Chiefs vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 20, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) are considered favorites (-12.5) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Chicago Bears (0-2) on September 24, 2023, starting at 4:25 PM ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 47.5.

Chiefs vs. Bears Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Bears Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Kansas City (-12.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (47.5)
  
• Prediction: Kansas City 30 - Chicago 12

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Chicago

• Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: Watch on FOX

Chiefs vs. Bears Recent Matchups

• Kansas City has a 3-2 record against Chicago in their last five matchups.
• Chicago has been outscored by 47 points in its last five tilts against Kansas City.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover or pushing 11 times.
• The Chiefs were winless ATS (0-3-1) when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites last year.
• Last season, eight Kansas City games hit the over.
• The Chiefs went 13-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 86.7% of those games).
• Kansas City won all four games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -675 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Chiefs an 87.1% chance to win.

Chiefs Stats (2022)

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes II averaged 8.1 passing yards per attempt (second in the NFL) and 308.8 yards per game last year, completing 67.1% of his passes on the way to 5,250 total yards (first in the NFL), 41 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and 12 interceptions in 17 games.
• Mahomes also rushed for four touchdowns and 358 yards.
• Travis Kelce had 1,338 receiving yards (eighth in the NFL) and 12 touchdowns (second in the NFL) on 110 receptions (third in the NFL), while being targeted 152 times.
• Last year over 17 games, Jerick McKinnon racked up 291 rushing yards and scored one rushing touchdown. He averaged 17.1 yards per game and 4 per carry.
• In addition to his rushing stats, McKinnon hauled in 56 passes (on 71 targets) for 512 yards with nine receiving touchdowns. He averaged 30.1 yards per game.
• Isiah Pacheco scored five touchdowns on the ground, while running for 830 total yards (4.9 per carry and 48.8 per game).

Defense

• Nick Bolton recorded two sacks to go with nine TFL, 180 tackles, and two interceptions over 17 games in 2022.
• Drue Tranquill had one interception on top of 144 tackles, 10 TFL, five sacks, and four passes defended for the Chargers.
• L'Jarius Sneed intercepted three passes on top of108 tackles, five TFL, 3.5 sacks, and 11 passes defended during the 2022 campaign.
• Chris Jones racked up 44 tackles, 17 TFL, 15.5 sacks, and four passes defended.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago compiled a 5-11-1 ATS record last year.
• In Chicago games last year, combined scoring went over the point total 10 times.
• The Bears won two, or 13.3%, of the 15 games they played as underdogs last season.
• Chicago was not a bigger underdog last season than the +490 moneyline set for this game.
• The Bears have a 16.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bears Stats (2022)

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• In 15 games last year, Justin Fields amassed 2,242 passing yards, while throwing 17 TD passes and 11 INTs, connecting on 60.4% of his passes.
• Fields also rushed for eight TDs and 1,143 yards (seventh in NFL).
• D.J. Moore had 63 catches for 888 yards and seven TDs. He was targeted 118 times and averaged 3.7 receptions in 17 games for the Panthers.
• D'Onta Foreman averaged 57.1 yards rushing per game for the Panthers last year (914 total yards), while scoring five rushing TDs.
• Khalil Herbert had 731 rushing yards and four rushing TDs, averaging 56.2 yards per game and 5.7 per attempt (fifth in the NFL).
• Herbert also tacked on nine catches (0.7 per game) for 57 yards (4.4 per game) and one TD. He was on the end of 12 targets.

Defense

• In the 2022 season with the Eagles T.J. Edwards amassed 159 tackles, 10 TFL, and two sacks over 17 games.
• Jaquan Brisker's production included one INT as well as 104 tackles, five TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended.
• Tremaine Edmunds picked off one pass to go along with 102 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended during the 2022 campaign for the Bills.
• Eddie Jackson picked off four passes to go with 80 tackles, one TFL, and six passes defended.

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