Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7

Published Jan. 3, 2024 1:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having dropped four straight, the Los Angeles Chargers (5-11) will take on the Kansas City Chiefs (10-6). Despite that, the Chargers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 35.5.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs Chiefs Betting Information updated as of January 3, 2024, 12:34 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chargers	-3	-112	-108	35.5	-112	-108

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Kansas City (+3)
Pick OU: Over (35.5)
Prediction: Kansas City 24 - Los Angeles 19

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Kansas City

Game Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Inglewood, California
TV: Watch on CBS

Chargers vs. Chiefs Recent Matchups

Kansas City holds a 5-0 record against Los Angeles in their last five matchups.
Los Angeles has been outpaced by 37 points in its last five tilts versus Kansas City.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles has five wins in 16 games versus the spread this year.
When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Chargers have an ATS record of 3-3-1.
Los Angeles has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 31.2% of its contests this year (five times in 16 games with a set point total).
The Chargers have compiled a 4-4 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter, Los Angeles has gone 4-3 (57.1%).
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chargers' implied win probability is 59.7%.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	232.6 (3,722)	13
Rush yards	95.3 (1,524)	26
Points scored	20.9 (334)	21
Pass yards against	256.3 (4,101)	30
Rush yards against	112.6 (1,801)	16
Points allowed	24.1 (385)	25

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Keenan Allen's 1,243 receiving yards this season (ninth in the NFL) have come from 108 receptions (fourth in the NFL) on 150 targets. He's averaging 8.3 catches and 95.6 yards per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
Austin Ekeler has collected 617 rushing yards with five touchdowns (47.5 yards per game through 13 games). His 3.7 yards per attempt rank 38th in the NFL.
He's also hauled in 44 passes (on 66 targets) for 398 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 30.6 receiving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
In the passing attack, Josh Palmer, has totaled 537 receiving yards and two touchdowns after catching 32 balls on 51 targets. Per game, he's averaging 59.7 yards and 3.6 receptions through nine games.
Gerald Everett has 50 receptions for 407 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 69 times in the passing game, and averages 3.6 receptions and 29.1 yards through 14 games played.

Defense

On the defensive side for the Chargers, Khalil Mack has racked up 69 tackles, 18.0 TFL, and 16 sacks in 2023.
Derwin James has 117 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season. He leads the Chargers in tackles.
Eric Kendricks has recorded 110 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
Kenneth Murray has one interception while also adding 107 tackles, 7.0 TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City have put together a 9-7-0 record against the spread this year.
Games involving Kansas City have hit the over on five occasions this season.
The Chiefs will play as the underdog for the first time this season.
Kansas City has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +124 odds on them winning this game.
The implied probability of a win by the Chiefs based on the moneyline is 44.6%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	252.7 (4,043)	5
Rush yards	103.8 (1,661)	19
Points scored	22.4 (358)	12
Pass yards against	172.9 (2,766)	2
Rush yards against	112.9 (1,807)	17
Points allowed	17.6 (282)	3

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes II is averaging 7.0 passing yards per attempt (16th in the NFL) and 261.4 yards per game this year, completing 67.2% of his passes on the way to 4,183 total yards (fifth in the NFL), 27 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and 14 interceptions through 16 games.
He's added 389 yards on the ground (second on the Chiefs), with zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 24.3 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
Isiah Pacheco has scored seven rushing touchdowns, while totaling 935 rushing yards (4.6 per carry and 66.8 per game).
Pacheco has added 44 receptions (3.1 per game) for 244 yards (17.4 per game) with two receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 49 times in the passing attack.
This season, Rashee Rice has caught 79 passes for 938 receiving yards with seven touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 102 total times and is averaging 4.9 receptions per game in 16 games played.
Travis Kelce has 984 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 93 receptions after receiving 121 targets.

Defense

So far in 2023, Justin Reid has 3.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 95 tackles, and one interception over 16 games.
Trent McDuffie has 3.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 80 tackles.
During the 2023 campaign, L'Jarius Sneed has 78 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two interceptions through 16 games.
Drue Tranquill has 78 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one pass defended.

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