Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Published Dec. 27, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7) will be attempting to continue a four-game winning run against the New Orleans Saints (7-8). The Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The total for this one is set at 42.5 points.

Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Buccaneers vs Saints Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2023, 1:34 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Buccaneers	-3	-108	-112	42.5	-110	-110

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Tampa Bay (-3)
Pick OU: Under (42.5)
Prediction: Tampa Bay 24 - New Orleans 18

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Location: Tampa, Florida
TV: Watch on FOX

Buccaneers vs. Saints Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head contests, Tampa Bay has beaten New Orleans three times.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has racked up 104 points against New Orleans, while giving up only 100 points.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Against the spread, Tampa Bay is 10-5-0 this year.
The Buccaneers have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
Tampa Bay contests this year have gone over the point total 40% of the time (six times in 15 games with a set point total).
The Buccaneers have a 3-1 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games).
Tampa Bay has played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
The Buccaneers have a 60.8% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	227.0 (3,405)	17
Rush yards	89.3 (1,339)	30
Points scored	21.7 (326)	17
Pass yards against	264.1 (3,962)	32
Rush yards against	92.1 (1,381)	7
Points allowed	20.1 (302)	11

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield has 3,598 passing yards, 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He has completed 64.3% of his attempts, averaging 239.9 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
In addition to his passing stats, Mayfield also has 157 rushing yards (second on the Buccaneers), with one rushing touchdown.
Mike Evans has 73 catches for 1,163 yards (ninth in the NFL) and 13 TDs. Through 15 games, he is averaging 4.9 catches and 77.5 yards per game.
Rachaad White's output on the ground this season includes 873 yards (10th in the NFL) and six TDs. He is averaging 58.2 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (39th in the NFL).
White has 56 catches on 62 targets for 507 yards, with three receiving TDs.
Chris Godwin has 74 catches for 892 yards and one touchdown. He's been targeted 119 times in the passing game, and averages 4.9 receptions and 59.5 yards in 15 games played.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Antoine Winfield Jr. has 110 tackles, 5.0 TFL, five sacks, and three interceptions in 2023.
Lavonte David has 113 tackles, 17.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this season.
This season, Devin White has recorded 2.5 sacks to go along with his 3.0 TFL, 73 tackles, and two interceptions.
This season, Shaquil Barrett has 50 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans is 4-10-1 against the spread this season.
The Saints have been underdogs by 3 points or more two times this year and have not covered the spread once.
This season, New Orleans games have hit the over five times.
The Saints have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.
New Orleans has not won as an underdog of +130 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	236.1 (3,542)	12
Rush yards	98.7 (1,480)	21
Points scored	22.1 (331)	13
Pass yards against	194.7 (2,921)	7
Rush yards against	126.9 (1,903)	25
Points allowed	19.8 (297)	9

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Derek Carr has passed for 3,417 yards this year, with 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is completing 67.4% of his passes while averaging 227.8 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt.
Alvin Kamara has 649 rushing yards (leading the Saints) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 54.1 yards per game and 3.8 per carry (35th in the NFL).
Kamara has added 73 receptions (6.1 per game) for 462 yards (38.5 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 84 times in the passing game.
Chris Olave has recorded 1,041 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 81 receptions, while being targeted 129 times on the season.
Rashid Shaheed has been targeted 68 times, resulting in 41 catches for 640 yards .

Defense

So far in 2023, Demario Davis has 108 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks over 15 games.
Carl Granderson has 73 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
Paulson Adebo has 65 tackles and four interceptions in the 2023 campaign.
Alontae Taylor's season stats include 70 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and one sack in 15 games. He is fourth on the Saints in tackles.

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