Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 10

Published Dec. 6, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) are favored by two points against the Buffalo Bills (6-6) on December 10, 2023, starting at 4:25 PM ET, airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 48.5 points.

Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Bills Betting Information updated as of December 6, 2023, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-2	-110	-110	48.5	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Kansas City (-2)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Kansas City 24 - Buffalo 20

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Buffalo

Game Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Bills Recent Matchups

Kansas City owns a 3-2 record against Buffalo in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has compiled 100 points against Buffalo, while surrendering only 88 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has played 12 games, posting seven wins against the spread.
The Chiefs have covered the spread six times this season (6-5 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
Kansas City contests this year have gone over the point total 33.3% of the time (four times in 12 games with a set point total).
The Chiefs have won 66.7% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (8-4).
When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -130 or shorter, Kansas City has a record of 7-4 (63.6%).
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 56.5%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	252.7 (3,032)	8
Rush yards	109.9 (1,319)	16
Points scored	22.9 (275)	11
Pass yards against	183.0 (2,196)	6
Rush yards against	114.7 (1,376)	19
Points allowed	17.3 (208)	3

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes II ranks eighth in the NFL with 3,127 passing yards through 12 games this year, averaging 260.6 per game with a 67.8% completion percentage and 22 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against 10 interceptions.
In addition to his passing statistics, Mahomes also has 331 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
Isiah Pacheco has collected 779 rushing yards (fifth in the NFL) with six touchdowns (64.9 yards per game over 12 games). His 4.4 yards per attempt rank 14th in the NFL.
Pacheco's 38 targets through the air have turned into 33 catches (2.8 per game) for 209 yards (17.4 per game) and one touchdown.
Travis Kelce has five touchdown catches this season, and has 74 catches for 813 yards on 93 targets, while averaging 6.7 catches and 73.9 yards per game.
Rashee Rice averages 4.3 receptions and 49.3 yards per game, and has 591 total receiving yards and 52 catches. He's gotten 65 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Trent McDuffie has 62 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and six passes defended in 2023.
Drue Tranquill has 72 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks this season.
Justin Reid has collected 68 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception this year. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
George Karlaftis has 37 tackles, 5.0 TFL, eight sacks, and three passes defended.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo have compiled a 4-8-0 record against the spread this year.
The Bills have been underdogs by 2 points or more one time this year and have not covered the spread once.
Games involving Buffalo have hit the over on four occasions this year.
The Bills have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
Buffalo has played as an underdog of +110 or more once this season and lost that game.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Bills.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	260.9 (3,131)	5
Rush yards	122.3 (1,468)	10
Points scored	27.3 (328)	5
Pass yards against	203.3 (2,439)	8
Rush yards against	116.7 (1,400)	20
Points allowed	18.9 (227)	5

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen is averaging 7.4 passing yards per attempt (ninth in the NFL) and 267.8 yards per game this year, completing 68.1% of his passes on the way to 3,214 total yards (sixth in the NFL), 24 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 13 interceptions through 12 games.
On the ground, Allen has added nine rushing touchdowns and 342 rushing yards (second on the Bills).
Stefon Diggs has 83 catches (seventh in the NFL) for 969 yards and eight receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL). He has been targeted 121 times and averages 6.9 receptions per game through 12 games played.
So far this season in 12 games, James Cook has churned out 731 rushing yards (leading the Bills and 10th in the NFL) and scored one rushing touchdown. He averages 60.9 yards per game and 4.8 per carry (ninth in the NFL).
In addition to his rushing stats, Cook has grabbed 33 passes (on 39 targets) for 308 yards (fifth on the Bills), with two receiving touchdowns. He averages 25.7 yards per game.
Gabriel Davis has 39 catches for 595 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.5 yards per game through 11 games and has been targeted 67 times.

Defense

Terrel Bernard's 2023 effort includes 104 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions in 12 games. He leads the Bills in tackles.
Rasul Douglas has 2.0 TFL, 49 tackles, and three interceptions through 11 games.
During the 2023 campaign, Ed Oliver has 40 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and six sacks in 11 games.
Leonard Floyd's season stats include 25 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks in 11 games.

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