Chargers vs. Texans 2024 Wild Card Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 11

Updated Jan. 10, 2025 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In the AFC Wild Card round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs, the Los Angeles Chargers will match up against the Houston Texans. The Chargers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 42.5.

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Chargers vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs Texans Betting Information updated as of January 10, 2025, 9:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chargers	-3	-108	-112	42.5	-108	-112

Chargers vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Pick Em
Pick OU: Over (42.5)
Prediction: Chargers 23 - Texans 20

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Houston

Game Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chargers vs. Texans Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head bouts, Houston has beaten Los Angeles three times.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has tallied 136 points versus Los Angeles, while giving up only 132 points.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles has 13 wins in 17 games versus the spread this year.
The Chargers have covered the spread eight times this season (8-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
Los Angeles contests this year have gone over the point total 47.1% of the time (eight times in 17 games with a set point total).
The Chargers have put together an 11-2 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 84.6% of those games).
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Chargers' implied win probability is 61.8%.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	213.5 (3,629)	19
Rush yards	110.7 (1,882)	17
Points scored	23.6 (402)	11
Pass yards against	206.9 (3,517)	7
Rush yards against	117.5 (1,997)	14
Points allowed	17.7 (301)	1

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Justin Herbert ranks ninth in the NFL with 3,870 passing yards in 17 games this year, averaging 227.6 per game with a 65.9% completion percentage and 23 touchdowns against three interceptions.
To go along with his passing statistics, Herbert also has 306 rushing yards (third on the Chargers), with two rushing touchdowns.
J.K. Dobbins' rushing statline this season includes 905 yards and nine TDs. He is averaging 69.6 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (13th in the NFL).
He's also caught 32 passes (on 38 targets) for 153 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 11.8 receiving yards and 2.5 catches per game.
In the passing attack, Ladd McConkey, has racked up 1,149 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and seven touchdowns after catching 82 balls on 112 targets. Per game, he's averaging 71.8 yards and 5.1 receptions in 16 games.
Quentin Johnston averages 3.7 receptions and 47.4 yards per game, and has 711 total receiving yards and 55 catches. He's gotten 91 total targets, and has caught eight touchdown passes.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Daiyan Henley has 142 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Chargers and is 10th in the NFL.
Derwin James has 93 tackles, 10 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
Tuli Tuipulotu has recorded 38 tackles, 11 TFL, and 8.5 sacks this year.
This season, Khalil Mack has 39 tackles, six TFL, and six sacks.

Houston Betting Info

Houston is 7-9-1 against the spread this season.
The Texans are 3-3 ATS when underdogs by 3 points or more this year.
Games involving Houston have hit the over on six occasions this season.
This season, the Texans have won one out of the six games in which they've been the underdog.
The Texans have a 42.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	207.4 (3,526)	21
Rush yards	112.3 (1,909)	15
Points scored	21.9 (372)	19
Pass yards against	201 (3,417)	6
Rush yards against	114 (1,938)	11
Points allowed	21.9 (372)	14

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud is averaging 7 passing yards per attempt (22nd in the NFL) and 219.2 yards per game this year, completing 63.2% of his passes on the way to 3,727 total yards, 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions through 17 games.
Stroud has also rushed for 233 yards (third on the Texans).
Joe Mixon has 1,016 rushing yards (leading the Texans) and 11 rushing touchdowns, while averaging 72.6 yards per game and 4.1 per carry (33rd in the NFL).
Mixon also has 36 catches for 309 yards (sixth on the Texans), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 52 times and averages 22.1 yards per game.
Nico Collins has put up 1,006 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 68 receptions, while being targeted 99 times on the season.
Dalton Schultz has 53 catches for 532 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.1 yards per game in 17 games and has been targeted 85 times.

Defense

So far in 2024, Danielle Hunter has amassed 12 sacks to go with 17 TFL and 46 tackles over 16 games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
Will Anderson Jr. has 37 tackles, 16 TFL, and 11 sacks.
Henry To'o To'o has 1.5 sacks in addition to his seven TFL, 103 tackles, and one interception.
Azeez Al-Shaair's season stats include 70 tackles, seven TFL, and two sacks through 11 games. He is third on the Texans in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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