Bears vs. Packers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 10

Published Sep. 8, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Chicago Bears (0-0) and Green Bay Packers (0-0) will face off in a matchup of two division rivals. The Bears are slim favorites (-1.5). The predicted point total for the game is 41.5.

Bears vs. Packers Odds & Betting Lines

Bears vs. Packers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Green Bay (+1.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (41.5)
  
• Prediction: Green Bay 26 - Chicago 19

How to Watch Chicago vs. Green Bay

• Game Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV: Watch on FOX

Bears vs. Packers Recent Matchups

• Green Bay has a 4-1 record against Chicago in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has scored 103 points versus Chicago, while allowing only 69 points.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago compiled a 5-11-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Bears were winless ATS (0-1-1) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites last year.
• Chicago games hit the over 10 out of 17 times last season.
• The Bears were the moneyline favorite just two times last season, and they split the games.
• Chicago played as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter in just two games last season, and it split them 1-1.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Bears have an implied win probability of 55.6%.

Bears Stats (2022)

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• Over the course of 15 games played last year, Justin Fields totaled 2,242 passing yards, with 17 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and completing 60.4% of his attempts.
• On the ground, Fields added eight rushing touchdowns and 1,143 rushing yards (seventh in the NFL).
• D.J. Moore had 63 catches for 888 yards and seven receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 118 times and averaged 3.7 receptions per game over 17 games played for the Panthers.
• D'Onta Foreman averaged 57.1 rushing yards per game for the Panthers last season (914 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• Khalil Herbert scored four touchdowns on the ground, while running for 731 total yards (5.7 per carry and 56.2 per game).
• Herbert also tacked on nine catches (0.7 per game) for 57 yards (4.4 per game) and one receiving touchdown. He was on the receiving end of 12 targets.

Defense

• In 2022 for the Eagles, T.J. Edwards amassed two sacks to go with 10 TFL and 159 tackles in 17 games.
• Jaquan Brisker had 104 tackles, five TFL, four sacks, and one interception.
• During his 2022 campaign for the Bills, Tremaine Edmunds had 102 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and one interception in 13 games.
• Eddie Jackson's season stats include 80 tackles, one TFL, and four interceptions over 12 games.

Green Bay Betting Info

• Green Bay covered eight times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Packers went 4-2 as underdogs of 1.5 points or more last season.
• Green Bay and its opponent combined to hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.
• Last season, the Packers won three out of the six games in which they were the underdog.
• Green Bay entered four games last season as the underdog by +105 or more and were 2-2 in those contests.
• The Packers have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Packers Stats (2022)

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Aaron Jones rushed for two TDs last year, and had 1,121 total yards rushing (65.9 per game and 5.3 per carry).
• In addition to his impact on the ground, Jones had 59 catches (on 72 targets) for 395 yards, with five receiving TDs. He averaged 23.2 receiving yards per game.
• A.J. Dillon scored seven rushing TDs, totaling 770 yards (4.1 per carry and 45.3 per game).
• Dillon also had 28 catches for 206 yards. He was targeted 43 times and averaged 12.1 yards per game.
• In 14 games last season, Christian Watson had 41 catches (2.9 per game on 4.7 targets per game) for 611 yards and seven TDs.
• Romeo Doubs had 425 yards receiving and three TDs via 42 catches on 67 targets.

Defense

• Quay Walker had 1.5 sacks to go along with five TFL and 119 tackles in his 17 games in 2022.
• Rasul Douglas' production included four INTs as well as 76 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and 13 passes defended.
• Jonathan Owens recorded one sack plus 125 tackles during the 2022 campaign for the Texans.
• Preston Smith put up 8.5 sacks plus nine TFL and 59 tackles in 16 games.

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