Chiefs vs. Bengals Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Published Dec. 27, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) are considered favorites (-7) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Cincinnati Bengals (8-7) on December 31, 2023, starting at 4:25 PM ET, airing on CBS. The predicted point total for the game is 44.

Chiefs vs. Bengals Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Bengals Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2023, 9:34 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-7	-112	-108	44	-112	-108

Chiefs vs. Bengals Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Cincinnati (+7)
Pick OU: Under (44)
Prediction: Kansas City 24 - Cincinnati 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Cincinnati

Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Bengals Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Cincinnati has totaled three wins versus Kansas City.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Cincinnati has racked up 121 points against Kansas City, while allowing only 119 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

Against the spread, Kansas City is 8-7-0 this season.
The Chiefs are 4-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
Kansas City games this year have hit the over on five of 15 set point totals (33.3%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chiefs have won 60% of the time (9-6).
Kansas City is 5-2 (winning 71.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -310 or shorter.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 75.6%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	253.5 (3,802)	4
Rush yards	101.9 (1,529)	20
Points scored	22.2 (333)	11
Pass yards against	173.8 (2,607)	3
Rush yards against	113.5 (1,703)	18
Points allowed	17.7 (265)	2

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes II ranks fourth in the NFL with 3,938 passing yards through 15 games this year, averaging 262.5 per game with a 66.9% completion percentage and 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against 14 interceptions.
He has added 387 rushing yards (25.8 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
Isiah Pacheco's rushing output this season includes 805 yards and seven TDs. He is averaging 61.9 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt (14th in the NFL).
Pacheco's 42 targets in the passing game have resulted in 37 catches (2.8 per game) for 209 yards (16.1 per game) and one touchdown.
Travis Kelce has five touchdown catches this season, and has 90 receptions for 968 yards on 117 targets, while averaging 6.4 catches and 69.1 yards per game.
Rashee Rice has 74 receptions for 811 yards and seven touchdowns. He's been targeted 96 times in the air attack, and averages 4.9 receptions and 54.1 yards through 15 games played.

Defense

On the defensive side, Trent McDuffie has 3.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 74 tackles in 2023.
Justin Reid has 87 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception this season. His tackle total leads the Chiefs.
This season, L'Jarius Sneed has recorded 5.0 TFL, 75 tackles, and two interceptions.
Drue Tranquill has 4.5 sacks (fifth on the Chiefs) to go along with his 7.0 TFL and 77 tackles on the season.

Cincinnati Betting Info

Cincinnati have registered a 6-7-2 record against the spread this season.
The Bengals covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 7 points or more.
This season, Cincinnati games have hit the over nine times.
The Bengals have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
Cincinnati has played as an underdog of +250 or more once this season and won that game.
The implied probability of a win by the Bengals based on the moneyline is 28.6%.

Bengals Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	239.4 (3,591)	11
Rush yards	82.7 (1,240)	32
Points scored	21.2 (318)	20
Pass yards against	256.1 (3,842)	28
Rush yards against	127.3 (1,909)	26
Points allowed	23.0 (345)	21

Cincinnati's Key Players

Offense

This year in 15 games, Joe Mixon has churned out 858 rushing yards (leading the Bengals) and scored eight rushing touchdowns. He averages 57.2 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (27th in the NFL).
On top of his rushing statistics, Mixon has caught 47 passes (on 58 targets) for 348 yards (fourth on the Bengals), with one receiving touchdown. He's averaging 23.2 yards per game.
Ja'Marr Chase has 1,156 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and seven touchdowns on 93 receptions, while being targeted 132 times.
Jake Browning has thrown for 1,583 yards this year, eight touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 72.0% of his passes while averaging 226.1 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
He's added 77 yards on the ground (fourth on the Bengals), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 11.0 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt.
Tee Higgins has 41 catches for 637 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.7 yards per game through 11 games and has been targeted 74 times.

Defense

Logan Wilson's 2023 output includes 125 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions through 15 games. He leads the Bengals in tackles.
Trey Hendrickson has 40 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and 16 sacks.
Germaine Pratt has 2.0 sacks (fifth on the Bengals) in addition to his 7.0 TFL, 115 tackles, and two interceptions.
Daxton Hill has put up 1.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 99 tackles, and two interceptions over 15 games.

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