Bills vs. Broncos 2024 Wild Card Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 12

Published Jan. 10, 2025 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos will play in the AFC Wild Card round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs. The Bills are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The over/under for this one is set at 47.5 points.

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Bills vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of January 10, 2025, 3:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-8.5	-108	-112	47.5	-112	-108

Bills vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Broncos (+8.5)
Pick OU: Over (47.5)
Prediction: Bills 26 - Broncos 22

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Denver

Game Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head contests, Buffalo has beaten Denver three times.
Denver has been outpaced by 44 points in its last five tilts against Buffalo.

Buffalo Betting Info

Against the spread, Buffalo is 10-7-0 this season.
The Bills have been favored by 8.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
Buffalo has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 64.7% of its contests this year (11 times over 17 games with a set point total).
The Bills have compiled an 11-2 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 84.6% of those games).
The Bills have an 81.5% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	227.9 (3,875)	9
Rush yards	131.2 (2,230)	9
Points scored	30.9 (525)	2
Pass yards against	226.1 (3,843)	24
Rush yards against	115.5 (1,963)	12
Points allowed	21.6 (368)	11

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has 3,731 passing yards, 28 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and six interceptions this year. He has completed 63.6% of his attempts, averaging 233.2 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 531 yards (second on the Bills) and added 12 touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 33.2 rushing yards per game.
James Cook has recorded 1,009 rushing yards with 16 touchdowns (63.1 yards per game through 16 games). His 4.9 yards per attempt rank eighth in the NFL.
Cook has 32 receptions on 38 targets for 258 yards. He has two receiving TDs.
In the passing game, Khalil Shakir, has totaled 821 receiving yards and four touchdowns after catching 76 balls on 100 targets. Per game, he's averaging 54.7 yards and 5.1 receptions through 15 games.
Ray Davis has rushed for 442 yards with three touchdowns (26.0 yards per game across 17 games).
Davis has been targeted 19 times to the tune of 17 catches, 189 yards and three TDs.

Defense

On defense, Gregory Rousseau has 53 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and eight sacks in 2024.
Dorian Williams has 114 tackles and 5.0 TFL this season.
Terrel Bernard has recorded 104 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this year.
This season, Damar Hamlin has 88 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two interceptions.

Denver Betting Info

Denver is 12-5-0 against the spread this year.
The Broncos have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more one time this year and have not covered the spread once.
Games involving Denver have hit the over on 10 occasions this year.
This season, the Broncos have been the underdog nine times and won two of those games.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Broncos have a 22.7% chance to win.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	212.4 (3,610)	20
Rush yards	112.2 (1,908)	16
Points scored	25.0 (425)	10
Pass yards against	220.7 (3,752)	19
Rush yards against	96.4 (1,639)	3
Points allowed	18.3 (311)	3

Denver's Key Players

Offense

In 17 games played this year, Bo Nix has amassed 3,775 passing yards, with 29 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against 12 interceptions and completing 66.3% of his passes.
Nix has also rushed for four touchdowns and 430 yards (third on the Broncos).
Courtland Sutton has 81 catches for 1,081 yards and eight receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 135 times and averages 5.1 receptions per game in 16 games played.
This season through 17 games, Javonte Williams has churned out 513 rushing yards (leading the Broncos) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 30.2 yards per game and 3.7 per carry (40th in the NFL).
In addition to his rushing stats, Javonte Williams has pulled down 52 passes (on 70 targets) for 346 yards (fourth on the Broncos). He averages 20.4 yards per game.
Marvin Mims has 39 catches for 503 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.3 yards per game in 17 games and has been targeted 52 times.

Defense

So far in 2024, Nik Bonitto has amassed 48 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one interception through 17 games.
Brandon Jones has three interceptions on top of 115 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended.
Zach Allen has 8.5 sacks (third on the Broncos) as well as 15.0 TFL and 61 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
Jonathon Cooper's season stats include 58 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and 10.5 sacks through 17 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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