Bears vs. Commanders 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Updated Oct. 25, 2024 8:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Chicago Bears (4-2) will be trying to continue a three-game winning streak against the Washington Commanders (5-2). The Bears are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The predicted point total for the matchup is 43.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Can Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears OVERCOME Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders? | NFL on FOX Pod

Dave Helman sits down to preview the game between the Washington Commanders and the Chicago Bears! Within the discussion, Helman discusses both Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels. Helman also questions where Daniels will be able to play this weekend.

Bears vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Bears vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2024, 1:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bears	-3	-105	-115	43	-112	-108

Bears vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Commanders (+3)
Pick OU: Over (43)
Prediction: Commanders 28 - Bears 19

How to Watch Chicago vs. Washington

Game Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Commanders Field
Location: Landover, Maryland
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bears vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Washington has totaled three wins versus Chicago.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Chicago has scored 120 points versus Washington, while surrendering only 112 points.

Chicago Betting Info

Chicago is 4-1-1 against the spread this season.
The Bears have won each of their three games this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
Chicago games this year have gone over the total in three out of six opportunities (50%).
The Bears were favored on the moneyline three times this season, and won all of those games.
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Bears' implied win probability is 59.7%.

Bears Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	196.7 (1,180)	20
Rush yards	104.8 (629)	24
Points scored	24.7 (148)	17
Pass yards against	180.0 (1,080)	7
Rush yards against	112.0 (672)	11
Points allowed	16.8 (101)	4

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

Caleb Williams has 1,317 passing yards through six games this year, averaging 219.5 per game with a 65.3% completion percentage and nine touchdowns against five interceptions.
To go along with his passing stats, Williams also has 169 rushing yards (second on the Bears), but no touchdowns.
D'Andre Swift averages 3.6 yards per carry (44th in the NFL) and 54.2 yards per game, and has 325 total rushing yards. He has recorded three rushing TDs this season.
He has hauled in 19 passes (on 23 targets) for 193 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 32.2 receiving yards and 3.2 catches per game.
Through six games played, D.J. Moore is averaging 52.3 yards and 5.2 receptions per game on the way to 314 receiving yards and 31 catches. He's been targeted 47 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
Cole Kmet averages 4.3 receptions and 48.2 yards per game, and has 289 total receiving yards and 26 catches. He's gotten 29 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

On the defensive side, T.J. Edwards has 47 tackles and 3.0 TFL in 2024.
Jaquan Brisker has picked off one pass and added 40 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
This season, Tremaine Edmunds has recorded 1.0 sack (fifth on the Bears) in addition to his 2.0 TFL, 34 tackles, and one interception.
So far this season, Kevin Byard has 39 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception.

Washington Betting Info

Washington is 5-2-0 against the spread this year.
The Commanders have been underdogs by 3 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread twice.
Games involving Washington have hit the over on five occasions this year.
The Commanders have won two of the four games they've played as underdogs this season.
The Commanders have a 44.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	218.7 (1,531)	14
Rush yards	165.4 (1,158)	3
Points scored	31.1 (218)	1
Pass yards against	197.6 (1,383)	12
Rush yards against	131.6 (921)	18
Points allowed	21.7 (152)	15

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Daniels is averaging 8.4 passing yards per attempt (fifth in the NFL) and 201.4 yards per game this year, completing 75.6% of his passes on the way to 1,410 total yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions through seven games.
Daniels has also rushed for four touchdowns and 372 yards (second on the Commanders).
Brian Robinson Jr. has scored six rushing touchdowns, while totaling 396 rushing yards (4.7 per attempt and 66.0 per game).
Robinson has also picked up 68 receiving yards (11.3 per game) on eight catches (1.3 per game). He's been targeted 11 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
So far this season, Terry McLaurin has caught 35 passes for 454 receiving yards with four touchdowns through the air (eighth in the NFL). He has been targeted 49 total times and is averaging 5.0 receptions per game in seven games played.
Austin Ekeler has 188 rushing yards (third on the Commanders) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 31.3 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt.
Ekeler also has 201 receiving yards (33.5 per game) on 17 catches (2.8 per game). He has been targeted 18 times while he is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.

Defense

So far in 2024, Bobby Wagner has put up 62 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks through seven games.
Frankie Luvu has 4.0 sacks in addition to his 4.0 TFL and 43 tackles through seven games.
During the 2024 season, Mike Sainristil has 34 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception through seven games.
Jeremy Chinn has totaled 1.0 TFL and 31 tackles through seven games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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