Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 3

Published Nov. 29, 2023 11:25 a.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

In a battle featuring two teams coming off defeats, the Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) will play the New England Patriots (2-9). The Chargers have dropped three in a row, the Patriots four in a row. Los Angeles is the favorite (currently -6). The predicted point total for the matchup is 40.

Chargers vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Los Angeles (-6)
  
• Pick OU: Over (40)
  
• Prediction: Los Angeles 25 - New England 17

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. New England

• Game Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: Watch on CBS

Chargers vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New England has totaled five wins against Los Angeles.
• Los Angeles has been outpaced by 47 points in its last five tilts against New England.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles has played 11 games, posting three wins against the spread.
• The Chargers have been favored by 6 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• Los Angeles contests this year have gone over the point total 27.3% of the time (three times in 11 games with a set point total).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chargers have won 50% of the time (3-3).
• Los Angeles has played as a moneyline favorite of -265 or shorter in only two games this season, and it won both.
• Looking at this game's moneyline, the Chargers' implied win probability is 72.6%.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• Justin Herbert ranks ninth in the NFL with 2,826 passing yards through 11 games this year, averaging 256.9 per game with a 66.2% completion percentage and 20 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against six interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 233 yards (third on the Chargers) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 21.2 rushing yards per game.
• Keenan Allen's 1,117 receiving yards this season (second in the NFL) have come from 129 targets and 97 receptions (first in the NFL). He's averaging 101.5 receiving yards and 8.8 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
• In eight games, Austin Ekeler has amassed 428 rushing yards, averaging 53.5 yards per game and scoring four touchdowns.
• Ekeler has picked up 29 catches, 286 yards and one TD through the air.
• Joshua Kelley has rushed for 360 yards with two touchdowns (32.7 yards per game through 11 games).

Defense

• On the defensive side, Khalil Mack has 13.0 sacks (third in the NFL) to go with 12.0 TFL and 48 tackles in 2023.
• Kenneth Murray has 81 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season.
• Derwin James has recorded 73 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
• So far this season, Eric Kendricks has 66 tackles and 3.0 TFL.

New England Betting Info

• New England has covered the spread two times this season (2-9-0).
• This year, the Patriots have just one ATS win in three games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
• Games involving New England have hit the over on three occasions this year.
• This season, the Patriots have been the underdog seven times and won one of those games.
• New England is 1-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +215 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 31.7% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Mac Jones is averaging 6.1 passing yards per attempt (29th in the NFL) and 192.7 yards per game this year, completing 64.9% of his passes on the way to 2,120 total yards, 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions through 11 games.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has scored four rushing touchdowns, while totaling 580 rushing yards (3.9 per carry and 52.7 per game).
• Stevenson has also picked up 238 receiving yards (21.6 per game) on 37 catches (3.4 per game). He's been targeted 50 times and is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
• Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for two touchdowns this year, and has totaled 377 rushing yards (34.3 per game and 4.0 per carry).
• In addition to his ground game, Elliott has pulled down 20 passes (on 26 targets) for 114 yards (ninth on the Patriots). He averages 10.4 yards per game.
• Hunter Henry has 298 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 30 receptions after receiving 45 targets.

Defense

• Ja'Whaun Bentley's 2023 showing includes 70 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks through 10 games. He leads the Patriots in tackles.
• Kyle Dugger has registered 1.0 sack in addition to his 5.0 TFL, 67 tackles, and two interceptions over 11 games.
• Jabrill Peppers has 1.0 sack as well as 5.0 TFL, 59 tackles, and one interception in the 2023 season.
• Myles Bryant's stats include one interception as well as 54 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended in 11 games

Did Mac Jones play his FINAL game for the New England Patriots? | NFL on FOX Pod

Dave Helman sits down to talk about the New England Patriots! Within the segment, Helman breaks down the Patriots' struggles on offense and debates whether Mac Jones has played his final game with New England.

share

in this topic

National Football League

New England Patriots

Los Angeles Chargers

NFL - Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots - 12/03/2023

Gambling