Buccaneers vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13

Updated Oct. 13, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the New Orleans Saints (2-3). The Saints have dropped three games in a row. An over/under of 42.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. No. 23 Illinois Fighting Illini Highlights | FOX College Football

Check out the best moments from this Week 7 matchup between the Purdue Boilermakers and the No. 23 Illinois Fighting Illini.

Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs Saints Betting Information updated as of October 13, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Buccaneers	-3.5	-108	-112	42.5	-110	-110

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+3.5)
Pick OU: Over (42.5)
Prediction: Saints 25 - Buccaneers 24

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Buccaneers vs. Saints Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Tampa Bay has collected three wins versus New Orleans.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Tampa Bay has racked up 76 points, while New Orleans has posted 67.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay is 3-2-0 against the spread this year.
The Buccaneers have covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
Tampa Bay contests this year have gone over the point total 60% of the time (three times in five games with a set point total).
The Buccaneers have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they split them.
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 63.6%.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	213 (1,065)	15
Rush yards	108.8 (544)	20
Points scored	25.4 (127)	10
Pass yards against	258.4 (1,292)	28
Rush yards against	119.8 (599)	15
Points allowed	22.8 (114)	17

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield ranks 10th in the NFL with 1,164 passing yards in five games this year, averaging 232.8 per game with a 71.9% completion percentage and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) against two interceptions.
In addition to his passing statistics, Mayfield has 107 rushing yards (third on the Buccaneers), with two rushing touchdowns.
Mike Evans' 276 receiving yards this season have come from 36 targets and 23 receptions. He's averaging 55.2 receiving yards and 4.6 catches per game, with five receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
Through five games played, Chris Godwin is averaging 77.2 yards and 6.4 receptions per game to total 386 receiving yards (eighth in the NFL) and 32 catches (fourth in the NFL). He's been targeted 40 times, and has three receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL).
Bucky Irving has rushed for 247 yards with one touchdown (49.4 yards per game through five games).

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Lavonte David has 37 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 2024.
Jamel Dean has 42 tackles and four passes defended.
Jordan Whitehead has put up 36 tackles and one TFL this year.
So far this season, Christian Izien has 30 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans have compiled a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
This year, the Saints have one against the spread win in two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
New Orleans games have gone over the total three times this year.
This season, the Saints have been the underdog three times and won one of those games.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 40.8% chance to win.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	196 (980)	21
Rush yards	127.2 (636)	10
Points scored	28 (140)	6
Pass yards against	251.2 (1,256)	26
Rush yards against	105 (525)	8
Points allowed	19.2 (96)	8

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Alvin Kamara averages 77.6 rushing yards per game this year (388 total yards to rank sixth in the NFL), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
On top of his impact on the ground, Kamara has caught 23 passes (on 28 targets) for 214 yards (third on the Saints), with one receiving touchdown. He's averaging 42.8 yards per game.
Derek Carr has 989 passing yards, eight touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 70.3% and he averages 197.8 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 22 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints).
So far this season, Rashid Shaheed has caught 19 passes for 338 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air (seventh in the NFL). He has been targeted 34 total times and is averaging 3.8 receptions per game over five games played.
Chris Olave has 22 catches for 275 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 4.4 yards per game in five games and has been targeted 28 times.

Defense

Alontae Taylor has 29 tackles, six TFL, 3.5 sacks, and four passes defended in 2024.
Paulson Adebo has two interceptions on top of 36 tackles, one TFL, and eight passes defended. He's third in the NFL in interceptions.
Tyrann Mathieu has one TFL, 22 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2024 campaign.
Carl Granderson has 22 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.