Bengals vs. Browns Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7

Published Jan. 3, 2024 1:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Cleveland Browns (11-5) will be attempting to continue a four-game winning run against the Cincinnati Bengals (8-8). Despite that, the Bengals are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 38.5.

Bengals vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Bengals vs Browns Betting Information updated as of January 2, 2024, 7:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bengals	-6	-110	-110	38.5	-112	-108

Bengals vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Cleveland (+6)
Pick OU: Over (38.5)
Prediction: Cleveland 24 - Cincinnati 20

How to Watch Cincinnati vs. Cleveland

Game Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: Watch on CBS

Bengals vs. Browns Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Cleveland has three wins against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati has been outscored by 25 points in its last five tilts against Cleveland.

Cincinnati Betting Info

Cincinnati has played 16 games, posting six wins against the spread.
Cincinnati contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 56.2% of the time (nine times in 16 games with a set point total).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Bengals have won 54.5% of the time (6-5).
Cincinnati has played as a moneyline favorite of -250 or shorter in just one game this season, which it lost.
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Bengals' implied win probability is 71.4%.

Bengals Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	234.4 (3,750)	11
Rush yards	84.0 (1,344)	32
Points scored	20.9 (335)	20
Pass yards against	255.2 (4,083)	29
Rush yards against	127.6 (2,041)	26
Points allowed	23.1 (370)	21

Cincinnati's Key Players

Offense

Joe Mixon has put up 923 rushing yards with eight touchdowns (57.7 yards per game over 16 games). His 3.8 yards per attempt rank 34th in the NFL.
He has hauled in 51 passes (on 62 targets) for 370 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 23.1 receving yards and 3.2 catches per game.
Ja'Marr Chase has 96 receptions for 1,197 yards and seven TDs. In 15 games, he is averaging 6.4 catches and 79.8 yards per game.
Jake Browning has 1,780 passing yards through eight games this year, averaging 222.5 per game with a 69.9% completion percentage and nine touchdowns against six interceptions.
He has added 109 rushing yards (13.6 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
Tee Higgins has 656 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 42 catches on 76 targets. He's averaging 3.5 receptions and 54.7 yards per game.

Defense

On defense for the Bengals, Logan Wilson has put up 130 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions in 2023.
Trey Hendrickson has 41 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and 17 sacks this season.
Daxton Hill has put up 105 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
So far this season, Germaine Pratt has 116 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions. He's second on the Bengals in tackles.

Cleveland Betting Info

Cleveland have registered a 9-5-2 record against the spread this season.
This season, the Browns have won ATS in each of their two games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
This year, Cleveland games have hit the over nine times.
This season, the Browns have been the underdog seven times and won three of those games.
Cleveland is undefeated in two games this season when it is the underdog by +205 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win by the Browns based on the moneyline is 32.8%.

Browns Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	222.1 (3,553)	19
Rush yards	119.6 (1,913)	11
Points scored	23.9 (382)	9
Pass yards against	165.9 (2,655)	1
Rush yards against	100.6 (1,610)	10
Points allowed	20.7 (331)	11

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

This year through 16 games, Jerome Ford has churned out 807 rushing yards (leading the Browns) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 50.4 yards per game and 4.0 per carry (23rd in the NFL).
Ford's offensive contributions include 42 receptions (2.6 per game) on 60 targets for 293 yards (18.3 per game) and five receiving touchdowns.
Amari Cooper has 72 catches for 1,250 yards (eighth in the NFL) and five receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 128 times and averages 4.8 receptions per game through 15 games played.
Through 16 games played this season, David Njoku has 81 catches (5.1 receptions per game on 7.7 targets per game) for 882 yards and six receiving touchdowns.
Kareem Hunt puts up 29.4 rushing yards per game over 14 games (411 total yards), with nine rushing touchdowns.

Defense

Myles Garrett's 2023 effort includes 42 tackles, 17.0 TFL, and 14 sacks in 15 games.
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has 3.5 sacks in addition to his 20.0 TFL, 98 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games.
In the 2023 season, Martin Emerson has 59 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four interceptions through 16 games.
Sione Takitaki has 2.0 sacks as well as 3.0 TFL, 63 tackles, and one interception.

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