Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7

Published Jan. 3, 2024 1:08 p.m. ET

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In a battle of two division rivals, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) will play the Carolina Panthers (2-14). The Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5). The total for this one is set at 38 points.

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Tampa Bay (-5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38)
  
• Prediction: Tampa Bay 26 - Carolina 15

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Carolina

• Game Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Bank of America Stadium
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• TV: Watch on FOX

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Recent Matchups

• Tampa Bay holds a 3-2 record against Carolina in their last five matchups.
• Tampa Bay has been outpaced by 14 points in its last five tilts against Carolina.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Tampa Bay has played 16 games, posting 10 wins against the spread.
• Tampa Bay games this year have hit the over on six of 16 set point totals (37.5%).
• The Buccaneers have put together a 3-2 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 60% of those games).
• Tampa Bay has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -238 or shorter.
• The Buccaneers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 70.4%.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield has passed for 3,907 yards (eighth in the NFL), 28 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He is averaging 244.2 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt, while completing 64.4% of his passes.
• He has also rushed for 156 yards (second on the Buccaneers) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 9.8 rushing yards per game.
• Mike Evans has caught 76 passes on 128 targets for 1,233 total yards (10th in the NFL) and 13 touchdowns. He is averaging 4.8 catches and 77.1 yards per game in 16 games.
• Rachaad White's output on the ground this season includes 915 yards and six TDs. He's averaging 57.2 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (40th in the NFL).
• White has 60 catches on 66 targets for 531 yards, with three receiving TDs.
• Chris Godwin averages 4.8 receptions and 60.8 yards per game, and has 973 total receiving yards and 77 catches. He's gotten 123 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Antoine Winfield Jr. has 5.0 sacks (third on the Buccaneers) to go with 5.0 TFL, 117 tackles, and three interceptions in 2023.
• Lavonte David has 124 tackles, 17.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this season.
• Devin White has put up 80 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
• This season, Shaquil Barrett has 50 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception.

Carolina Betting Info

• Carolina has covered the spread five times in 16 games with a set total.
• This year, the Panthers are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 5 points or more (in five chances).
• This season, five Carolina games have gone over the point total.
• The Panthers have won two, or 12.5%, of the 16 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Carolina has been at least a +195 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.
• The implied probability of a win by the Panthers based on the moneyline is 33.9%.

Panthers Stats

Carolina's Key Players

Offense

• Bryce Young has thrown for 2,783 yards this year, with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He is completing 59.7% of his attempts while averaging 185.5 yards per game and 5.5 per attempt.
• On the ground, Young has added 229 rushing yards (third on the Panthers).
• Chuba Hubbard averages 51.2 rushing yards per game through 16 games (819 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• Hubbard also has 37 catches for 224 yards (fourth on the Panthers). He has been targeted 42 times and averages 14.0 yards per game.
• So far this season, Adam Thielen has caught 101 passes (eighth in the NFL) for 1,002 receiving yards with four touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 134 total times and is averaging 6.3 receptions per game in 16 games played.
• Darrell Demont Chark Jr. has 33 catches for 479 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.5 yards per game through 13 games and has been targeted 62 times.

Defense

• Frankie Luvu's 2023 showing includes 119 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks through 16 games. He leads the Panthers in tackles.
• Derrick Brown has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Panthers) to go with 6.0 TFL, 96 tackles, and one interception.
• During the 2023 season, Brian Burns has 48 tackles, 15.0 TFL, and seven sacks in 15 games.
• Xavier Woods' stats include two interceptions as well as 58 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and six passes defended in 13 games

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