Bills vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 3

Updated Nov. 2, 2024 12:44 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having won three in a row, the Buffalo Bills (6-2) will play the Miami Dolphins (2-5). The Bills are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6). The expected point total for the matchup is 49.5.

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Bills vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of November 1, 2024, 11:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-6	-112	-108	49.5	-112	-108

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Bills (-6)
Pick OU: Under (49.5)
Prediction: Bills 33 - Dolphins 9

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Miami

Game Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Buffalo has totaled five wins against Miami.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has tallied 166 points against Miami, while giving up only 104 points.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo has played eight games, posting five wins against the spread.
The Bills have been favored by 6 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
Buffalo games in 2024 have eclipsed the over/under four times in eight opportunities (50%).
The Bills have won each of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Bills' implied win probability is 73.5%.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	214.3 (1,714)	15
Rush yards	122.3 (978)	13
Points scored	28.8 (230)	5
Pass yards against	208.1 (1,665)	13
Rush yards against	120.3 (962)	15
Points allowed	18.3 (146)	6

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has 1,766 passing yards in eight games this year, averaging 220.8 per game with a 64.1% completion percentage and 14 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against one interception.
In addition to his passing stats, Allen also has 204 rushing yards (third on the Bills), with three rushing touchdowns.
James Cook averages 4.6 yards per carry (19th in the NFL) and 64.6 yards per game, and has 452 total rushing yards. He has scored seven rushing TDs this season.
Cook's 16 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 14 catches (2.0 per game) for 145 yards (20.7 per game) and one touchdown.
Keon Coleman has three touchdown catches this season, and has 21 receptions for 396 yards on 34 targets, while averaging 2.6 catches and 49.5 yards per game.
Khalil Shakir has 36 receptions for 421 yards and two touchdowns. He's been targeted 38 times in the air attack, and averages 5.1 receptions and 60.1 yards through seven games played.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Dorian Williams has 70 tackles and 4.0 TFL in 2024. His tackle total leads the Bills and is ninth in the NFL.
Gregory Rousseau has 3.5 sacks (second on the Bills) as well as 8.0 TFL and 26 tackles.
Damar Hamlin has totaled 47 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two interceptions this year.
This season, A.J. Epenesa has 16 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and four sacks.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has gone 1-6-0 against the spread this season.
This year, Miami games have hit the over twice.
The Dolphins have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dolphins have a 30.8% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	186.3 (1,304)	26
Rush yards	131.7 (922)	9
Points scored	13.9 (97)	32
Pass yards against	176.3 (1,234)	4
Rush yards against	123.7 (866)	16
Points allowed	22.4 (157)	16

Miami's Key Players

Offense

Devon Achane has rushed for one touchdown this year, and has 357 total rushing yards (51.0 per game and 4.4 per attempt).
Achane's contributions include 29 receptions (4.1 per game) on 34 targets for 244 yards (34.9 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
Tyreek Hill has 366 receiving yards and one touchdown on 30 receptions, while being targeted 50 times.
Tua Tagovailoa has passed for 717 yards this year, three touchdowns and three interceptions. He is completing 68.0% of his passes while averaging 239.0 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
He's added 41 yards on the ground (fifth on the Dolphins), with zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 13.7 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
Jaylen Waddle has 314 receiving yards from 26 receptions after getting 36 targets.

Defense

Jordyn Brooks has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Dolphins) to go with 3.0 TFL and 55 tackles through seven games in 2024.
Calais Campbell has 22 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two sacks.
Emmanuel Ogbah has intercepted one pass on top of 21 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended during the 2024 campaign.
Zach Sieler's stats include one interception as well as 18 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in six games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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