Bills vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 23

Published Dec. 19, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Buffalo Bills (8-6) are favored by 11.5 points against the Los Angeles Chargers (5-9) on December 23, 2023, starting at 8:00 PM ET, airing on Peacock. An over/under of 44 points has been set for the matchup.

Bills vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs. Chargers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Los Angeles (+11.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (44)
  
• Prediction: Buffalo 27 - Los Angeles 18

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Los Angeles

• Game Date: Saturday, December 23, 2023
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Location: Inglewood, California
• TV: Watch on Peacock

Bills vs. Chargers Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head contests, Los Angeles has won against Buffalo four times.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Los Angeles has racked up 158 points, while Buffalo has posted 87.

Buffalo Betting Info

• Against the spread, Buffalo is 6-8-0 this season.
• The Bills have been favored by 11.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• Buffalo has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 28.6% of its contests this year (four times over 14 games with a set point total).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Bills are 7-4, picking up a win 63.6% of the time.
• Buffalo has played as a moneyline favorite of -800 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Bills an 88.9% chance to win.

Bills Stats

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

• Josh Allen ranks eighth in the NFL with 3,541 passing yards in 14 games this year, averaging 252.9 per game with a 66.3% completion percentage and 26 touchdowns (third in the NFL) against 14 interceptions.
• He has added 398 rushing yards (28.4 per game) and 11 touchdowns on the ground.
• James Cook averages 5.1 yards per carry (fifth in the NFL) and 69.1 yards per game, and has 968 total rushing yards (second in the NFL). He has recorded two rushing TDs this season.
• Cook's 47 targets through the air have resulted in 40 catches (2.9 per game) for 433 yards (30.9 per game) and four touchdowns.
• In 14 games played, Stefon Diggs is averaging 74.4 yards and 6.5 receptions per game on the way to 1,041 receiving yards and 91 catches (eighth in the NFL). He's been targeted 137 times, and has eight receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL).
• Gabriel Davis has put up 595 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 39 catches on 70 targets. He's averaging three receptions and 45.8 yards per game.

Defense

• Over on defense, Terrel Bernard has 117 tackles, six TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions in 2023. His tackle total leads the Bills.
• Taron Johnson has one sack as well as two TFL and 78 tackles.
• Ed Oliver has totaled 44 tackles, 11 TFL, and 6.5 sacks this year.
• This season, Leonard Floyd has 27 tackles, eight TFL, and 10.5 sacks.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles has covered the spread four times over 14 games with a set total.
• This season, Los Angeles games have hit the over four times.
• This season, the Chargers have been listed as the underdog in five games and failed to win any of those contests.
• Los Angeles has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +550 odds on them winning this game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Chargers have a 15.4% chance to win.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• So far this year, Keenan Allen has 108 receptions (first in the NFL) for 1,243 yards (fourth in the NFL) with seven receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL). He has been targeted 150 times and averages 8.3 catches per game in 13 games played.
• Austin Ekeler averages 46 rushing yards per game over 11 games (506 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• Ekeler also has 40 catches for 373 yards (third on the Chargers), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 60 times and averages 33.9 yards per game.
• This season, Josh Palmer has caught 27 passes for 490 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 43 total times and is averaging 3.4 receptions per game through eight games played.
• Joshua Kelley has 404 rushing yards (second on the Chargers) and two rushing touchdowns, while averaging 28.9 yards per game and 4 per carry (25th in the NFL).

Defense

• In 2023, Khalil Mack has put up 15 sacks to go with 15 TFL and 58 tackles through 14 games. He ranks third in the NFL in sacks.
• Kenneth Murray has 103 tackles, seven TFL, three sacks, and one interception. He leads the Chargers in tackles.
• In the 2023 campaign, Derwin James has 98 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception through 13 games.
• Eric Kendricks' stat sheet includes 93 tackles, seven TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended in 12 games

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