Chargers vs. Broncos 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13
Published
Oct. 11, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Having won three in a row, the Denver Broncos (3-2) will play the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2). Despite that, the Chargers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The matchup has an over/under of 35.5 points.
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Chargers vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chargers | -3 | -105 | -115 | 35.5 | -110 | -110 |
Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Broncos (+3)
- Pick OU: Under (35.5)
- Prediction: Broncos 19 - Chargers 13
How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Denver
- Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- TV: CBS
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Read More NFL Predictions For This Week
Chargers vs. Broncos Recent Matchups
- Over their last five meetings, Denver has tallied three wins against Los Angeles.
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has compiled 100 points versus Los Angeles, while allowing only 97 points.
Los Angeles Betting Info
- Los Angeles is 3-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Chargers have been favored by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Los Angeles games this year have not hit the over yet in four opportunities.
- The Chargers have been moneyline favorites two other times this season, and they won both.
- The Chargers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 60.8%.
Chargers Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 136 (544) | 31 |
Rush yards | 127.8 (511) | 9 |
Points scored | 17 (68) | 30 |
Pass yards against | 188.5 (754) | 9 |
Rush yards against | 94 (376) | 6 |
Points allowed | 12.5 (50) | 1 |
Los Angeles' Key Players
Offense
- J.K. Dobbins' rushing output this season includes 342 yards and two TDs. He's averaging 85.5 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt (third in the NFL).
- Dobbins has 11 targets, 10 receptions, 44 receiving yards and zero TDs through the air.
- Justin Herbert has thrown for 578 yards, five touchdowns and one interception this year. He averages 144.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt, while completing 64.8%.
- In the passing game, Quentin Johnston, has racked up 142 receiving yards and three touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) after hauling in 11 balls on 18 targets. Per game, he's averaging 35.5 yards and 2.8 receptions over four games.
- Ladd McConkey averages 3.8 receptions and 44.0 yards per game, and has 176 total receiving yards and 15 catches. He's gotten 24 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.
Defense
- On the defensive side, Daiyan Henley has 33 tackles and 2.0 TFL in 2024.
- Denzel Perryman has 30 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.
- Khalil Mack has recorded 15 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks this year.
- Derwin James has 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.
Denver Betting Info
- Denver is 4-1-0 against the spread this season.
- So far this year, the Broncos have been installed as underdogs by a 3-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
- Denver games have gone over the total twice this season.
- The Broncos have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
- The implied probability of a win by the Broncos based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
Broncos Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 163.8 (819) | 28 |
Rush yards | 106.8 (534) | 21 |
Points scored | 19.2 (96) | 20 |
Pass yards against | 159.8 (799) | 5 |
Rush yards against | 111.4 (557) | 10 |
Points allowed | 14.6 (73) | 2 |
Denver's Key Players
Offense
- Bo Nix has passed for 866 yards this year, with three touchdowns and four interceptions. He is completing 61.8% of his attempts while averaging 173.2 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
- Nix has also rushed for three touchdowns and 119 yards (second on the Broncos).
- Javonte Williams is still looking for a rushing touchdown, while totaling 190 rushing yards (3.6 per carry and 38.0 per game).
- Williams also has 17 catches for 130 yards (fourth on the Broncos). He has been targeted 20 times and averages 26.0 yards per game.
- This season, Courtland Sutton has caught 17 passes for 224 receiving yards with one touchdown through the air. He has been targeted 41 total times and is averaging 3.4 receptions per game through five games played.
- Josh Reynolds has 183 receiving yards and one touchdown from 12 receptions after receiving 19 targets.
Defense
- In 2024, Riley Moss has put up 1.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception over five games.
- Zach Allen has 21 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks.
- Jonathon Cooper has 4.0 sacks (first on the Broncos and 10th in the NFL) as well as 4.0 TFL and 19 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
- Brandon Jones has totaled 32 tackles and one interception through five games.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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