Broncos vs. Chiefs 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 5

Updated Jan. 5, 2025 12:45 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Denver Broncos (9-7) are heavy favorites (-11.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs (15-1), despite the Chiefs having won six games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 40.5 points.

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs Chiefs Betting Information updated as of January 5, 2025, 8:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Broncos	-11.5	-107	-124	40.5	-105	-115

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (+11.5)
Pick OU: Over (40.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 22 - Broncos 20

How to Watch Denver vs. Kansas City

Game Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Location: Denver, Colorado
TV:
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Chiefs Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Kansas City has put up four wins versus Denver.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has scored 105 points, while Denver has accumulated 98.

Denver Betting Info

Denver is 11-5-0 against the spread this year.
The Broncos have been favored by 11.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
Denver games this year have hit the over on 10 of 16 set point totals (62.5%).
The Broncos have won each of the seven games they were favored on the moneyline this season.
The Broncos have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 84.6%.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	205.6 (3,289)	22
Rush yards	109.4 (1,750)	17
Points scored	24.2 (387)	10
Pass yards against	230.1 (3,681)	25
Rush yards against	100.8 (1,612)	8
Points allowed	19.4 (311)	5

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Bo Nix has 3,454 passing yards, 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions this year. He has completed 65.1% of his passes, averaging 215.9 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
To go along with his passing stats, Nix also has 383 rushing yards (third on the Broncos), with four rushing touchdowns.
Courtland Sutton has caught 76 passes on 128 targets for 983 total yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 5.1 catches and 65.5 yards per game in 15 games.
Javonte Williams' output on the ground this season includes 485 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 30.3 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (41st in the NFL).
Williams has 49 receptions on 66 targets for 296 yards, though he has yet to score a receiving touchdown.
Marvin Mims has racked up 452 receiving yards and four touchdowns with 34 catches on 47 targets. He's averaging 2.1 receptions and 28.3 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Brandon Jones has 114 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three interceptions in 2024. His tackle total leads the Broncos.
Zach Allen has 60 tackles, 15.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
This season, Nik Bonitto has recorded 11.5 sacks (fifth in the NFL) as well as 14.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and one interception.
So far this season, Cody Barton has 101 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions. He's second on the Broncos in tackles.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City is 7-9-0 against the spread this year.
Games involving Kansas City have hit the over on seven occasions this season.
The Chiefs have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 19.6% chance of a victory for the Chiefs.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	231.8 (3,709)	10
Rush yards	110.2 (1,763)	16
Points scored	24.1 (385)	11
Pass yards against	212.4 (3,399)	13
Rush yards against	98.3 (1,573)	4
Points allowed	18.0 (288)	2

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

In 16 games played this year, Patrick Mahomes has amassed 3,928 passing yards (seventh-best in the NFL), with 26 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against 11 interceptions and completing 67.5% of his attempts.
He's added 307 yards on the ground (third on the Chiefs), while scoring two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 19.2 yards per game and 5.3 per attempt.
Kareem Hunt has 728 rushing yards (leading the Chiefs) and seven rushing touchdowns, while averaging 56.0 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (41st in the NFL).
Hunt also has 23 catches for 176 yards (ninth on the Chiefs). He has been targeted 32 times and averages 13.5 yards per game.
So far this season, Xavier Worthy has caught 59 passes for 638 receiving yards with six touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 98 total times and is averaging 3.7 receptions per game over 16 games played.
Travis Kelce has 823 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 97 receptions (eighth in the NFL) after receiving 133 targets.

Defense

So far in 2024, Nick Bolton has 106 tackles, 11.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception through 16 games.
Drue Tranquill's stat sheet includes 94 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended.
Justin Reid has 85 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two interceptions in the 2024 campaign. He is third on the Chiefs in tackles.
George Karlaftis' season stats include 35 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and eight sacks through 16 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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