Broncos vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 24

Published Dec. 20, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Denver Broncos (7-7) are favored by 6.5 points against the New England Patriots (3-11) on December 24, 2023, starting at 8:15 PM ET, airing on NFL Network. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 34.5.

Broncos vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Denver (-6.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (34.5)
  
• Prediction: Denver 26 - New England 15

How to Watch Denver vs. New England

• Game Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023
• Time: 8:15 PM ET
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• TV: Watch on NFL Network

Broncos vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New England has three wins against Denver.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has racked up 142 points, while Denver has posted 90.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver has played 14 games, posting five wins against the spread.
• Denver contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 42.9% of the time (six times in 14 games with a set point total).
• The Broncos have won 50% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (3-3).
• Denver has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -278 or shorter.
• The Broncos have a 73.5% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Russell Wilson has 2,832 passing yards, 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He has completed 66.3% of his attempts, averaging 202.3 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
• In addition to his passing stats, Wilson also has 321 rushing yards (third on the Broncos), with three rushing touchdowns.
• Courtland Sutton has caught 58 passes on 85 targets for 770 total yards and 10 touchdowns. He is averaging 4.1 catches and 55 yards per game through 14 games.
• Javonte Williams has 677 rushing yards with one touchdown (52.1 yards per game through 13 games).
• Williams has totaled 34 catches on 43 targets for 173 yards, with two receiving TDs.
• Jerry Jeudy has 45 receptions for 581 yards and one touchdown. He's been targeted 70 times in the air attack, and averages 3.5 receptions and 44.7 yards in 13 games played.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Alex Singleton has 139 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Broncos and is fifth in the NFL.
• Jonathon Cooper has 63 tackles, six TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
• Josey Jewell has totaled 87 tackles, one TFL, and two sacks this year.
• So far this season, Zach Allen has 49 tackles, eight TFL, and five sacks.

New England Betting Info

• New England has covered the spread three times this year (3-11-0).
• This year, the Patriots have just one ATS win in three games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
• New England's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season.
• The Patriots have been underdogs in 10 games this season and won two (20%) of those contests.
• New England has a record of 1-2 when it is set as an underdog of +225 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 30.8% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Rhamondre Stevenson averages 51.6 rushing yards per game this year (619 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
• On top of his impact in the run game, Stevenson has caught 38 passes (on 51 targets) for 238 yards (seventh on the Patriots). He's averaging 19.8 yards per game.
• Through 11 games, Mac Jones has 2,120 passing yards, with 10 touchdowns against 12 interceptions and completing 64.9% of his attempts.
• So far this season through 14 games, Ezekiel Elliott has churned out 522 rushing yards (second on the Patriots) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 37.3 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (38th in the NFL).
• In addition to his ground game, Elliott has hauled in 36 passes (on 45 targets) for 247 yards (sixth on the Patriots), with one receiving touchdown. He averages 17.6 yards per game.
• Hunter Henry has 42 catches for 419 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.2 yards per game through 13 games and has been targeted 61 times.

Defense

• In 2023, Kyle Dugger has recorded 1.5 sacks to go with five TFL, 86 tackles, and two interceptions through 14 games.
• Ja'Whaun Bentley's stat sheet includes 89 tackles, five TFL, four sacks, and three passes defended.
• Jahlani Tavai has intercepted two passes on top of 87 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and five passes defended during the 2023 campaign.
• Jabrill Peppers' stat sheet includes two interceptions as well as 73 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended in 14 games

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