Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 24

Published Dec. 20, 2023 1:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7) are slight favorites (-1) over the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6). The Jaguars have lost three games straight. An over/under of 42 points has been set for the matchup.

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs Jaguars Betting Information updated as of December 20, 2023, 11:34 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Buccaneers	-1	-110	-110	42	-112	-108

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Tampa Bay (-1)
Pick OU: Over (42)
Prediction: Tampa Bay 23 - Jacksonville 21

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Jacksonville

Game Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Location: Tampa, Florida
TV: Watch on CBS

Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Jacksonville has totaled three wins against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay has been outscored by 11 points in its last five tilts against Jacksonville.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Against the spread, Tampa Bay is 9-5-0 this year.
The Buccaneers have been favored by 1 point or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
Tampa Bay games in 2023 have hit the over six times in 14 opportunities (42.9%).
The Buccaneers have won 75% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (3-1).
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -118 or shorter, Tampa Bay has a 3-1 record (winning 75% of its games).
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 54.1%.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	224.3 (3,140)	19
Rush yards	90.6 (1,269)	29
Points scored	21.1 (296)	20
Pass yards against	263.9 (3,694)	31
Rush yards against	96.0 (1,344)	9
Points allowed	20.7 (290)	13

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield has 3,315 passing yards through 14 games this year, averaging 236.8 per game with a 63.5% completion percentage and 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) against eight interceptions.
He has also rushed for 152 yards (second on the Buccaneers) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 10.9 rushing yards per game.
Rachaad White has racked up 834 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) with five touchdowns (59.6 yards per game over 14 games). His 3.8 yards per attempt rank 34th in the NFL.
White has 50 catches on 55 targets for 469 yards. He has three receiving TDs.
In 14 games played, Mike Evans is averaging 76.9 yards and 4.7 receptions per game to total 1,077 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and 66 catches. He's been targeted 115 times, and has 11 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL).
Chris Godwin has 68 receptions for 814 yards and one touchdown. He's been targeted 108 times in the air attack, and averages 4.9 receptions and 58.1 yards in 14 games played.

Defense

On defense, Antoine Winfield Jr. has 4.0 sacks (fourth on the Buccaneers) to go with 4.0 TFL, 107 tackles, and two interceptions in 2023.
Lavonte David has 105 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks this season.
This season, Shaquil Barrett has recorded 4.5 sacks (third on the Buccaneers) to go with his 3.0 TFL, 48 tackles, and one interception.
This season, Devin White has 69 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception.

Jacksonville Betting Info

Jacksonville has covered the spread eight times in 14 games with a set total.
The Jaguars have been underdogs by 1 point or more six times this year and have covered the spread twice.
This season, seven Jacksonville games have gone over the point total.
The Jaguars have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won twice.
Jacksonville has a record of 2-4 when it is set as an underdog of -102 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Jaguars have a 50.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jaguars Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	244.0 (3,416)	9
Rush yards	98.0 (1,372)	26
Points scored	22.8 (319)	10
Pass yards against	256.6 (3,592)	29
Rush yards against	103.6 (1,450)	12
Points allowed	22.4 (313)	21

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

Through 14 games played this year, Trevor Lawrence has amassed 3,525 passing yards (ninth-best in the NFL), while throwing 18 touchdowns against 10 interceptions and completing 65.9% of his attempts.
Lawrence has also rushed for four touchdowns and 300 yards (second on the Jaguars).
Travis Etienne has scored nine rushing touchdowns, while totaling 837 rushing yards (3.7 per attempt and 59.8 per game).
Etienne has also picked up 411 receiving yards (29.4 per game) on 48 catches (3.4 per game). He's been targeted 62 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
So far this season, Calvin Ridley has caught 60 passes for 781 receiving yards with five touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 109 total times and is averaging 4.3 receptions per game in 14 games played.
Evan Engram has been targeted 109 times, resulting in 88 catches for 729 yards .

Defense

Foyesade Oluokun has intercepted one pass in addition to 148 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and five passes defended in 2023.
Josh Allen has one interception on top of 54 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
Devin Lloyd has 110 tackles and 1.0 TFL in the 2023 season. He is second on the Jaguars in tackles.
Rayshawn Jenkins has 1.0 sack to go with 5.0 TFL, 83 tackles, and two interceptions through 14 games.

There's no denying it, Trevor Lawrence has got to do better | What's Wright?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are now on their 3rd-straight loss, and while they were going into the Week 15 game against the Baltimore Ravens as underdogs, the game was definitely a winnable one. So what was the problem? Unfortunately the 'Prince that was Promised' was not so promising. Trevor Lawrence fumbled the ball in two key plays, and failed to rally the offense in times when they could have pulled ahead. Nick Wright takes a look at what's ahead for the Jaguars, and says Lawrence will have to perform at a higher level if they want to make a playoff run.