Bills vs. Chiefs 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Published Nov. 15, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills (8-2) and Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) will meet, with both teams on win streaks -- the Bills five in a row, the Chiefs nine in a row. Buffalo is a slim favorite (-2). An over/under of 46 points has been set for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Nick's Week 11 Picks: Steelers (+3) a sneaky bet, do not doubt the Chiefs (+2.5) | What's Wright?

Nick Wright unveils his Week 11 picks, including the Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) as a sneaky bet to defeat the Baltimore Ravens, the New England Patriots (+4.5) giving the Los Angeles Rams a run for their money and why you do not doubt the underdog Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) against the Buffalo Bills. What are your best Week 11 picks?

Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Information updated as of November 15, 2024, 2:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-2	-110	-110	46	-108	-112

Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Bills (-2)
Pick OU: Under (46)
Prediction: Bills 24 - Chiefs 21

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Kansas City

Game Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Chiefs Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Buffalo has totaled three wins versus Kansas City.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has tallied 142 points against Kansas City, while allowing only 126 points.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo is 6-4-0 against the spread this year.
The Bills are 4-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
Buffalo games this year have hit the over on six of 10 set point totals (60%).
The Bills were the moneyline favorite seven times this season, and won all of those games.
The Bills have a 56.5% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	222.5 (2,225)	12
Rush yards	120.7 (1,207)	15
Points scored	29.0 (290)	3
Pass yards against	212.9 (2,129)	18
Rush yards against	123.2 (1,232)	15
Points allowed	19.3 (193)	9

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen ranks ninth in the NFL with 2,281 passing yards in 10 games this year, averaging 228.1 per game with a 63.5% completion percentage and 17 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) against four interceptions.
To go along with his passing stats, Allen also has 261 rushing yards (third on the Bills), with four rushing touchdowns.
James Cook's rushing output this season includes 576 yards and eight TDs. He's averaging 64 yards per game and 4.5 per attempt (17th in the NFL).
Cook has 20 receptions on 25 targets for 175 yards. He has one receiving TD.
Through nine games played, Khalil Shakir is averaging 58.8 yards and 5.3 receptions per game to total 529 receiving yards and 48 catches. He's been targeted 54 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
Keon Coleman has racked up 417 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 22 catches on 36 targets. He is averaging 2.4 receptions and 46.3 yards per game.

Defense

On defense, Dorian Williams has 91 tackles and five TFL in 2024. His tackle total leads the Bills and is eighth in the NFL.
Gregory Rousseau has 37 tackles, 12 TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season.
This season, Damar Hamlin has recorded two TFL, 61 tackles, and two interceptions.
This season, Terrel Bernard has 49 tackles, three TFL, and one interception. He's fourth on the Bills in tackles.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has covered the spread in a game four times this year (4-5-0).
The Chiefs have been underdogs by 2 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
Kansas City games have gone over the total four times this year.
The Chiefs won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Chiefs.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	231.6 (2,084)	9
Rush yards	115.1 (1,036)	21
Points scored	24.3 (219)	15
Pass yards against	206.7 (1,860)	14
Rush yards against	83.2 (749)	3
Points allowed	17.9 (161)	5

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Through nine games played this year, Patrick Mahomes has amassed 2,208 passing yards, while throwing 12 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against nine interceptions and completing 69.5% of his attempts.
He's added 167 yards on the ground (second on the Chiefs), while scoring one rushing touchdown. He's averaging 18.6 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt.
Kareem Hunt has scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 449 rushing yards (3.6 per carry and 74.8 per game).
Hunt has added 14 receptions (2.3 per game) for 116 yards (19.3 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 18 times in the passing attack.
In nine games played this season, Travis Kelce has 60 catches (6.7 receptions per game on 8.4 targets per game) for 499 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
Xavier Worthy has 246 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 20 receptions after getting 43 targets.

Defense

Nick Bolton has 62 tackles, eight TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 2024.
Drue Tranquill has totaled 1.5 sacks in addition to his four TFL and 49 tackles through nine games.
Justin Reid has recorded three TFL, 50 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 season.
Chamarri Conner's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 38 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in nine games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.