Broncos vs. Falcons 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Updated Nov. 17, 2024 12:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Denver Broncos (5-5) are considered favorites (-1.5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game against the Atlanta Falcons (6-4) on November 17, 2024, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 45.

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Broncos vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs Falcons Betting Information updated as of November 17, 2024, 4:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Broncos	-1.5	-112	-108	45	-108	-112

Broncos vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Broncos (-1.5)
Pick OU: Under (45)
Prediction: Broncos 24 - Falcons 19

How to Watch Denver vs. Atlanta

Game Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Location: Denver, Colorado
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head matchups, Atlanta has defeated Denver three times.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has compiled 131 points versus Atlanta, while allowing only 125 points.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has seven wins in 10 games versus the spread this year.
When playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-0.
Denver contests this year have gone over the point total 60% of the time (six times in 10 games with a set point total).
The Broncos were the moneyline favorite three times this season, and won all of those games.
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Broncos a 56.5% chance to win.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	186.6 (1,866)	27
Rush yards	117.1 (1,171)	20
Points scored	19.7 (197)	20
Pass yards against	192.2 (1,922)	10
Rush yards against	103.5 (1,035)	7
Points allowed	17.7 (177)	4

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Bo Nix has 1,968 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 63.6% of his passes, averaging 196.8 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
In addition to his passing stats, Nix has 290 rushing yards (second on the Broncos), with four rushing touchdowns.
Courtland Sutton has caught 42 passes on 77 targets for 569 total yards and three touchdowns. He is averaging 4.7 catches and 63.2 yards per game through nine games.
Javonte Williams has 388 rushing yards with two touchdowns (38.8 yards per game through 10 games).
Williams has picked up 31 catches, 222 yards and zero TDs through the air.
Jaleel McLaughlin has rushed for 220 yards with one touchdown (22 yards per game across 10 games).
He has added 16 catches (on 17 targets) for 47 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 4.7 receiving yards and 1.6 receptions per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Brandon Jones has 74 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Broncos.
Zach Allen has 39 tackles, 11 TFL, and five sacks this season.
Jonathon Cooper has collected 41 tackles, seven TFL, and 6.5 sacks this year.
So far this season, Riley Moss has 61 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.

Atlanta Betting Info

Atlanta is 5-5-0 against the spread this season.
This season, the Falcons have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
This season, four Atlanta games have gone over the point total.
The Falcons have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 47.6%.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	250.4 (2,504)	5
Rush yards	124.7 (1,247)	12
Points scored	23.8 (238)	8
Pass yards against	223.4 (2,234)	24
Rush yards against	129.3 (1,293)	20
Points allowed	23.6 (236)	20

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Kirk Cousins is averaging 7.9 passing yards per attempt (eighth in the NFL) and 263.4 yards per game this year, completing 68.2% of his passes on the way to 2,634 total yards (third in the NFL), 17 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and eight interceptions through 10 games.
Bijan Robinson has 748 rushing yards (leading the Falcons and fifth in the NFL) and six rushing touchdowns, while averaging 74.8 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt (13th in the NFL).
Robinson has also picked up 325 receiving yards (32.5 per game) on 40 catches (four per game). He's been targeted 45 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
In 10 games played this season, Drake London has 58 catches (5.8 receptions per game on 8.3 targets per game) for 649 yards (eighth in the NFL) and six receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL).
Darnell Mooney has been targeted 78 times, resulting in 47 catches for 690 yards (fifth in the NFL) (eighth in the NFL).

Defense

In 2024, Kaden Elliss has recorded 88 tackles, three TFL, and one sack through 10 games.
Jessie Bates III has registered one TFL, 60 tackles, and two interceptions over 10 games.
Dee Alford has 52 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and six passes defended during the 2024 season.
A.J. Terrell has one TFL, 49 tackles, and two interceptions.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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