Bills vs. Jaguars Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Published Oct. 4, 2023 7:13 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills (3-1) will be aiming to extend a three-game winning run against the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2). The Bills are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 48.5.

Bills vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Jaguars Betting Information updated as of October 3, 2023, 4:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-5.5	-112	-108	48.5	-112	-108

Bills vs. Jaguars Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Buffalo (-5.5)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Buffalo 27 - Jacksonville 18

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Jacksonville

Game Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
Time: 9:30 AM ET
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Location: London, United Kingdom
TV: Watch on NFL Network

Bills vs. Jaguars Recent Matchups

Buffalo holds a 3-2 record against Jacksonville in their last five matchups.
Jacksonville has been outpaced by 7 points in its last five tilts versus Buffalo.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo has played four games, posting three wins against the spread.
The Bills have won each of their two games this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
Buffalo games this year have eclipsed the over/under two times in four opportunities (50%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Bills are 3-1 (winning 75% of the time).
Buffalo has played as a moneyline favorite of -230 or shorter in just two games this season, and it won both.
The Bills have a 69.7% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	253 (1,012)	7
Rush yards	138 (552)	8
Points scored	34.8 (139)	2
Pass yards against	169.5 (678)	4
Rush yards against	118.5 (474)	20
Points allowed	13.8 (55)	2

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has thrown for 1,048 yards (sixth in the NFL), nine touchdowns (second in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He averages 262 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt, while completing 74.8% of his passes.
To go along with his passing stats, Allen has 106 rushing yards (second on the Bills), with two rushing touchdowns.
Stefon Diggs has caught 31 passes (fifth in the NFL) on 39 targets for 399 total yards (seventh in the NFL) and four touchdowns. He is averaging 7.8 catches and 99.8 yards per game through four games.
James Cook has 296 rushing yards (seventh in the NFL) with one touchdown (74 yards per game through four games).
Cook has gotten 14 targets in the passing game and has 11 catches (2.8 per game) for 115 yards (28.8 per game) and zero TDs.
Gabriel Davis has 12 catches for 220 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 18 times in the air attack, and averages three receptions and 55 yards in four games played.

Defense

Over on defense, Terrel Bernard has two interceptions (fourth in the NFL) to go with 29 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended in 2023.
Matt Milano has 27 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions this season. He's second on the Bills in tackles.
Ed Oliver has collected 15 tackles, six TFL, and three sacks this year.
So far this season, Gregory Rousseau has nine tackles, four TFL, and three sacks.

Jacksonville Betting Info

Jacksonville has covered the spread two times this season (2-2-0).
Games involving Jacksonville have hit the over twice this year.
The Jaguars lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
Jacksonville has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +190 moneyline set for this game.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Jaguars have a 34.5% chance to win.

Jaguars Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	229.3 (917)	11
Rush yards	100 (400)	19
Points scored	20 (80)	20
Pass yards against	238.3 (953)	22
Rush yards against	94.8 (379)	8
Points allowed	20.5 (82)	12

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 943 yards this year, with four touchdowns and two interceptions. He is completing 67.1% of his attempts while averaging 235.8 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
He's added 101 yards on the ground (second on the Jaguars), with zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 25.3 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt.
Travis Etienne has scored one rushing touchdown, while totaling 260 rushing yards (3.8 per carry and 65 per game).
Etienne also has 14 catches for 96 yards (fourth on the Jaguars). He has been targeted 16 times and averages 24 yards per game.
So far this season, Calvin Ridley has caught 15 passes for 211 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 28 total times and is averaging 3.8 receptions per game through four games played.
Christian Kirk has been targeted 35 times, resulting in 24 catches for 257 yards .

Defense

Foyesade Oluokun's 2023 showing includes 46 tackles and three TFL through four games. He leads the Jaguars and is fifth in the NFL in tackles.
Allen has 16 tackles, five TFL, and six sacks.
In the 2023 campaign, Andre Cisco has 23 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions in four games.
Tyson Campbell's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 23 tackles and three passes defended in four games