Chargers vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

Updated Dec. 27, 2024 4:43 a.m. ET

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The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) over the New England Patriots (3-12). The Patriots have dropped five games straight. The over/under for this one is set at 42.5 points.

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Chargers vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Chargers (-4.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (42.5)
  
• Prediction: Chargers 25 - Patriots 15

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. New England

• Game Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: NFL Network
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Bengals vs. Broncos Prediction
• Rams vs. Cardinals Prediction

Chargers vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head contests, New England has taken down Los Angeles four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has compiled 112 points versus Los Angeles, while surrendering only 85 points.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles has 11 wins in 15 games versus the spread this season.
• The Chargers have covered the spread three times this season (3-0 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• Los Angeles games this year have hit the over on six of 15 set point totals (40%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chargers are 9-2 (winning 81.8% of the time).
• Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Chargers' implied win probability is 69.2%.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• Justin Herbert has passed for 3,243 yards, 18 touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He is averaging 216.2 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt, while completing 64.7% of his passes.
• He has also rushed for 252 yards (third on the Chargers) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 16.8 rushing yards per game.
• Ladd McConkey's 960 receiving yards this season have come from 94 targets and 69 receptions. He's averaging 68.6 receiving yards and 4.9 catches per game, with five receiving touchdowns.
• Through 13 games played, Quentin Johnston is averaging 36.7 yards and 2.8 receptions per game to total 477 receiving yards and 37 catches. He's been targeted 69 times, and has eight receiving touchdowns (ninth in the NFL).
• Josh Palmer averages 2.5 receptions and 38.8 yards per game, and has 543 total receiving yards and 35 catches. He's gotten 59 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Daiyan Henley has 137 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended in 2024.
• Derwin James has 88 tackles, seven TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception this season. He's second on the Chargers in tackles.
• Elijah Molden has put up three interceptions and added 68 tackles, two TFL, and seven passes defended.
• This season, Tuli Tuipulotu has 36 tackles, nine TFL, and 7.5 sacks.

New England Betting Info

• New England has put together a record of 6-8-1 against the spread this season.
• The Patriots have an against the spread record of 4-6 in their 10 games when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
• Games involving New England have hit the over on nine occasions this year.
• This season, the Patriots have won three out of the 15 games, or 20%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Patriots have a 35.1% chance to win.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Through 11 games played this year, Drake Maye has racked up 2,159 passing yards, while throwing 14 touchdowns against 10 interceptions and completing 67.6% of his attempts.
• He's added 389 yards on the ground (third on the Patriots), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 35.4 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has 800 rushing yards (leading the Patriots) and seven rushing touchdowns, while averaging 57.1 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (37th in the NFL).
• Stevenson has also picked up 168 receiving yards (12 per game) on 33 catches (2.4 per game). He's been targeted 40 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
• So far this season, Hunter Henry has caught 66 passes for 674 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 96 total times and is averaging 4.4 receptions per game through 15 games played.
• Antonio Gibson has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 433 total yards (4.5 per attempt and 28.9 per game).
• Gibson has also caught 19 passes for 186 yards (sixth on the Patriots). He's been targeted 22 times and averages 12.4 yards per game.

Defense

• Jahlani Tavai's 2024 effort includes 95 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and one interception through 15 games. He leads the Patriots in tackles.
• Keion White has 51 tackles, seven TFL, and five sacks.
• Kyle Dugger has one sack as well as eight TFL and 68 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
• Anfernee Jennings has 71 tackles, six TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NFL - Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots - 12/28/2024

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