Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 10

Published Sep. 8, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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In a battle of two division rivals, the Denver Broncos (0-0) will play the Las Vegas Raiders (0-0). The Broncos are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 43.5.

Broncos vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Las Vegas (+3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Denver 23 - Raiders 20

How to Watch Denver vs. Las Vegas

• Game Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• TV: Watch on CBS

Broncos vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Las Vegas has taken down Denver four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Las Vegas has scored 120 points against Denver, while allowing only 85 points.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver went 7-10-0 ATS last season.
• The Broncos were winless ATS (0-4) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites last year.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total six times in Denver games.
• The Broncos finished 3-4 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 42.9% of those games).
• Denver finished 2-2 last year (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Broncos a 64.3% chance to win.

Broncos Stats (2022)

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Over the course of 15 games played last year, Russell Wilson racked up 3,524 passing yards, with 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and completing 60.5% of his passes.
• On the ground, Wilson added three rushing touchdowns and 277 rushing yards.
• Jerry Jeudy had 67 catches for 972 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 100 times and averaged 4.5 receptions per game over 15 games played.
• Samaje Perine rushed for two touchdowns last year for the Bengals and totaled 394 rushing yards (24.6 per game and 4.1 per carry).
• In addition to his rushing stats, Perine hauled in 38 passes (on 51 targets) for 287 yards with four receiving touchdowns. He averaged 17.9 yards per game.
• Courtland Sutton had 829 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 64 receptions on 109 targets.

Defense

• Alex Singleton's 2022 output included 152 tackles and six TFL over 16 games.
• Josey Jewell had two interceptions on top of 128 tackles, seven TFL, 2.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
• Justin Simmons had two TFL, 69 tackles, and six interceptions.
• Zach Allen's season stats for the Cardinals last season include 47 tackles, 10 TFL, and 5.5 sacks over 13 games.

Las Vegas Betting Info

• Las Vegas won eight games against the spread last year, failing to cover nine times.
• The Raiders had an ATS record of 3-2 as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater last year.
• In Las Vegas games last season, combined scoring went over the point total nine times.
• The Raiders were underdogs seven times last season and won twice.
• Las Vegas was 1-3 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +150 or more on the moneyline.
• The Raiders have a 40.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Raiders Stats (2022)

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

• Josh Jacobs averaged 97.2 yards rushing last season (1,653 total yards to rank first in the NFL,) while scoring 12 rushing TDs.
• Jacobs' contributions included 53 catches (3.1 per game) on 64 targets for 400 yards (23.5 per game). He did not score a TD in the passing game.
• Davante Adams had 1,516 yards receiving (third in the NFL) and 14 TDs (first in the NFL) on 100 catches (ninth in the NFL), and was targeted 180 times.
• In 11 games for the 49ers last season, Jimmy Garoppolo amassed 2,437 yards passing, with 16 TDs and four INTs, connecting on 67.2% of his passes.
• Garoppolo also ran for two TDs and 33 yards.
• Jakobi Meyers picked up 804 yards and six TDs from 67 receptions and 96 targets for the Patriots.

Defense

• Maxx Crosby's effort in 2022 included 88 tackles, 22 TFL, and 12.5 sacks over 17 games.
• Marcus Epps totaled four TFL and 92 tackles over 17 games for the Eagles.
• Nate Hobbs posted one sack in addition to his three TFL and 72 tackles.
• Robert Spillane had one sack plus four TFL and 77 tackles for the Steelers last season.

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