Bengals vs. Rams Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 25

Bengals vs. Rams Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 25

Published Sep. 22, 2023 1:03 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) are favored by three points versus the Los Angeles Rams (1-1) on September 25, 2023, starting at 8:15 PM ET, airing on ESPN. The total for this one is set at 43.5 points.

Bengals vs. Rams Odds & Betting Lines

Bengals vs Rams Betting Information updated as of September 21, 2023, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Bengals -3 -108 -112 43.5 -110 -110

Bengals vs. Rams Prediction & Pick

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  • Pick ATS: Los Angeles (+3)
  • Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  • Prediction: Los Angeles 25 - Cincinnati 19

How to Watch Cincinnati vs. Los Angeles

  • Game Date: Monday, September 25, 2023
  • Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycor Stadium
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • TV: Watch on ESPN

Bengals vs. Rams Recent Matchups

  • In their last five head-to-head bouts, Cincinnati has defeated Los Angeles three times.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Cincinnati has racked up 90 points, while Los Angeles has posted 81.

Cincinnati Betting Info

  • Cincinnati won 12 games against the spread last season, failing to cover four times.
  • The Bengals had an ATS record of 9-5 as 3-point favorites or greater last season.
  • Last season, six Cincinnati games hit the over.
  • The Bengals finished with a 10-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 76.9% of those games).
  • Cincinnati finished 11-3 last year (winning 78.6% of its games) when it played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Bengals have an implied win probability of 60.8%.

Bengals Stats (2022)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 265.0 (4,240) 5
Rush yards 95.5 (1,528) 29
Points scored 26.1 (418) 8
Pass yards against 229.1 (3,665) 23
Rush yards against 106.6 (1,706) 7
Points allowed 20.1 (322) 5

Cincinnati's Key Players

Offense

  • Joe Burrow averaged 7.4 passing yards per attempt (10th in the NFL) and 279.7 yards per game last year, completing 68.3% of his passes on the way to 4,475 total yards (fifth in the NFL), 35 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 12 interceptions in 16 games.
  • Burrow also rushed for five touchdowns and 257 yards.
  • Joe Mixon scored seven rushing touchdowns, while totaling 814 rushing yards (3.9 per carry and 58.1 per game).
  • Mixon also had 60 catches for 441 yards with two receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 75 times and averaged 31.5 yards per game.
  • In 12 games played last season, Ja'Marr Chase had 87 catches (7.3 receptions per game on 11.2 targets per game) for 1,046 yards and nine receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL).
  • Tee Higgins had 1,029 receiving yards and seven touchdowns from 74 receptions on 109 targets.

Defense

  • Logan Wilson's 2022 showing included 123 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 15 games.
  • Germaine Pratt had two interceptions on top of 99 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and 10 passes defended.
  • Sam Hubbard recorded 6.5 sacks as well as 11.0 TFL and 60 tackles in the 2022 season.
  • Trey Hendrickson's season stats include 32 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and eight sacks in 15 games.

Los Angeles Betting Info

  • Los Angeles covered six times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Rams went 4-2-2 as underdogs of 3 points or more last year.
  • Los Angeles games hit the over seven out of 17 times last year.
  • The Rams were underdogs in 12 games last season and won two (16.7%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles entered seven games last season as the underdog by +130 or more and were 2-5 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Rams, based on the moneyline, is 43.5%.

Rams Stats (2022)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 182.8 (3,108) 27
Rush yards 97.7 (1,661) 27
Points scored 18.1 (307) 27
Pass yards against 226.0 (3,842) 21
Rush yards against 115.1 (1,956) 13
Points allowed 22.6 (384) 21

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

  • In nine games last year, Matthew Stafford racked up 2,087 passing yards, with 10 TD passes and eight INTs, connecting on 68.0% of his attempts.
  • Stafford also ran for one TD and 9 yards.
  • Tyler Higbee put together a 2022 campaign that included 72 receptions for 620 yards and three receiving TDs in 16 games. He was on the end of 108 targets and averaged 4.5 catches.
  • In 16 games for the Ravens last season, Demarcus Robinson had 48 catches (3.0 per game on 4.7 targets per game) for 458 yards and two TDs.
  • Van Jefferson had 369 yards receiving and three TDs via 24 catches on 44 targets.

Defense

  • During the 2022 season for the Browns, John Johnson amassed 0.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 96 tackles, and one interception over 17 games.
  • Ernest Jones' production included one INT as well as 113 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
  • Aaron Donald had 49 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and five sacks in 2022.
  • Michael Hoecht's stats for the season included 34 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 11 games.
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