Buccaneers vs. Commanders 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 8

Buccaneers vs. Commanders 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 8

Updated Sep. 8, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) are considered favorites (-4) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Washington Commanders (0-0) on September 8, 2024, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The matchup has an over/under of 42 points.

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Buccaneers vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of September 8, 2024, 11:34 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Buccaneers -4 -108 -112 42 -112 -108

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-4)
  • Pick OU: Over (42)
  • Prediction: Buccaneers 32 - Commanders 13

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Washington

  • Game Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • TV: Watch on FOX
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

  • Washington has a 4-1 record against Tampa Bay in their last five matchups.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Washington has scored 107 points versus Tampa Bay, while surrendering only 101 points.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

  • Tampa Bay covered 11 times in 17 games with a spread last season.
  • The Buccaneers won once ATS (1-1) as a 4-point favorite or greater last year.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent combined to hit the over in six of 17 contests last season.
  • The Buccaneers finished 4-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • Tampa Bay played as a moneyline favorite of -192 or shorter in only two games last season, and it won both.
  • The Buccaneers have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.8% in this contest.

Buccaneers Stats (2023)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 224.2 (3,812) 17
Rush yards 88.8 (1,509) 32
Points scored 20.5 (348) 20
Pass yards against 248.9 (4,232) 29
Rush yards against 95.3 (1,620) 5
Points allowed 19.1 (325) 6

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Baker Mayfield passed for 4,044 yards last year (to rank ninth in the NFL), with 28 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. He completed 64.3% of his attempts while averaging 237.9 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • Mayfield also rushed for one touchdown and 163 yards.
  • Rachaad White scored six rushing touchdowns, while totaling 990 rushing yards (3.6 per attempt and 58.2 per game).
  • White added 64 receptions (3.8 per game) for 549 yards (32.3 per game) with three receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 70 times in the passing attack.
  • Over the course of 17 games played last season, Mike Evans had 79 catches (4.6 receptions per game on eight targets per game) for 1,255 yards (ninth in the NFL) and 13 receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
  • Chris Godwin had 83 catches for 1,024 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averaged 4.9 yards per game over 17 games and was targeted 130 times.

Defense

  • In 2023, Antoine Winfield Jr. amassed 122 tackles, six TFL, six sacks, and three interceptions through 17 games.
  • Lavonte David's stat sheet included 134 tackles, 17 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
  • Jordan Whitehead had 0.5 sacks in addition to his three TFL, 97 tackles, and four interceptions for the Jets.
  • YaYa Diaby totaled 7.5 sacks to go with 12 TFL and 38 tackles in 15 games.

Washington Betting Info

  • Washington compiled a 6-10-1 record against the spread last season.
  • The Commanders went 3-6-1 as underdogs of 4 points or more last year.
  • In Washington games last year, combined scoring went over the point total 10 times.
  • The Commanders won three, or 23.1%, of the 13 games they played as underdogs last season.
  • Washington was 1-9 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +160 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 38.5% chance to win.

Commanders Stats (2023)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 219.1 (3,725) 18
Rush yards 93.6 (1,592) 27
Points scored 19.4 (329) 25
Pass yards against 262.2 (4,457) 32
Rush yards against 126.8 (2,155) 27
Points allowed 30.5 (518) 32

Washington's Key Players

Offense

  • Last season in 15 games, Brian Robinson Jr. churned out 733 yards rushing and scored five rushing TDs. He averaged 48.9 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (23rd in NFL).
  • Robinson's contributions included 36 catches (2.4 per game) on 43 targets for 368 yards (24.5 per game). He had four receiving TDs.
  • Austin Ekeler averaged 44.9 rushing yards in 14 games for the Chargers (628 total yards), and scored five rushing TDs.
  • Ekeler also picked up 436 yards receiving (31.1 per game) on 51 catches (3.6 per game). He was targeted 74 times and caught one TD pass.
  • In 17 games last season, Terry McLaurin had 79 catches (4.6 per game on 7.8 targets per game) for 1,002 yards and four TDs.
  • Noah Brown picked up 567 yards and two TDs from 33 receptions and 55 targets for the Texans.

Defense

  • Bobby Wagner had 3.5 sacks to go with 11 TFL and 183 tackles in 17 games for the Seahawks during the 2023 season.
  • Frankie Luvu posted 125 tackles, 10 TFL, and 5.5 sacks for the Panthers.
  • Jamin Davis had 89 tackles, eight TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 2023.
  • Da'Ron Payne's stats for the season included 53 tackles, 13 TFL, and four sacks in 17 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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