Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Updated Dec. 27, 2023 1:21 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Los Angeles Chargers (5-10) will be aiming to end a three-game losing run against the Denver Broncos (7-8). The Broncos are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The predicted point total for the game is 37.5.

Broncos vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs Chargers Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2023, 12:34 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Broncos	-3	-112	-108	37.5	-112	-108

Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Denver (-3)
Pick OU: Over (37.5)
Prediction: Denver 26 - Los Angeles 21

How to Watch Denver vs. Los Angeles

Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Location: Denver, Colorado
TV: Watch on CBS

Broncos vs. Chargers Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head bouts, Denver has defeated Los Angeles four times.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has racked up 114 points, while Los Angeles has accumulated 87.

Denver Betting Info

Against the spread, Denver is 5-9-1 this year.
The Broncos have been favored by 3 points or more this season four times and failed to cover in all four.
Denver contests this year have hit the over 46.7% of the time (seven times in 15 games with a set point total).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Broncos are 3-4, earning a win 42.9% of the time.
In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter, Denver has a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of its games).
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Broncos' implied win probability is 60.8%.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187.5 (2,812)	25
Rush yards	110.7 (1,661)	14
Points scored	21.8 (327)	16
Pass yards against	235.1 (3,527)	24
Rush yards against	141.1 (2,116)	31
Points allowed	25.1 (377)	29

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Russell Wilson has 3,070 passing yards, 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He has completed 66.4% of his passes, averaging 204.7 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
He has added 341 rushing yards (22.7 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
Courtland Sutton has 58 receptions for 770 yards and 10 TDs. In 15 games, he is averaging 3.9 catches and 51.3 yards per game.
Through 14 games, Javonte Williams has picked up 701 rushing yards, averaging 50.1 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
Williams has totaled 37 receptions on 46 targets for 168 yards, with two receiving TDs.
Jerry Jeudy has 48 catches for 625 yards and one touchdown. He's been targeted 75 times in the passing game, and averages 3.4 receptions and 44.6 yards in 14 games played.

Defense

Over on defense, Alex Singleton has 151 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Broncos and is fourth in the NFL.
Jonathon Cooper has 67 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 7.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
Josey Jewell has collected 90 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks this year.
Zach Allen has 5.0 sacks (third on the Broncos) to go along with his 8.0 TFL and 52 tackles on the season.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles is 5-9-1 against the spread this year.
The Chargers have been underdogs by 3 points or more four times this year and covered the spread once.
This season, Los Angeles games have hit the over five times.
The Chargers have been listed as the underdog six times this season and have failed to win any of those games.
Los Angeles has been at least a +130 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Chargers.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	233.8 (3,507)	13
Rush yards	95.9 (1,438)	24
Points scored	21.7 (325)	18
Pass yards against	259.3 (3,889)	30
Rush yards against	113.3 (1,700)	17
Points allowed	24.6 (369)	26

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

So far this year, Keenan Allen has 108 receptions (second in the NFL) for 1,243 yards (seventh in the NFL) with seven receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 150 times and averages 8.3 catches per game in 13 games played.
Austin Ekeler has scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 571 rushing yards (3.7 per carry and 47.6 per game).
Ekeler has added 43 receptions (3.6 per game) for 394 yards (32.8 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 64 times in the passing game.
So far this season, Josh Palmer has caught 32 passes for 537 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 51 total times and is averaging 3.6 receptions per game over nine games played.
Gerald Everett has 46 catches for 376 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.5 yards per game in 13 games and has been targeted 60 times.

Defense

Khalil Mack has 62 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 15 sacks, and eight passes defended in 2023.
Kenneth Murray's stats include one interception as well as 107 tackles, 7.0 TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended.
Derwin James has 1.0 sack in addition to his 4.0 TFL, 106 tackles, and one interception.
Eric Kendricks' season stats include 96 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 13 games. He is third on the Chargers in tackles.

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