Buccaneers vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13

Updated Oct. 12, 2024 12:45 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Orleans Saints (2-3) will be aiming to end a three-game losing run against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2). The Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The over/under for this one is set at 42 points.

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Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs Saints Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2024, 9:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Buccaneers	-3.5	-105	-115	42	-108	-112

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+3.5)
Pick OU: Over (42)
Prediction: Saints 25 - Buccaneers 24

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Buccaneers vs. Saints Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Tampa Bay has collected three wins versus New Orleans.
New Orleans has been outscored by 9 points in its last five tilts against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay has played five games, posting three wins against the spread.
The Buccaneers have been favored by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
Tampa Bay games this year have gone over the total in three out of five opportunities (60%).
The Buccaneers have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they split them.
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 63.0%.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	213 (1,065)	15
Rush yards	108.8 (544)	20
Points scored	25.4 (127)	10
Pass yards against	258.4 (1,292)	28
Rush yards against	119.8 (599)	15
Points allowed	22.8 (114)	17

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield ranks 10th in the NFL with 1,164 passing yards in five games this year, averaging 232.8 per game with a 71.9% completion percentage and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) against two interceptions.
To go along with his passing statistics, Mayfield also has 107 rushing yards (third on the Buccaneers), with two rushing touchdowns.
Mike Evans' 276 receiving yards this season have come from 36 targets and 23 receptions. He's averaging 55.2 receiving yards and 4.6 catches per game, with five receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
Chris Godwin has three touchdown catches this season (seventh in the NFL), and has 32 catches (fourth in the NFL) for 386 yards (eighth in the NFL) on 40 targets, while averaging 6.4 catches and 77.2 yards per game.
Bucky Irving has run for 247 yards, averaging 49.4 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.

Defense

On the defensive side, Lavonte David has 37 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 2024.
Jamel Dean has 42 tackles.
Jordan Whitehead has totaled 36 tackles and 1.0 TFL this year. He's third on the Buccaneers in tackles.
This season, Christian Izien has 30 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans has put together a record of 3-2-0 against the spread this year.
This year, the Saints have one against the spread win in two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
Games involving New Orleans have hit the over on three occasions this year.
The Saints have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.
The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 41.3%.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	196 (980)	21
Rush yards	127.2 (636)	10
Points scored	28 (140)	6
Pass yards against	251.2 (1,256)	26
Rush yards against	105 (525)	8
Points allowed	19.2 (96)	8

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Alvin Kamara averages 77.6 rushing yards per game this year (388 total yards to rank sixth in the NFL), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
On top of his rushing statistics, Kamara has caught 23 passes (on 28 targets) for 214 yards (third on the Saints), with one receiving touchdown. He's averaging 42.8 yards per game.
In five games, Derek Carr has 989 passing yards, while throwing eight touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against four interceptions and completing 70.3% of his passes.
He has also added 22 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 4.4 yards per game and 2.8 per carry).
In five games played this season, Rashid Shaheed has 19 catches (3.8 receptions per game on 6.8 targets per game) for 338 yards and three receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL).
Chris Olave has been targeted 28 times, resulting in 22 catches for 275 yards .

Defense

Alontae Taylor has amassed 3.5 sacks (second on the Saints) to go with 6.0 TFL and 29 tackles over five games in 2024.
Paulson Adebo's stat sheet includes two interceptions (third in the NFL) as well as 36 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and eight passes defended.
Tyrann Mathieu has 1.0 TFL, 22 tackles, and two interceptions.
Carl Granderson's season stats include 22 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in five games. He is fourth on the Saints in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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