Browns vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2023 5:23 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Cleveland Browns (1-0) are small favorites (-2) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1) in a battle of two division rivals. An over/under of 38.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Browns vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Browns vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (+2)
  
• Pick OU: Under (38.5)
  
• Prediction: Pittsburgh 28 - Cleveland 4

How to Watch Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh

• Game Date: Monday, September 18, 2023
• Time: 8:15 PM ET
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• TV: Watch on ABC

Browns vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head bouts, Pittsburgh has won against Cleveland three times.
• Cleveland has been outpaced by 10 points in its last five tilts against Pittsburgh.

Cleveland Betting Info

• Cleveland won nine games against the spread last season, failing to cover eight times.
• The Browns went 3-3 ATS as 2-point favorites or greater last year.
• Last season, eight Cleveland games hit the over.
• The Browns won three of the seven games they were the moneyline favorite last season (42.9%).
• Cleveland had a 3-3 record last year (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
• The Browns have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.4% in this game.

Browns Stats (2022)

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

• Nick Chubb rushed for 12 touchdowns last year, and put up 1,525 total rushing yards (89.7 per game and 5 per carry).
• Chubb's offensive contributions include 27 receptions (1.6 per game) on 37 targets for 239 yards (14.1 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Amari Cooper had 78 catches for 1,160 yards and nine receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL). He was targeted 132 times and averaged 4.6 receptions per game over 17 games played.
• Donovan Peoples-Jones registered 839 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 61 receptions while being targeted 96 times last year.
• Deshaun Watson had 1,102 passing yards, seven touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage was 58.2% and he averaged 183.7 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
• Watson also had one rushing touchdown and 175 rushing yards.

Defense

• Myles Garrett put up 16 sacks to go with 18 TFL and 60 tackles over 16 games in 2022.
• Grant Delpit had four interceptions on top of 101 tackles, four TFL, and 10 passes defended.
• Za'Darius Smith had 10 sacks in addition to his 15 TFL and 44 tackles for the Vikings.
• Rodney McLeod registered eight TFL, 92 tackles, and two interceptions in 16 games for the Colts.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh went 10-6-1 ATS last season.
• The Steelers went 5-4-1 as underdogs of 2 points or more last year.
• Last season, seven Pittsburgh games hit the over.
• The Steelers were underdogs in 11 games last season and won five (45.5%) of those contests.
• Last season, Pittsburgh won four of its 10 games, or 40%, when it was the underdog by at least +110 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Steelers.

Steelers Stats (2022)

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Najee Harris averaged 60.8 yards rushing last year (1,034 total yards) while scoring seven rushing TDs.
• Harris' contributions included 41 catches (2.4 per game) on 53 targets for 229 yards (13.5 per game). He had three receiving TDs.
• Kenny Pickett had 2,404 passing yards, seven TD passes and nine INTs. His completion percentage was 63% and he averaged 184.9 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
• Pickett also had three rushing TDs and 237 rushing yards.
• George Pickens recorded 801 yards receiving and four TDs on 52 receptions while being targeted 84 times last season.
• Diontae Johnson had 882 yards receiving via 86 catches on 147 targets.

Defense

• Alex Highsmith recorded 14.5 sacks to go along with 12 TFL and 63 tackles in his 17 games in 2022.
• Elandon Roberts posted 104 tackles, 10 TFL, and 4.5 sacks for the Dolphins.
• Minkah Fitzpatrick posted one TFL, 96 tackles, and six interceptions.
• Desmond King II totaled 10 TFL, 88 tackles, and two interceptions for the Texans last year.

share

in this topic

National Football League

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns

NFL - Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers - 09/19/2023

Gambling