Chiefs vs. Bengals 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) are considered favorites (-6.5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) on September 15, 2024, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 47.5 points has been established for the matchup.

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Chiefs vs. Bengals Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Bengals Betting Information updated as of September 15, 2024, 12:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-6.5	-115	-105	47.5	-115	-105

Chiefs vs. Bengals Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Bengals (+6.5)
Pick OU: Under (47.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 21 - Bengals 16

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Cincinnati

Game Date: Sunday, September 15, 2024
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Bengals Recent Matchups

Cincinnati holds a 3-2 record against Kansas City in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has racked up 127 points, while Cincinnati has compiled 125.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City compiled a 10-7-0 ATS record last year.
As 6.5-point favorites or greater, the Chiefs went 5-3 against the spread last year.
Last season, five Kansas City games went over the point total.
The Chiefs finished with a 10-6 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 62.5% of those games).
Kansas City had a record of 6-2 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -290 or shorter (75%).
Based on this game's moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 74.4%.

Chiefs Stats (2023)

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	246.4 (4,188)	6
Rush yards	104.9 (1,784)	19
Points scored	21.8 (371)	15
Pass yards against	176.5 (3,001)	4
Rush yards against	113.2 (1,925)	17
Points allowed	17.3 (294)	2

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Over the course of 16 games played last year, Patrick Mahomes totaled 4,183 passing yards (sixth-best in the NFL), with 27 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) against 14 interceptions and completing 67.2% of his passes.
Mahomes also rushed for 389 yards.
Isiah Pacheco averaged 66.8 rushing yards per game over 14 games (935 total yards), while scoring seven rushing touchdowns.
Pacheco added 44 receptions (3.1 per game) for 244 yards (17.4 per game) with two receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 49 times in the passing attack.
In 16 games played last season, Rashee Rice had 79 catches (4.9 receptions per game on 6.4 targets per game) for 938 yards and seven receiving touchdowns.
Travis Kelce was targeted 121 times, resulting in 93 catches for 984 yards .

Defense

In 2023, Justin Reid put up 95 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and one interception through 16 games.
Trent McDuffie had three sacks in addition to his three TFL and 80 tackles over 16 games.
During the 2023 season, Chris Jones had 30 tackles, 13 TFL, and 10.5 sacks over 16 games.
Drue Tranquill's stats included 79 tackles, seven TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 15 games

Cincinnati Betting Info

Cincinnati put together a 7-8-2 ATS record last season.
As a 6.5-point underdog or more, the Bengals had one win ATS (1-1) last year.
Cincinnati games hit the over 10 out of 17 times last season.
The Bengals were underdogs in five games last season and won two (40%) of those contests.
Cincinnati had a record of 1-1 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least +235 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win by the Bengals, based on the moneyline, is 29.9%.

Bengals Stats (2023)

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	229.1 (3,895)	15
Rush yards	89.8 (1,527)	31
Points scored	21.5 (366)	16
Pass yards against	248.4 (4,223)	28
Rush yards against	126.2 (2,145)	26
Points allowed	22.6 (384)	21

Cincinnati's Key Players

Offense

Ja'Marr Chase registered 1,216 yards receiving and seven touchdowns on 100 receptions, targeted 145 times, last year.
Joe Burrow had 2,309 passing yards, 15 TD passes and six INTs. His completion percentage was 66.8% and he averaged 230.9 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
Jake Browning threw for 1,936 yards last year, with 12 TDs and seven INTs. He completed 70.4% of his passes, averaging 215.1 yards per game and 8 per attempt.
Browning also ran for three TDs and 127 yards.
Zack Moss had 794 rushing yards for the Colts and five rushing TDs, while averaging 56.7 yards per game and 4.3 per carry (19th in the NFL).
Moss also caught 27 passes for 192 yards and two TDs. He was targeted 37 times and averaged 13.7 yards per game.

Defense

Logan Wilson intercepted four balls in addition to 135 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and nine passes defended in 2023. He was seventh in the league in interceptions.
Trey Hendrickson's production included 43 tackles, 16 TFL, 17.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
Daxton Hill had 110 tackles, six TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 2023.
Germaine Pratt had two sacks plus seven TFL, 118 tackles, and two interceptions.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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