Broncos vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 19

Published Nov. 15, 2023 7:13 p.m. ET

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The Denver Broncos (4-5) are slight favorites (-2.5) over the Minnesota Vikings (6-4) in a battle of two squads on winning streaks. The Broncos have taken three in a row, the Vikings five in a row. The total for this one is set at 42.5 points.

Broncos vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Broncos vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Minnesota (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (42.5)
  
• Prediction: Minnesota 26 - Denver 21

How to Watch Denver vs. Minnesota

• Game Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
• Time: 8:20 PM ET
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• TV: Watch on NBC

Broncos vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head bouts, Denver has beaten Minnesota three times.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Minnesota has scored 126 points, while Denver has accumulated 123.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver has three wins in nine games versus the spread this season.
• The Broncos have not covered the spread this season (0-3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• Denver has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 44.4% of its contests this year (four times over nine games with a set point total).
• The Broncos have won 25% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (1-3).
• Denver has gone 1-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter (25%).
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Broncos a 57.4% chance to win.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Russell Wilson has 1,806 passing yards in nine games this year, averaging 200.7 per game with a 67.9% completion percentage and 18 touchdowns (third in the NFL) against four interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 231 yards (third on the Broncos) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 25.7 rushing yards per game.
• Courtland Sutton has caught 41 passes on 57 targets for 433 total yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 4.6 catches and 48.1 yards per game through nine games.
• Javonte Williams' output on the ground this season includes 436 yards with no rushing touchdowns. He is averaging 54.5 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (24th in the NFL).
• Williams has totaled 21 catches on 26 targets for 109 yards, with two receiving TDs.
• Jaleel McLaughlin has rushed for 276 yards with one touchdown (30.7 yards per game in nine games).
• McLaughlin has been targeted 16 times to the tune of 14 receptions, 69 yards and two TDs.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Alex Singleton has 82 tackles and three TFL in 2023.
• Jonathon Cooper has 39 tackles, three TFL, and 4.5 sacks this season.
• Nik Bonitto has put up 23 tackles, nine TFL, and 5.5 sacks this year.
• Zach Allen has 36 tackles, six TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended.

Minnesota Betting Info

• Minnesota has covered the spread six times in 10 games with a set total.
• So far this season, the Vikings have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more five times and are 3-1-1 ATS in those games.
• Minnesota games have gone over the total three times this season.
• This season, the Vikings have been the underdog five times and won three of those games.
• Minnesota has a record of 3-2 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Vikings have a 46.7% chance to win.

Vikings Stats

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

• Joshua Dobbs has passed for 1,995 yards this year, with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. He is completing 63.6% of his passes while averaging 199.5 yards per game and 6 per attempt.
• He's added 368 yards on the ground (second on the Vikings), with five rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 36.8 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt.
• Jordan Addison has 603 receiving yards and seven touchdowns (second in the NFL) on 45 receptions, while being targeted 66 times.
• Through 10 games played this season, T.J. Hockenson has 71 catches (7.1 receptions per game on 9.5 targets per game) for 681 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
• Alexander Mattison is scoreless on the ground, but has rushed for 461 total yards (3.5 per attempt and 46.1 per game).
• Mattison has also caught 24 passes for 164 yards (sixth on the Vikings), with three receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 36 times and averages 16.4 yards per game.

Defense

• Danielle Hunter has 48 tackles, 14 TFL, 11 sacks, and two passes defended in 2023.
• Camryn Bynum has two interceptions on top of 83 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and eight passes defended.
• Josh Metellus has recorded one sack as well as five TFL, 63 tackles, and one interception in the 2023 season.
• Harrison Smith has put up three sacks (third on the Vikings) to go with two TFL and 66 tackles through 10 games.

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