Bills vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 22

Bills vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 22

Updated Dec. 22, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New England Patriots (3-11) will be aiming to snap a four-game losing streak against the Buffalo Bills (11-3). The Bills are heavy favorites, expected to win by two touchdowns or more (currently -14). The matchup has an over/under of 46.5 points.

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Bills vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of December 19, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Bills -14 -110 -110 46.5 -108 -112

Bills vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Bills (-14)
  • Pick OU: Over (46.5)
  • Prediction: Bills 36 - Patriots 11

How to Watch Buffalo vs. New England

  • Game Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • TV: CBS
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Bills vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

  • Buffalo owns a 4-1 record against New England in their last five matchups.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has racked up 158 points against New England, while surrendering only 100 points.

Buffalo Betting Info

  • Against the spread, Buffalo is 9-5-0 this year.
  • Buffalo games in 2024 have eclipsed the over/under nine times in 14 opportunities (64.3%).
  • The Bills have compiled a 9-1 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 90% of those games).
  • The Bills have a 90.9% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bills Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 238.8 (3,343) 7
Rush yards 130.8 (1,831) 9
Points scored 31.8 (445) 3
Pass yards against 227.8 (3,189) 25
Rush yards against 117.7 (1,648) 14
Points allowed 22.1 (310) 12

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

  • Josh Allen has 3,395 passing yards, 25 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He has completed 64.4% of his attempts, averaging 242.5 yards per game and 8 per attempt.
  • He has also rushed for 484 yards (second on the Bills) and added 11 touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 34.6 rushing yards per game.
  • James Cook averages 4.8 yards per carry (11th in the NFL) and 63.7 yards per game, and has 828 total rushing yards. He has recorded 13 rushing TDs this season.
  • Cook has 29 catches on 35 targets for 232 yards. He has one receiving TD.
  • In 13 games played, Khalil Shakir is averaging 59.5 yards and 5.5 receptions per game on the way to 774 receiving yards and 71 catches. He's been targeted 88 times, and has four receiving touchdowns.
  • Ray Davis has rushed for 357 yards, averaging 25.5 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
  • Davis' 14 receiving targets have resulted in 13 receptions (0.9 per game) for 167 yards (11.9 per game) and two TDs.

Defense

  • Over on the defensive side, Gregory Rousseau has 46 tackles, 16 TFL, and 7.5 sacks in 2024.
  • Dorian Williams has 97 tackles and five TFL.
  • Terrel Bernard has put up 86 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this year. He's second on the Bills in tackles.
  • So far this season, Damar Hamlin has 82 tackles, two TFL, and two interceptions.

New England Betting Info

  • New England has covered the spread in a matchup five times this year (5-8-1).
  • New England's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times this season.
  • The Patriots have entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won three, or 21.4%, of those games.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Patriots based on the moneyline is 13.3%.

Patriots Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 173.2 (2,425) 32
Rush yards 119.2 (1,669) 14
Points scored 17 (238) 31
Pass yards against 216.7 (3,034) 16
Rush yards against 127.4 (1,784) 21
Points allowed 24.1 (337) 23

New England's Key Players

Offense

  • In 10 games played this year, Drake Maye has racked up 1,898 passing yards, with 12 touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 68.5% of his attempts.
  • He's added 359 yards on the ground (third on the Patriots), while scoring two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 35.9 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson averages 56.9 rushing yards per game over 13 games (740 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
  • Stevenson also has 32 catches for 155 yards (seventh on the Patriots), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 39 times and averages 11.9 yards per game.
  • This season, Hunter Henry has caught 62 passes for 635 receiving yards with one touchdown in the passing game. He has been targeted 87 total times and is averaging 4.4 receptions per game in 14 games played.
  • Antonio Gibson averages 28.9 rushing yards per game over 14 games (405 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Gibson has also tacked on 17 catches (1.2 per game) for 178 yards (12.7 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 20 targets.

Defense

  • In 2024, Jahlani Tavai has recorded 89 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and one interception through 14 games.
  • Keion White has 50 tackles, seven TFL, five sacks, and five passes defended.
  • Anfernee Jennings has 69 tackles, six TFL, and 2.5 sacks in the 2024 season.
  • Christian Gonzalez has intercepted two passes and also has 57 tackles, one TFL, and 11 passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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