Chargers vs. Dolphins Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 10

Published Sep. 8, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) are considered favorites (-3) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game versus the Miami Dolphins (0-0) on September 10, 2023, starting at 4:25 PM ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the game is 51.

Chargers vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Miami (+3)
  
• Pick OU: Under (51)
  
• Prediction: Miami 25 - Los Angeles 24

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Miami

• Game Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Location: Inglewood, California
• TV: Watch on CBS

Chargers vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles has taken down Miami three times.
• Miami has been outscored by 33 points in its last five tilts versus Los Angeles.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles put together an 11-6-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Chargers had an ATS record of 4-3 as 3-point favorites or greater last season.
• Last season, seven Los Angeles games hit the over.
• The Chargers won 81.8% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (9-2).
• Los Angeles went 5-2 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter (71.4%).
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Chargers a 62.4% chance to win.

Chargers Stats (2022)

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• Justin Herbert averaged 6.8 passing yards per attempt (23rd in the NFL) and 278.8 yards per game last year, completing 68.2% of his passes on the way to 4,739 total yards (second in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions in 17 games.
• Austin Ekeler had 915 rushing yards and 13 rushing touchdowns, while averaging 53.8 yards per game and 4.5 per carry (22nd in the NFL).
• Ekeler added 107 receptions (6.3 per game) for 722 yards (42.5 per game) with five receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 127 times in the passing game.
• Last year, Mike Williams caught 63 passes for 895 receiving yards with four touchdowns through the air. He was targeted 93 total times and averaged 4.8 receptions per game over 13 games played.
• Keenan Allen was targeted 89 times, resulting in 66 catches for 752 yards .

Defense

• In 2022 for the Vikings, Eric Kendricks put up one sack to go with eight TFL and 137 tackles over 17 games.
• Derwin James had four sacks to go with five TFL, 115 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Khalil Mack had eight sacks as well as 12 TFL and 50 tackles in the 2022 campaign.
• Kenneth Murray totaled one sack as well as seven TFL, 76 tackles, and one interception.

Miami Betting Info

• Miami put together an 8-8-1 ATS record last year.
• The Dolphins' ATS record as underdogs of 3 points or greater was 5-3 last year.
• Miami and its opponent combined to go over the point total eight out of 17 times last year.
• The Dolphins were underdogs in seven games last season and won two (28.6%) of those contests.
• Miami had a record of 2-5 in games where sportsbooks had them as underdogs of at least +140 on the moneyline.
• The Dolphins have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Dolphins Stats (2022)

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• In 13 games last year, Tua Tagovailoa racked up 3,548 passing yards, while throwing 25 TD passes (eighth in NFL) and eight INTs, connecting on 64.8% of his attempts.
• Tyreek Hill put together a 2022 stat sheet that included 119 receptions (second in the NFL) for 1,710 yards (second in the NFL) and seven receiving TDs in 17 games. He was on the end of 170 targets and averaged seven catches.
• Jaylen Waddle totaled 1,356 yards receiving (seventh in the NFL) and eight TDs on 75 receptions while being targeted 117 times last year.
• Raheem Mostert puts up 55.7 yards rushing per game in 16 games (891 total yards), with three rushing TDs.
• Mostert also caught 31 passes for 202 yards and two TDs. He was targeted 42 times and averaged 12.6 yards per game.

Defense

• Christian Wilkins recorded 3.5 sacks to go along with 16 TFL and 98 tackles in his 17 games in 2022.
• Jerome Baker posted 100 tackles, six TFL, and four sacks.
• Jaelan Phillips had seven sacks and eight TFL and 61 tackles during the 2022 campaign.
• Jevon Holland's production included two INTs plus 93 tackles, one TFL, 1.5 sacks, and seven passes defended in 17 games.

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