Chargers vs. Broncos 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13

Chargers vs. Broncos 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13

Updated Oct. 13, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Having taken three straight, the Denver Broncos (3-2) will play the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2). Despite that, the Chargers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the matchup is 35.5.

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Chargers vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of October 13, 2024, 10:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Chargers -3 -105 -115 35.5 -110 -110

Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Broncos (+3)
  • Pick OU: Under (35.5)
  • Prediction: Broncos 19 - Chargers 13

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Denver

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • TV: CBS
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Chargers vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

  • Denver owns a 3-2 record against Los Angeles in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has scored 100 points, while Los Angeles has posted 97.

Los Angeles Betting Info

  • Against the spread, Los Angeles is 3-1-0 this season.
  • The Chargers have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • Los Angeles games this year have not gone over any of four set point totals.
  • The Chargers have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they won both.
  • The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chargers a 59.7% chance to win.

Chargers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 136.0 (544) 31
Rush yards 127.8 (511) 9
Points scored 17.0 (68) 30
Pass yards against 188.5 (754) 9
Rush yards against 94.0 (376) 6
Points allowed 12.5 (50) 1

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

  • J.K. Dobbins' rushing stat line this season includes 342 yards and two TDs. He is averaging 85.5 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt (third in the NFL).
  • Dobbins has 11 targets, 10 receptions, 44 receiving yards and zero TDs through the air.
  • Justin Herbert has 578 passing yards, five touchdowns and one interception this year. He has completed 64.8% of his attempts, averaging 144.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
  • In four games played, Quentin Johnston is averaging 35.5 yards and 2.8 receptions per game to total 142 receiving yards and 11 catches. He's been targeted 18 times, and has three receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL).
  • Ladd McConkey averages 3.8 receptions and 44.0 yards per game, and has 176 total receiving yards and 15 catches. He's gotten 24 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

  • Over on defense, Daiyan Henley has 33 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended in 2024.
  • Denzel Perryman has 30 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack this season.
  • Khalil Mack has put up 15 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks this year.
  • Derwin James has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Chargers) to go with his 2.0 TFL and 21 tackles on the year.

Denver Betting Info

  • Denver has covered the spread four times over five games with a set total.
  • The Broncos have been underdogs by 3 points or more four times this year and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
  • Games involving Denver have hit the over twice this year.
  • The Broncos have won two of the four games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • The Broncos have a 44.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Broncos Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 163.8 (819) 28
Rush yards 106.8 (534) 21
Points scored 19.2 (96) 20
Pass yards against 159.8 (799) 5
Rush yards against 111.4 (557) 10
Points allowed 14.6 (73) 2

Denver's Key Players

Offense

  • Bo Nix is averaging 5.2 passing yards per attempt (30th in the NFL) and 173.2 yards per game this year, completing 61.8% of his passes on the way to 866 total yards, three touchdowns and four interceptions through five games.
  • Nix has also rushed for three touchdowns and 119 yards (second on the Broncos).
  • Javonte Williams has 190 rushing yards (leading the Broncos), whithout scoring a rushing touchdown, while averaging 38.0 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (43rd in the NFL).
  • Williams also has 17 catches for 130 yards (fourth on the Broncos). He has been targeted 20 times and averages 26.0 yards per game.
  • Courtland Sutton has registered 224 receiving yards and one touchdown on 17 receptions, while being targeted 41 times this season.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 108 total yards (3.3 per carry and 21.6 per game).
  • McLaughlin also has 11 receiving yards (2.2 per game) on 10 catches (2.0 per game). He has been targeted 11 times with one touchdown reception.

Defense

  • Riley Moss has put up 1.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception through five games in 2024.
  • Zach Allen has 21 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks.
  • Jonathon Cooper has 4.0 sacks (first on the Broncos and 10th in the NFL) as well as 4.0 TFL and 19 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
  • Brandon Jones has registered 32 tackles and one interception through five games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
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