Buccaneers vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 5

Updated Jan. 5, 2025 12:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Orleans Saints (5-11) will be attempting to snap a three-game losing run against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7). The Buccaneers are big favorites, expected to win by two touchdowns or more (currently -15.5). The expected point total for the game is 44.5.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs Saints Betting Information updated as of January 5, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Buccaneers	-15.5	-107	-124	44.5	-108	-112

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-15.5)
Pick OU: Over (44.5)
Prediction: Buccaneers 33 - Saints 14

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Location: Tampa, Florida
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Buccaneers vs. Saints Recent Matchups

Tampa Bay has a 4-1 record against New Orleans in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has tallied 127 points against New Orleans, while giving up only 85 points.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay is 10-6-0 against the spread this year.
Tampa Bay games this year have gone over the total in 11 out of 16 opportunities (68.8%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Buccaneers are 6-2, earning a victory 75% of the time.
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 91.3%.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	252.6 (4,041)	3
Rush yards	147.3 (2,356)	4
Points scored	29.7 (475)	4
Pass yards against	244.9 (3,919)	30
Rush yards against	99.9 (1,599)	6
Points allowed	22.9 (366)	17

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield has passed for 4,279 yards (third in the NFL), 39 touchdowns (third in the NFL) and 15 interceptions this year. He is averaging 267.4 yards per game and 8.0 per attempt, while completing 71.7% of his passes.
He has also rushed for 309 yards (third on the Buccaneers) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 19.3 rushing yards per game.
Bucky Irving averages 5.5 yards per carry (sixth in the NFL) and 64.6 yards per game, and has 1,033 total rushing yards. He has recorded seven rushing TDs this season.
Irving's 47 targets in the passing game have resulted in 45 catches (2.8 per game) for 397 yards (24.8 per game) and zero touchdowns.
Mike Evans has 11 touchdown catches this season (fourth in the NFL), and has 65 receptions for 915 yards on 96 targets, while averaging 5.0 catches and 70.4 yards per game.
Rachaad White has rushed for 613 yards with three touchdowns (40.9 yards per game across 15 games).
He has added 51 catches (on 57 targets) for 393 receiving yards with six touchdowns. He's averaging 26.2 receiving yards and 3.4 receptions per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Lavonte David has one interception to go with 113 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and five passes defended in 2024.
Zyon McCollum has picked off two pases and added 76 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 13 passes defended.
YaYa Diaby has recorded 49 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks this year.
Calijah Kancey has 26 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and 7.5 sacks.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans has put together a record of 6-10-0 against the spread this year.
Games involving New Orleans have hit the over on seven occasions this year.
This season, the Saints have won three out of the 12 games, or 25%, in which they've been the underdog.
The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 12.9%.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	203.8 (3,260)	24
Rush yards	118.1 (1,890)	14
Points scored	19.9 (319)	23
Pass yards against	239.9 (3,839)	27
Rush yards against	139.1 (2,225)	30
Points allowed	23.2 (371)	18

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

This year through 14 games, Alvin Kamara has churned out 950 rushing yards (leading the Saints) and scored six rushing touchdowns. He averages 67.9 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (27th in the NFL).
Kamara's contributions include 68 receptions (4.9 per game) on 89 targets for 543 yards (38.8 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
Through 10 games, Derek Carr has 2,145 passing yards, with 15 touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 67.7% of his attempts.
Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 71 rushing yards (sixth on the Saints).
This season, Foster Moreau has caught 28 passes for 382 receiving yards with five touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 39 total times and is averaging 1.9 receptions per game over 15 games played.
Juwan Johnson has 468 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 44 receptions after getting 59 targets.

Defense

Alontae Taylor's 2024 output includes 87 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and four sacks in 16 games. He is third on the Saints in tackles.
Demario Davis has 2.0 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL, 127 tackles, and one interception over 15 games.
Carl Granderson has 5.5 sacks (second on the Saints) in addition to his 8.0 TFL and 56 tackles.
Tyrann Mathieu has put up 1.0 TFL, 60 tackles, and three interceptions over 16 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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