Buccaneers vs. Commanders 2024 Wild Card Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 12

Published Jan. 10, 2025 8:44 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Commanders will meet in the NFC Wild Card round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs. The Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The matchup has an over/under of 50.5 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

What would a third playoff win for Baker Mayfield mean for the Bucs QB? | The Facility

Emmanuel Acho, LeSean McCoy, James Jones and Chase Daniel reflect on what a third playoff win would mean for Baker Mayfield. The Tampa Bay Bucs are hosting the Washington Commanders during Wild Card Weekend.

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (50.5)
  
• Prediction: Buccaneers 30 - Commanders 22

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Washington

• Game Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• TV: NBC
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Bills vs. Broncos Prediction
• Eagles vs. Packers Prediction

Buccaneers vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Washington has three wins against Tampa Bay.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has put up 116 points, while Washington has compiled 103.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Tampa Bay has 10 wins in 17 games versus the spread this year.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread five times this season (5-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• Tampa Bay games in 2024 have hit the over 12 times in 17 opportunities (70.6%).
• The Buccaneers have won 77.8% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (7-2).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 63.0%.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield has 4,500 passing yards (third in the NFL), 41 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 16 interceptions this year. He has completed 71.4% of his passes, averaging 264.7 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
• He has also rushed for 377 yards (third on the Buccaneers) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 22.2 rushing yards per game.
• Bucky Irving's rushing output this season includes 1,122 yards (10th in the NFL) and eight TDs. He is averaging 66 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (sixth in the NFL).
• Irving has 47 receptions on 52 targets for 392 yards. He has yet to score a receiving touchdown.
• Through 14 games played, Mike Evans is averaging 71.7 yards and 5.3 receptions per game to total 1,004 receiving yards and 74 catches. He's been targeted 110 times, and has 11 receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL).
• Rachaad White has run for 613 yards, averaging 40.9 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
• White's 57 receiving targets have resulted in 51 receptions (3.4 per game) for 393 yards (26.2 per game) and six TDs.

Defense

• Over on defense, Lavonte David has 122 tackles, nine TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Buccaneers.
• YaYa Diaby has 54 tackles, 13 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this season.
• Zyon McCollum has put up 82 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions this year.
• Calijah Kancey has 7.5 sacks (first on the Buccaneers) to go with his 11 TFL and 28 tackles on the year.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has covered the spread in a game 10 times this year (10-7-0).
• The Commanders have been underdogs by 3 points or more six times this year and are 3-3 ATS in those games.
• Washington games have gone over the total 11 times this season.
• This season, the Commanders have won three out of the six games in which they've been the underdog.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 41.3% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Through 17 games played this year, Jayden Daniels has amassed 3,568 passing yards, with 25 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against nine interceptions and completing 69% of his passes.
• Daniels has also rushed for six touchdowns and 891 yards (first on the Commanders).
• Terry McLaurin has 82 catches for 1,096 yards and 13 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 117 times and averages 4.8 receptions per game in 17 games played.
• Brian Robinson Jr. has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has totaled 799 rushing yards (57.1 per game and 4.3 per carry).
• Robinson's offensive output includes 20 receptions (1.4 per game) on 25 targets for 159 yards (11.4 per game), but he has not found the end zone through the air.
• Zach Ertz has been targeted 91 times, resulting in 66 catches for 654 yards .

Defense

• So far in 2024, Frankie Luvu has amassed 99 tackles, 12 TFL, eight sacks, and one interception over 17 games.
• Bobby Wagner has two sacks to go with 10 TFL and 132 tackles.
• Over the 2024 season, Jeremy Chinn has 107 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and one interception through 17 games.
• Mike Sainristil's stats include two interceptions as well as 90 tackles, one TFL, and 13 passes defended in 17 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Washington Commanders

share

in this topic

National Football League

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Washington Commanders

NFL - Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 01/13/2025

Gambling