Chargers vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

Updated Dec. 28, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New England Patriots (3-12) will be trying to snap a five-game losing streak against the Los Angeles Chargers (9-6). The Chargers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The total for this one is set at 42 points.

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Chargers vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of December 28, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chargers	-6.5	-108	-123	42	-112	-108

Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chargers (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (42)
Prediction: Chargers 25 - Patriots 15

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. New England

Game Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: NFL Network
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chargers vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has defeated Los Angeles four times.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has racked up 112 points, while Los Angeles has posted 85.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles is 11-4-0 against the spread this year.
The Chargers have covered the spread when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites in two of two chances this season.
Los Angeles games in 2024 have gone over the point total six times in 15 opportunities (40%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chargers have won 81.8% of the time (9-2).
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chargers a 75.3% chance to win.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	200.8 (3,012)	24
Rush yards	106.5 (1,598)	22
Points scored	21.9 (328)	18
Pass yards against	213.8 (3,207)	17
Rush yards against	124.1 (1,862)	18
Points allowed	18.3 (274)	2

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Justin Herbert has 3,243 passing yards in 15 games this year, averaging 216.2 per game with a 64.7% completion percentage and 18 touchdowns against three interceptions.
He has also rushed for 252 yards (third on the Chargers) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 16.8 rushing yards per game.
J.K. Dobbins has totaled 766 rushing yards with eight touchdowns (69.6 yards per game through 11 games). His 4.8 yards per attempt rank 12th in the league.
Dobbins' 34 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 28 catches (2.5 per game) for 134 yards (12.2 per game) and zero touchdowns.
In 14 games played, Ladd McConkey is averaging 68.6 yards and 4.9 receptions per game to total 960 receiving yards and 69 catches. He's been targeted 94 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
Quentin Johnston averages 2.8 receptions and 36.7 yards per game, and has 477 total receiving yards and 37 catches. He's gotten 69 total targets, and has caught eight touchdown passes (ninth in the NFL).

Defense

On defense for the Chargers, Daiyan Henley has powered the unit with 137 tackles, seven TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Derwin James has intercepted one pass and has added 88 tackles, seven TFL, 3.5 sacks, and six passes defended.
Elijah Molden has put up three interceptions and added 68 tackles, two TFL, and seven passes defended.
Tuli Tuipulotu has 7.5 sacks (first on the Chargers) to go with his nine TFL and 36 tackles this year.

New England Betting Info

New England has put together a 6-8-1 record against the spread this year.
The Patriots have an ATS record of 4-6 in their 10 games when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this year.
Games involving New England have hit the over on nine occasions this season.
The Patriots have been underdogs in 15 games this season and won three (20%) of those contests.
The implied probability of a win by the Patriots based on the moneyline is 29.0%.

Patriots Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	178.5 (2,678)	32
Rush yards	119.7 (1,795)	14
Points scored	17.3 (259)	30
Pass yards against	212.4 (3,186)	13
Rush yards against	130.4 (1,956)	24
Points allowed	24.1 (361)	24

New England's Key Players

Offense

Drake Maye has passed for 2,159 yards this year, with 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He is completing 67.6% of his attempts while averaging 196.3 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
On the ground, Maye has added two rushing touchdowns and 389 rushing yards (third on the Patriots).
Rhamondre Stevenson has 800 rushing yards (leading the Patriots) and seven rushing touchdowns, while averaging 57.1 yards per game and 3.9 per carry (37th in the NFL).
Stevenson has added 33 receptions (2.4 per game) for 168 yards (12 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 40 times in the passing game.
Hunter Henry has put up 674 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 66 receptions, while being targeted 96 times on the season.
Antonio Gibson has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 433 total yards (4.5 per carry and 28.9 per game).
Gibson also has 186 receiving yards (12.4 per game) on 19 catches (1.3 per game). He has been targeted 22 times while he is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.

Defense

So far in 2024, Jahlani Tavai has recorded one sack to go with seven TFL, 95 tackles, and one interception through 15 games.
Keion White has registered five sacks in addition to his seven TFL and 51 tackles over 14 games.
Kyle Dugger has one sack in addition to his eight TFL and 68 tackles.
Anfernee Jennings has totaled 2.5 sacks (third on the Patriots) to go with six TFL and 71 tackles over 14 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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