Broncos vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 17

Updated Oct. 17, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Orleans Saints (2-4) will be aiming to end a four-game losing run against the Denver Broncos (3-3). The Broncos are small favorites (-2.5). The matchup has an over/under of 37 points.

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Broncos vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs Saints Betting Information updated as of October 17, 2024, 2:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Broncos	-2.5	-118	-102	37	-112	-108

Broncos vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (37)
Prediction: Saints 23 - Broncos 22

How to Watch Denver vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Thursday, October 17, 2024
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: Amazon Prime Video
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Broncos vs. Saints Recent Matchups

Denver has a 5-0 record against New Orleans in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has scored 165 points versus New Orleans, while allowing only 105 points.

Denver Betting Info

Denver is 4-2-0 against the spread this season.
The Broncos have been favored by 2.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
Denver contests this year have hit the over 50% of the time (three times in six games with a set point total).
The Broncos have been moneyline favorites a single other time this season, a game they won.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Broncos' implied win probability is 58.7%.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	170.8 (1,025)	27
Rush yards	107.3 (644)	23
Points scored	18.7 (112)	22
Pass yards against	170.2 (1,021)	5
Rush yards against	114.2 (685)	14
Points allowed	16 (96)	4

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Bo Nix has 1,082 passing yards through six games this year, averaging 180.3 per game with a 61.1% completion percentage and five touchdowns against five interceptions.
He has tacked on 180 rushing yards (30 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
Courtland Sutton has caught 21 passes on 47 targets for 277 total yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 3.5 catches and 46.2 yards per game through six games.
In six games, Javonte Williams has picked up 213 yards on the ground, averaging 35.5 yards per game without scoring a touchdown.
Williams has picked up 20 receptions, 143 yards and zero TDs through the air.
In the running game, Jaleel McLaughlin averages 3.2 yards per attempt and 19.3 yards per game for 116 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
McLaughlin has been targeted 13 times to the tune of 12 receptions, 28 yards and one TD.

Defense

Over on defense, Zach Allen has 29 tackles, nine TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 2024.
Riley Moss has 39 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this season. He's second on the Broncos in tackles.
Brandon Jones has totaled 44 tackles and one interception this year. He leads the Broncos in tackles.
This season, Jonathon Cooper has 25 tackles, four TFL, and 4.5 sacks.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans is 3-3-0 against the spread this season.
This year, the Saints have two against the spread wins in four games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
New Orleans games have gone over the total four times this year.
The Saints have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won once.
The Saints have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	200.3 (1,202)	21
Rush yards	119.5 (717)	13
Points scored	27.8 (167)	4
Pass yards against	262.2 (1,573)	29
Rush yards against	133.7 (802)	20
Points allowed	24.5 (147)	23

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Alvin Kamara has rushed for six touchdowns this year, and has 428 total rushing yards (71.3 per game and 4.1 per carry).
Kamara has also played a role the passing attack with 238 yards (39.7 per game) on 28 receptions (4.7 per game), while being targeted 36 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
In five games, Derek Carr has 989 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 70.3% of his attempts.
Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 22 rushing yards (sixth on the Saints).
Through six games played this season, Rashid Shaheed has 20 catches (3.3 receptions per game on 6.8 targets per game) for 349 yards and three receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
Chris Olave has been targeted 29 times, resulting in 23 catches for 280 yards .

Defense

Paulson Adebo's 2024 output includes 46 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions through six games. He leads the Saints in tackles.
Alontae Taylor's stat sheet includes 35 tackles, seven TFL, 3.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
Tyrann Mathieu has one TFL, 23 tackles, and two interceptions.
Carl Granderson has put up three sacks (third on the Saints) to go with three TFL and 24 tackles over six games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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