Broncos vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 17

Updated Oct. 16, 2024 4:49 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having dropped one in a row, the New Orleans Saints (2-4) will play the Denver Broncos (3-3). The Broncos are slight favorites (-2.5). The over/under for this one is set at 37 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Saints' Rashid Shaheed takes a punt 54 yards to the house for a TD against Buccaneers

New Orlean Saints' Rashid Shaheed took a punt 54 yards to the house for a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Broncos vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs Saints Betting Information updated as of October 16, 2024, 4:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Broncos	-2.5	-110	-110	37	-108	-112

Broncos vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (37)
Prediction: Saints 23 - Broncos 22

How to Watch Denver vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Thursday, October 17, 2024
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: Amazon Prime Video
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Saints Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has beaten New Orleans five times.
New Orleans has been outpaced by 60 points in its last five tilts against Denver.

Denver Betting Info

In six Denver games this year, it has four wins against the spread.
The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
Denver games this year have gone over the total in three out of six opportunities (50%).
The Broncos have been moneyline favorites a single other time this season, a game they won.
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Broncos' implied win probability is 56.5%.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	170.8 (1,025)	27
Rush yards	107.3 (644)	23
Points scored	18.7 (112)	22
Pass yards against	170.2 (1,021)	5
Rush yards against	114.2 (685)	14
Points allowed	16.0 (96)	4

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Bo Nix has passed for 1,082 yards, five touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He is averaging 180.3 yards per game and 5.5 per attempt, while completing 61.1% of his passes.
He has also rushed for 180 yards (second on the Broncos) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 30 rushing yards per game.
Courtland Sutton has 21 receptions for 277 yards and two TDs. In six games, he is averaging 3.5 catches and 46.2 yards per game.
Javonte Williams' output on the ground this season includes 213 yards with no rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 35.5 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (43rd in the NFL).
Williams has totaled 20 receptions on 26 targets for 143 yards, but he has not scored a receiving touchdown.
In the ground game, Jaleel McLaughlin averages 3.2 yards per attempt and 19.3 yards per game for 116 total rushing yards. He has scored one rushing touchdown this season.
He's added 12 catches (on 13 targets) for 28 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 4.7 receiving yards and two receptions per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Zach Allen has 29 tackles, nine TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 2024.
Riley Moss has one TFL, 39 tackles, and one interception.
This season, Brandon Jones has recorded 44 tackles and one interception.
This season, Jonathon Cooper has 25 tackles, four TFL, and 4.5 sacks.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans has covered the spread three times over six games with a set total.
The Saints have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more four times this year and have covered the spread twice.
This year, four New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
The Saints have won one of the four games they've played as underdogs this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 47.6%.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	200.3 (1,202)	21
Rush yards	119.5 (717)	13
Points scored	27.8 (167)	4
Pass yards against	262.2 (1,573)	29
Rush yards against	133.7 (802)	20
Points allowed	24.5 (147)	23

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

So far this year in six games, Alvin Kamara has churned out 428 rushing yards (leading the Saints and seventh in the NFL) and scored six rushing touchdowns. He averages 71.3 yards per game and 4.1 per carry (32nd in the NFL).
Kamara's offensive contributions include 28 receptions (4.7 per game) on 36 targets for 238 yards (39.7 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
Derek Carr has 989 passing yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 70.3% and he averages 197.8 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 22 rushing yards (sixth on the Saints).
Rashid Shaheed has totaled 349 receiving yards and three touchdowns (10th in the NFL) on 20 receptions, while being targeted 41 times on the season.
Chris Olave has 23 catches for 280 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 3.8 yards per game through six games and has been targeted 29 times.

Defense

Paulson Adebo has intercepted three passes in addition to 46 tackles, one TFL, and 10 passes defended in 2024. He's third in the NFL in interceptions.
Alontae Taylor has 35 tackles, seven TFL, and 3.5 sacks. He is second on the Saints in tackles.
Tyrann Mathieu has recorded one TFL, 23 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2024 campaign.
Carl Granderson's stat sheet includes 24 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks in six games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.