Broncos vs. Browns Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 26

Published Nov. 22, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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In a battle featuring two squads coming off victories, the Denver Broncos (5-5) will face the Cleveland Browns (7-3). The Broncos have taken four in a row, the Browns three in a row. Denver is a slight favorite (-1.5). The expected point total for the matchup is 35.

Broncos vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Cleveland (+1.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (35)
  
• Prediction: Cleveland 27 - Denver 17

How to Watch Denver vs. Cleveland

• Game Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023
• Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• TV: Watch on FOX

Broncos vs. Browns Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Denver has tallied four wins against Cleveland.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has scored 127 points, while Cleveland has compiled 77.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver is 3-6-1 against the spread this season.
• The Broncos have not covered the spread this season (0-4-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Denver games in 2023 have gone over the point total four times in 10 opportunities (40%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Broncos are 2-3 (winning 40% of the time).
• Denver has a record of 2-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter (40%).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Broncos' implied win probability is 55.0%.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Russell Wilson has 2,065 passing yards in 10 games this year, averaging 206.5 per game with a 69% completion percentage and 19 touchdowns (third in the NFL) against four interceptions.
• He has tacked on 232 rushing yards (23.2 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
• Courtland Sutton has caught 45 passes on 62 targets for 499 total yards and eight touchdowns. He is averaging 4.5 catches and 49.9 yards per game through 10 games.
• Javonte Williams' output on the ground this season includes 473 yards with no rushing touchdowns. He is averaging 52.6 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (27th in the NFL).
• Williams has 23 receptions on 28 targets for 125 yards, with two receiving TDs.
• Jaleel McLaughlin has rushed for 277 yards with one touchdown (27.7 yards per game across 10 games).
• McLaughlin has been targeted 21 times and turned those targets into 19 receptions, 83 yards and two TDs.

Defense

• On defense, Alex Singleton has 98 tackles and three TFL in 2023. His tackle total leads the Broncos and is ninth in the NFL.
• Jonathon Cooper has 44 tackles, five TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season.
• Zach Allen has recorded 41 tackles, seven TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended.
• So far this season, Nik Bonitto has 23 tackles, nine TFL, and 5.5 sacks.

Cleveland Betting Info

• Cleveland is 6-3-1 against the spread this year.
• The Browns have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 1.5 points or more (in four chances).
• Games involving Cleveland have hit the over on four occasions this year.
• The Browns have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won three of those games.
• Cleveland has a record of 2-2 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +102 on the moneyline.
• The Browns have a 49.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Browns Stats

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

• Jerome Ford has rushed for three touchdowns this year, and has 563 total rushing yards (56.3 per game and 4.1 per carry).
• Ford has also figured into the receiving game with 149 yards (14.9 per game) on 23 receptions (2.3 per game), while being targeted 34 times. He has two receiving touchdowns.
• Amari Cooper has 749 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 45 receptions, while being targeted 80 times.
• Kareem Hunt is averaging 33 rushing yards per game this season (264 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
• David Njoku has 433 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 45 receptions after getting 69 targets.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Myles Garrett has recorded 13 sacks to go with 11 TFL and 30 tackles over 10 games. He ranks first in the NFL in sacks.
• Grant Delpit's stats include one interception as well as 64 tackles, five TFL, 0.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
• Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has 1.5 sacks in addition to his 12 TFL and 49 tackles.
• Ogbonnia Okoronkwo has put up 3.5 sacks (second on the Browns) to go with 11 TFL and 24 tackles over nine games.

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