Broncos vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Denver Broncos (0-3) are 3-point favorites over the Chicago Bears (0-3), in a battle of two squads on losing streaks. The Broncos have dropped three in a row, the Bears three in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is 46.

Broncos vs. Bears Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs. Bears Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Chicago (+3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (46)
  
• Prediction: Chicago 29 - Denver 28

How to Watch Denver vs. Chicago

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV: Watch on CBS

Broncos vs. Bears Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head meetings, Chicago has beaten Denver three times.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Chicago has scored 97 points, while Denver has tallied 88.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver put together a 7-10-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Broncos were winless ATS (0-5) when playing as at least 3-point favorites last year.
• Denver games hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
• The Broncos put together a 3-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 42.9% of those games).
• In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter, Denver had a 2-3 record (winning 40% of its games).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Broncos' implied win probability is 61.8%.

Broncos Stats (2022)

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Russell Wilson threw for 3,524 yards last year, with 16 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He completed 60.5% of his attempts while averaging 234.9 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• On the ground, Wilson added three rushing touchdowns and 277 rushing yards.
• Jerry Jeudy had 67 catches for 972 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 100 times and averaged 4.5 receptions per game over 15 games played.
• Samaje Perine rushed for two touchdowns last year for the Bengals and totaled 394 rushing yards (24.6 per game and 4.1 per attempt).
• In addition to his ground game, Perine hauled in 38 passes (on 51 targets) for 287 yards with four receiving touchdowns. He averaged 17.9 yards per game.
• Courtland Sutton was targeted 109 times, resulting in 64 catches for 829 yards .

Defense

• Alex Singleton had 152 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and three passes defended in 2022.
• Josey Jewell had two interceptions on top of 128 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
• Justin Simmons had 2.0 TFL, 69 tackles, and six interceptions.
• Zach Allen totaled 5.5 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL and 47 tackles in 13 games for the Cardinals.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago put together a 5-11-1 record against the spread last season.
• As 3-point underdogs or more, the Bears went 5-7 against the spread last season.
• A total of 10 of Chicago games last year went over the point total.
• Last season, the Bears won two out of the 15 games, or 13.3%, in which they were the underdog.
• Last season, Chicago won two of its 12 games, or 16.7%, when it was the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Bears.

Bears Stats (2022)

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• Justin Fields averaged 7.1 passing yards per attempt (15th in NFL) and 149.5 yards per game last season, completing 60.4% of his passes on the way to 2,242 total yards, 17 TDs and 11 INTs in 15 games.
• Fields also ran for eight TDs and 1,143 yards (seventh in NFL).
• D.J. Moore had 63 catches for 888 yards and seven TDs. He was targeted 118 times and averaged 3.7 receptions in 17 games for the Panthers.
• Last year, in 16 games with the Panthers, D'Onta Foreman racked up 914 rushing yards and scored five rushing TDs. He averaged 57.1 yards per game and 4.5 per attempt (22nd in the NFL).
• Khalil Herbert averaged 56.2 yards rushing per game in 13 games (731 total yards), with four rushing TDs.
• Herbert added nine catches (0.7 per game) for 57 yards (4.4 per game) and one TD. He was on the end of 12 targets.

Defense

• T.J. Edwards' 2022 season included 159 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and two sacks in 17 games for the Eagles.
• Jaquan Brisker had 4.0 sacks plus 5.0 TFL, 104 tackles, and one interception.
• Tremaine Edmunds recorded 1.0 sack plus 6.0 TFL, 102 tackles, and one interception during the 2022 season for the Bills.
• Eddie Jackson picked off four passes and also had 80 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and six passes defended.

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