Bills vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 3

Updated Nov. 3, 2024 12:46 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills (6-2) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5) over the Miami Dolphins (2-5). The Bills have taken three games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 49 points.

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Bills vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of November 3, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-6.5	-112	-108	49	-112	-108

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Bills (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (49)
Prediction: Bills 33 - Dolphins 9

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Miami

Game Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Buffalo owns a 5-0 record against Miami in their last five matchups.
Miami has been outpaced by 62 points in its last five tilts against Buffalo.

Buffalo Betting Info

Against the spread, Buffalo is 5-3-0 this year.
The Bills have been favored by 6.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
Buffalo contests this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (four times in eight games with a set point total).
The Bills have won each of the five games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season.
The Bills have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 74.0%.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	214.3 (1,714)	15
Rush yards	122.3 (978)	13
Points scored	28.8 (230)	5
Pass yards against	208.1 (1,665)	13
Rush yards against	120.3 (962)	15
Points allowed	18.3 (146)	6

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has 1,766 passing yards in eight games this year, averaging 220.8 per game with a 64.1% completion percentage and 14 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against one interception.
He has tacked on 204 rushing yards (25.5 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
James Cook averages 4.6 yards per carry (19th in the NFL) and 64.6 yards per game, and has 452 total rushing yards. He has recorded seven rushing TDs this season.
Cook's 16 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 14 catches (two per game) for 145 yards (20.7 per game) and one touchdown.
In the passing game, Keon Coleman, has racked up 396 receiving yards and three touchdowns after hauling in 21 balls on 34 targets. Per game, he's averaging 49.5 yards and 2.6 receptions over eight games.
Khalil Shakir averages 5.1 receptions and 60.1 yards per game, and has 421 total receiving yards and 36 catches. He's gotten 38 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

On the defensive side, Dorian Williams has 70 tackles and four TFL in 2024.
Gregory Rousseau has 26 tackles, eight TFL, 3.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
Damar Hamlin has recorded 47 tackles, two TFL, and two interceptions this year.
A.J. Epenesa has 16 tackles, three TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has covered the spread once over seven games with a set spread.
Miami games have gone over the total twice this year.
The Dolphins have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dolphins have a 30.3% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	186.3 (1,304)	26
Rush yards	131.7 (922)	9
Points scored	13.9 (97)	32
Pass yards against	176.3 (1,234)	4
Rush yards against	123.7 (866)	16
Points allowed	22.4 (157)	16

Miami's Key Players

Offense

So far this year in seven games, Devon Achane has churned out 357 rushing yards (leading the Dolphins) and scored one rushing touchdown. He averages 51 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (24th in the NFL).
Achane has also been a piece of the passing attack with 244 yards (34.9 per game) on 29 receptions (4.1 per game), while being targeted 34 times. He has two receiving touchdowns.
Tyreek Hill has 366 receiving yards and one touchdown on 30 receptions, while being targeted 50 times.
Through three games this season, Tua Tagovailoa has amassed 717 passing yards, with three touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 68% of his attempts.
Tagovailoa has also rushed for 41 yards (fifth on the Dolphins).
Jaylen Waddle has 314 receiving yards from 26 receptions after receiving 36 targets.

Defense

Jordyn Brooks' 2024 showing includes 55 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in seven games. He leads the Dolphins in tackles.
Calais Campbell has two sacks (first on the Dolphins) to go with seven TFL and 22 tackles.
During the 2024 season, Emmanuel Ogbah has 21 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and one interception in six games.
Zach Sieler has two sacks (first on the Dolphins) as well as three TFL, 18 tackles, and one interception.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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