be a sizable improvement compared to last season's seven wins if they hit the over. The Atlanta Falcons' current odds to win the Super Bowl (+4900) place them 16th in the league. They are -131 to earn a spot in the postseason.

Falcons Postseason Odds

Odds to Make the Playoffs: -131
Odds to Win the NFC South: +186
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +4900

Falcons: Win Total Odds & Over/Under

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
9.5	+108	-129

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Falcons Last Year Performance

The Falcons finished 7-10 last season and failed to make the playoffs.
Last season Atlanta won only one game away from home and had a 6-3 record at home.
As underdogs, the Falcons went 3-9. As favorites, they were 4-1.
Atlanta was 6-6 in the NFC, including 2-4 in the NFC South.
In one-possession games, the Falcons went 5-8. And they went 4-4 in games decided by a field goal or less.
While failing to win in one day game last season, Atlanta secured seven wins in night contests (7-9).
Atlanta failed to win any two games when set as an underdog of 7.5 points or more last season, but won three games when the underdog by seven points or fewer (3-7).

Falcons Strength of Schedule

The Falcons will have the easiest schedule in the NFL, based on their opponents' combined win total last year (119).
Using our predictions, the Falcons have the third-easiest schedule in the league.
Atlanta is playing the third-easiest schedule this season (based on its opponents' projected win total this year).
The Falcons will play three games in 2023 against teams that finished above .500 in 2022 (one of those teams won 12 or more games and four of them picked up five or fewer wins).

Falcons Offseason Additions and Losses

Draft Results

Name	Pick	Round	Position	College
Bijan Robinson	8	1	RB	Texas
Matthew Bergeron	38	2	OL	Syracuse
Zach Harrison	75	3	DE	Ohio State
Clark Phillips III	113	4	CB	Utah
DeMarcco Hellams	224	7	DB	Alabama
Jovaughn Gwyn	225	7	OL	South Carolina

Offseason Additions

Name	Position	2022 GP	Former Team
Taylor Heinicke	QB	9	Commanders
Mack Hollins	WR	17	Raiders
Jonnu Smith	TE	12	Patriots
Scott Miller	WR	12	Buccaneers
Kaden Elliss	LB	16	Saints
David Onyemata	DL	15	Saints
Jessie Bates III	SAF	16	Bengals
Jeff Okudah	CB	15	Lions
Calais Campbell	DL	13	Ravens
Tre Flowers	CB	13	Bengals
Mike Hughes	CB	13	Lions
Bud Dupree	OLB	11	Titans

Offseason Losses

Name	Position	2022 GP	New Team
Marcus Mariota	QB	13	Eagles
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR	16	Eagles
Rashaan Evans	LB	17	Eagles
Abdullah Anderson	DL	15	Commanders
Mike Ford	CB	13	Browns
Darren Hall	CB	12	Colts
Isaiah Oliver	CB	9	49ers
Rashad Fenton	CB	6	Cardinals
Matt Dickerson	DT	5	Chiefs