Bills vs. Chiefs 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Updated Nov. 17, 2024 12:50 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills (8-2) are slim favorites (-2.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) in a battle of two squads on winning streaks. The Bills have taken five in a row, the Chiefs nine in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.5.

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Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Information updated as of November 17, 2024, 11:34 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-2.5	-108	-112	46.5	-110	-110

Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Bills (-2.5)
Pick OU: Under (46.5)
Prediction: Bills 24 - Chiefs 21

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Kansas City

Game Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Chiefs Recent Matchups

Buffalo holds a 3-2 record against Kansas City in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has put up 142 points, while Kansas City has accumulated 126.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo is 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
The Bills have an ATS record of 4-2 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season.
Buffalo games this year have gone over the total in six out of 10 opportunities (60%).
The Bills have yet to lose as the moneyline favorite, going 7-0 in those matchups this season.
The Bills have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 57.4%.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	222.5 (2,225)	12
Rush yards	120.7 (1,207)	15
Points scored	29.0 (290)	3
Pass yards against	212.9 (2,129)	18
Rush yards against	123.2 (1,232)	15
Points allowed	19.3 (193)	9

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has thrown for 2,281 yards (ninth in the NFL), 17 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He averages 228.1 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt, while completing 63.5% of his attempts.
He has added 261 rushing yards (26.1 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
James Cook averages 4.5 yards per carry (17th in the NFL) and 64 yards per game, and has 576 total rushing yards. He has scored eight rushing TDs this season.
Cook's 25 targets through the air have turned into 20 catches (2.2 per game) for 175 yards (19.4 per game) and one touchdown.
Khalil Shakir has two touchdown catches this season, and has 48 receptions for 529 yards on 54 targets, while averaging 5.3 catches and 58.8 yards per game.
Keon Coleman has 22 catches for 417 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 36 times in the passing game, and averages 2.4 receptions and 46.3 yards in nine games played.

Defense

Over on defense, Dorian Williams has 91 tackles and five TFL in 2024. His tackle total leads the Bills and is eighth in the NFL.
Gregory Rousseau has 37 tackles, 12 TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season.
Damar Hamlin has put up two interceptions and also has 61 tackles, two TFL, and five passes defended.
Terrel Bernard has one interception while adding 49 tackles, three TFL, and two passes defended.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has registered a 4-5-0 record against the spread this season.
The Chiefs have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
Games involving Kansas City have hit the over on four occasions this year.
The Chiefs won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The Chiefs have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	231.6 (2,084)	9
Rush yards	115.1 (1,036)	21
Points scored	24.3 (219)	15
Pass yards against	206.7 (1,860)	14
Rush yards against	83.2 (749)	3
Points allowed	17.9 (161)	5

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

In nine games played this year, Patrick Mahomes has racked up 2,208 passing yards, with 12 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against nine interceptions and completing 69.5% of his attempts.
On the ground, Mahomes has added one rushing touchdown and 167 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs).
Kareem Hunt averages 74.8 rushing yards per game through six games (449 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
Hunt has also picked up 116 receiving yards (19.3 per game) on 14 catches (2.3 per game). He's been targeted 18 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
This season, Travis Kelce has caught 60 passes (fourth in the NFL) for 499 receiving yards with two touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 76 total times and is averaging 6.7 receptions per game through nine games played.
Xavier Worthy has been targeted 43 times, resulting in 20 catches for 246 yards .

Defense

Nick Bolton's 2024 showing includes 62 tackles, eight TFL, and one sack through nine games. He leads the Chiefs in tackles.
Drue Tranquill has totaled 1.5 sacks in addition to his four TFL and 49 tackles over nine games.
Justin Reid has three TFL, 50 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 campaign.
Chamarri Conner's stats include one interception as well as 38 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in nine games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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