Bills vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 19

Published Nov. 15, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Buffalo Bills (5-5) are solid favorites -- expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7) -- versus the New York Jets (4-5) in a matchup of two division rivals. The matchup has an over/under of 40 points.

Bills vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Buffalo (-7)
  
• Pick OU: Under (40)
  
• Prediction: Buffalo 26 - New York 14

How to Watch Buffalo vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Highmark Stadium
• Location: Orchard Park, New York
• TV: Watch on CBS

Bills vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head meetings, New York has beaten Buffalo three times.
• Buffalo has been outpaced by 7 points in its last five tilts against New York.

Buffalo Betting Info

• In 10 Buffalo games this season, it has three wins against the spread.
• The Bills have covered the spread once when favored by 7 points or more this season (in five opportunities).
• Buffalo has combined with its opponent to eclipsed the over/under in 30% of its contests this year (three times in 10 games with a set point total).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Bills are 5-4, earning a victory 55.6% of the time.
• Buffalo has a 3-2 record (winning 60% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -305 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Bills' implied win probability is 75.3%.

Bills Stats

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

• Josh Allen has passed for 2,600 yards (fourth in the NFL), 19 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He is averaging 260.0 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt, while completing 70.3% of his passes.
• He has also rushed for 246 yards (second on the Bills) and added seven touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 24.6 rushing yards per game.
• Stefon Diggs has caught 73 passes (first in the NFL) on 102 targets for 868 total yards (fifth in the NFL) and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 7.3 catches and 86.8 yards per game in 10 games.
• Through 10 games, James Cook has amassed 615 yards on the ground (sixth in the NFL), averaging 61.5 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
• Cook also has 24 receptions, 222 yards and one TD in the passing game.
• Gabriel Davis has 33 receptions for 490 yards and five touchdowns. He's been targeted 55 times in the passing game, and averages 3.3 receptions and 49.0 yards through 10 games played.

Defense

• Over on defense, Terrel Bernard has 93 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and two interceptions in 2023. His tackle total leads the Bills and is seventh in the NFL.
• Taron Johnson has 53 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
• Ed Oliver has collected 32 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and five sacks this year.
• This season, Jordan Poyer has 61 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.

New York Betting Info

• New York is 4-4-1 against the spread this season.
• This year, the Jets have one against the spread win in two games as an underdog of 7 points or more.
• This season, three New York games have gone over the point total.
• The Jets have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won three of those games.
• This season, New York has been at least a +245 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 29.0% chance of a victory for the Jets.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Zach Wilson has passed for 1,863 yards this year, with five touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 59.8% of his passes while averaging 207.0 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
• On the ground, Wilson has added 184 rushing yards (second on the Jets).
• Breece Hall has scored two rushing touchdowns, while totaling 521 rushing yards (4.9 per carry and 57.9 per game).
• Hall has also collected 246 receiving yards (27.3 per game) on 26 catches (2.9 per game). He's been targeted 34 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
• Garrett Wilson has totaled 642 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 55 receptions, while being targeted 95 times on the season.
• Tyler Conklin has 33 catches for 363 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 3.7 yards per game in nine games and has been targeted 42 times.

Defense

• Quincy Williams has 2.0 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL and 81 tackles through nine games in 2023.
• C.J. Mosley has 96 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception. He leads the Jets and is fifth in the NFL in tackles.
• Jordan Whitehead has 3.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and four interceptions.
• Jermaine Johnson's stats include 28 tackles, 6.0 TFL, five sacks, and four passes defended in nine games

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