Bengals vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 12

Published Nov. 8, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET

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The Cincinnati Bengals (5-3) are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7) over the Houston Texans (4-4). The Bengals have won four games straight. The predicted point total for the matchup is 48.

Bengals vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Bengals vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Houston (+7)
  
• Pick OU: Under (48)
  
• Prediction: Cincinnati 22 - Houston 20

How to Watch Cincinnati vs. Houston

• Game Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Paycor Stadium
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• TV: Watch on CBS

Bengals vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• Houston holds a 4-1 record against Cincinnati in their last five matchups.
• Cincinnati has been outpaced by 7 points in its last five tilts versus Houston.

Cincinnati Betting Info

• Cincinnati is 4-3-1 against the spread this year.
• Cincinnati games this year have hit the over on three of eight set point totals (37.5%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Bengals are 4-3 (winning 57.1% of the time).
• Cincinnati has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -340 or shorter.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Bengals a 77.3% chance to win.

Bengals Stats

Cincinnati's Key Players

Offense

• Joe Burrow has 1,861 passing yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his attempts, averaging 232.6 yards per game and 6.0 per attempt.
• Ja'Marr Chase's 697 receiving yards this season (eighth in the NFL) have come from 93 targets and 64 receptions (fourth in the NFL). He's averaging 87.1 receiving yards and 8.0 catches per game, with four receiving touchdowns.
• Joe Mixon has 490 rushing yards with three touchdowns (61.3 yards per game through eight games).
• Mixon has gotten 30 targets in the passing game and has 24 catches (3.0 per game) for 158 yards (19.8 per game) and zero TDs.
• Tee Higgins has put up 328 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 27 catches on 51 targets. He's averaging 3.9 receptions and 46.9 yards per game.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Logan Wilson has 0.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 65 tackles, and three interceptions in 2023.
• Germaine Pratt has 1.0 sack (fifth on the Bengals) in addition to his 4.0 TFL, 60 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Trey Hendrickson has collected 23 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and eight sacks this year.
• This season, Daxton Hill has 53 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston has gone 4-4-0 against the spread this season.
• This year, the Texans have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 7 points or more.
• Games involving Houston have hit the over on three occasions this year.
• The Texans have won three of the five games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Houston has entered two games this season as the underdog by +270 or more and is 1-1 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 27.0% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• Through eight games played this year, C.J. Stroud has totaled 2,270 passing yards (seventh-best in the NFL), while throwing 14 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against one interception and completing 62.0% of his passes.
• Stroud has also rushed for one touchdown and 78 yards (third on the Texans).
• Nico Collins has 36 catches for 631 yards (10th in the NFL) and four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 53 times and averages 4.5 receptions per game through eight games played.
• Nathaniel Dell has put up 454 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 28 receptions, while being targeted 43 times on the season.
• Dalton Schultz has 350 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 33 receptions after receiving 50 targets.

Defense

• In 2023, Jonathan Greenard has amassed 30 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and six sacks through eight games.
• Blake Cashman has one interception on top of 46 tackles, 8.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
• Henry To'o To'o has 52 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended in the 2023 season.
• Will Anderson Jr.'s season stats include 30 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in eight games.

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