Bears vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Updated Dec. 27, 2023 1:21 p.m. ET

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The Chicago Bears (6-9) are favored by three points against the Atlanta Falcons (7-8) on December 31, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The over/under for this one is set at 38 points.

Bears vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Bears vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Chicago (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38)
  
• Prediction: Chicago 23 - Atlanta 19

How to Watch Chicago vs. Atlanta

• Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV: Watch on CBS

Bears vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head contests, Atlanta has beaten Chicago three times.
• Atlanta has been outscored by 16 points in its last five tilts against Chicago.

Chicago Betting Info

• Against the spread, Chicago is 7-6-2 this year.
• The Bears have covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Chicago games in 2023 have gone over the point total eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Bears are 2-1, picking up a victory 66.7% of the time.
• Chicago has played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter in just two games this season, and it won both.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Bears' implied win probability is 60.8%.

Bears Stats

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• Justin Fields has 2,146 passing yards in 11 games this year, averaging 195.1 per game with a 60.9% completion percentage and 15 touchdowns against nine interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 585 yards (first on the Bears) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 53.2 rushing yards per game.
• D.J. Moore's 1,141 receiving yards this season have come from 117 targets and 83 receptions. He's averaging 76.1 receiving yards and 5.5 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
• In the passing game, Cole Kmet, has racked up 678 receiving yards and six touchdowns after hauling in 70 balls on 86 targets. Per game, he's averaging 45.2 yards and 4.7 receptions over 15 games.
• D'Onta Foreman has run for 425 yards, averaging 47.2 yards per game and scoring four touchdowns.
• He's added 11 catches (on 16 targets) for 77 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 8.6 receiving yards and 1.2 receptions per game.

Defense

• On the defensive side, T.J. Edwards has 141 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 2023. His tackle total leads the Bears and is seventh in the NFL.
• Montez Sweat has 12.5 sacks (ninth in the NFL) in addition to his 13.0 TFL and 53 tackles.
• Tremaine Edmunds has totaled four interceptions (fifth in the NFL) and also has 98 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and six passes defended.
• So far this season, Jaquan Brisker has 92 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta has covered the spread five times this season (5-10-0).
• The Falcons have been underdogs by 3 points or more two times this year and have not covered the spread once.
• This year, Atlanta games have hit the over five times.
• The Falcons have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has not won as an underdog of +130 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 43.5% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• In 13 games played this year, Desmond Ridder has amassed 2,528 passing yards, while throwing 10 touchdowns against 10 interceptions and completing 63.3% of his attempts.
• He's added 193 yards on the ground (third on the Falcons), while scoring five rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 14.8 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt.
• Bijan Robinson has scored four rushing touchdowns, while totaling 873 rushing yards (4.6 per carry and 58.2 per game).
• Robinson has also picked up 373 receiving yards (24.9 per game) on 48 catches (3.2 per game). He's been targeted 74 times and has caught three touchdown passes.
• So far this season through 15 games, Tyler Allgeier has churned out 646 rushing yards (second on the Falcons) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 43.1 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (37th in the NFL).
• Drake London has 808 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 61 receptions after getting 91 targets.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Jessie Bates III has recorded 2.0 TFL, 117 tackles, and six interceptions through 15 games.
• Kaden Elliss' stats include 110 tackles, 10.0 TFL, three sacks, and three passes defended.
• Nathan Landman has 94 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in the 2023 season. He is third on the Falcons in tackles.
• Richie Grant's season stats include 86 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 15 games. He is fourth on the Falcons in tackles.

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