Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 7:04 p.m. ET

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The Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) and Las Vegas Raiders (1-2) will face off in a matchup of two division rivals. The Chargers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5). An over/under of 48.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Chargers vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Los Angeles (-5.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (48.5)
  
• Prediction: Los Angeles 28 - Las Vegas 22

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Las Vegas

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Location: Inglewood, California
• TV: Watch on CBS

Chargers vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head meetings, Las Vegas has defeated Los Angeles three times.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Los Angeles has scored 105 points, while Las Vegas has posted 102.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles has covered the spread one time this season.
• Los Angeles games this year have gone over the total in two out of three opportunities (66.7%).
• The Chargers have been moneyline favorites two other times this season, and they lost both.
• Los Angeles has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -225 or shorter.
• The Chargers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 69.2%.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• Justin Herbert has thrown for 939 yards (third in the NFL), six touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and zero interceptions this year. He averages 313 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt, while completing 74.4% of his attempts.
• He has added 28 rushing yards (9.3 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
• Keenan Allen has 32 receptions (first in the NFL) for 402 yards (third in the NFL) and two TDs. Through three games, he is averaging 10.7 catches and 134 yards per game.
• Austin Ekeler's output on the ground this season includes 117 yards and one TD. He is averaging 117 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• Ekeler has picked up four receptions, 47 yards and zero TDs in the passing game.
• Donald Parham averages two receptions and 11 yards per game, and has 33 total receiving yards and six catches. He's gotten seven total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes (second in the NFL).

Defense

• On defense, Kenneth Murray has 22 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2023.
• Alohi Gilman has 22 tackles.
• Derwin James has totaled 24 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended.
• So far this season, Tuli Tuipulotu has 13 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks.

Las Vegas Betting Info

• Las Vegas has put together a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this year.
• The Raiders have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more one time this season and have not covered the spread once.
• This season, Las Vegas games have hit the over just once.
• The Raiders have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Las Vegas has played as an underdog of +185 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 35.1% chance of a victory for the Raiders.

Raiders Stats

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

• So far this year, Davante Adams has 25 receptions (fourth in the NFL) for 322 yards (fifth in the NFL) with three receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 37 times and averages 8.3 catches per game through three games played.
• Through three games, Jimmy Garoppolo has 709 passing yards, with five touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against six interceptions and completing 68.1% of his passes.
• In two games played this season, Jakobi Meyers has 16 catches (eight receptions per game on 11 targets per game) for 166 yards and two receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL).
• Josh Jacobs has 108 rushing yards (leading the Raiders), without scoring a rushing touchdown, while averaging 36 yards per game and 2.4 per carry (46th in the NFL).
• Jacobs has tacked on 10 catches (3.3 per game) for 92 yards (30.7 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 14 targets.

Defense

• In 2023, Robert Spillane has put up one sack to go with two TFL and 28 tackles over three games.
• Divine Deablo has 27 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
• Over the 2023 campaign, Nate Hobbs has 25 tackles and two TFL through three games.
• Maxx Crosby has 15 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks.

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