Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 10

Published Dec. 6, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Los Angeles Chargers (5-7) will meet the Denver Broncos (6-6). The Chargers are slim favorites (-2.5). The matchup has an over/under of 44 points.

Chargers vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of December 6, 2023, 10:34 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chargers	-2.5	-118	-102	44	-110	-110

Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Los Angeles (-2.5)
Pick OU: Over (44)
Prediction: Los Angeles 26 - Denver 20

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Denver

Game Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Inglewood, California
TV: Watch on CBS

Chargers vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

Denver has a 3-2 record against Los Angeles in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Los Angeles has racked up 103 points, while Denver has compiled 99.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Against the spread, Los Angeles is 4-7-1 this season.
The Chargers have covered the spread three times this season (3-3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
Los Angeles games in 2023 have gone over the point total three times in 12 opportunities (25%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chargers are 4-3 (winning 57.1% of the time).
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter, Los Angeles has a record of 4-2 (66.7%).
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chargers a 59.7% chance to win.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	240.9 (2,891)	11
Rush yards	97.7 (1,172)	25
Points scored	22.9 (275)	11
Pass yards against	265.8 (3,189)	31
Rush yards against	113.8 (1,365)	17
Points allowed	21.5 (258)	19

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Justin Herbert has passed for 3,038 yards (ninth in the NFL), 20 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and six interceptions this year. He averages 253.2 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt, while completing 65.6% of his passes.
He has also rushed for 228 yards (third on the Chargers) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 19.0 rushing yards per game.
Keenan Allen's 1,175 receiving yards this season (third in the NFL) have come from 138 targets and 102 receptions (first in the NFL). He's averaging 97.9 receiving yards and 8.5 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
Through nine games, Austin Ekeler has picked up 446 yards on the ground, averaging 49.6 yards per game and scoring four touchdowns.
Ekeler has received 47 targets in the passing game and has 31 catches (3.4 per game) for 295 yards (32.8 per game) and one TD.
In the ground game, Joshua Kelley averages 4.0 yards per attempt (28th in the NFL) and 31.3 yards per game for 376 total rushing yards. He has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.

Defense

On defense for the Chargers, Khalil Mack has put up 53 tackles, 14.0 TFL, and 15 sacks in 2023.
Kenneth Murray has 88 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season. His tackle total leads the Chargers.
This season, Derwin James has recorded 1.0 sack in addition to his 4.0 TFL, 82 tackles, and one interception.
Eric Kendricks has 1.0 sack to go along with his 5.0 TFL and 76 tackles on the year.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has covered the spread four times over 12 games with a set total.
The Broncos have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 2.5 points or more (in five chances).
Denver games have gone over the total five times this season.
The Broncos have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won three of those games.
This season, Denver has won two of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Broncos have a 44.6% chance to win.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	183.3 (2,199)	26
Rush yards	115.8 (1,389)	12
Points scored	21.9 (263)	15
Pass yards against	235.6 (2,827)	24
Rush yards against	149.7 (1,796)	32
Points allowed	25.2 (302)	29

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Through 12 games played this year, Russell Wilson has amassed 2,385 passing yards, while throwing 21 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against seven interceptions and completing 67.5% of his passes.
On the ground, Wilson has added two rushing touchdowns and 310 rushing yards (second on the Broncos).
Courtland Sutton has 50 catches for 637 yards and nine receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He has been targeted 75 times and averages 4.2 receptions per game in 12 games played.
So far this season through 11 games, Javonte Williams has racked up 584 rushing yards (leading the Broncos), but has not scored a rushing touchdown. He averages 53.1 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt (31st in the NFL).
Williams' statistic output includes 29 receptions (2.6 per game) on 37 targets for 155 yards (14.1 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
Jaleel McLaughlin averages 24.7 rushing yards per game through 12 games (296 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
McLaughlin has tacked on 21 catches (1.8 per game) for 89 yards (7.4 per game) and two receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 23 targets.

Defense

Alex Singleton has 120 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in 2023.
Jonathon Cooper has 5.5 sacks (second on the Broncos) to go with 5.0 TFL and 56 tackles.
Zach Allen has 48 tackles, 7.0 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in the 2023 campaign.
Nik Bonitto's season stats include 26 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and seven sacks in 12 games.

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